About bdrasin

bdrasin

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Registered Jan 30, 2008

Computer nerd and foodie. Would like to buy a house but can't afford one anywhere I'd want to live.

bdrasin's most recent comments:

  • On Wed, 22 Jun 2016, 10:13am PDT in Housing costs promote mass exodus from Bay Area, bdrasin said:

    BayArea says

    I still don't believe for a second that more are leaving than coming. I don't think the article is being totally clear on the details of that stat...

    Yes, a net decrease in population should mean a reduction in supply and dropping prices so I'm skeptical. It's like the old joke, "No one goes there anymore, it's too crowded".

  • On Mon, 13 Jun 2016, 1:59pm PDT in 2.6 Million ballots from June 7 elections not counted yet (1st story), bdrasin said:

    Ok then I'm not sure what we are talking about. The original article was about uncounted ballots from the June 7th California primary; I pointed out that this is normal and there's nothing corrupt or underhanded about it, and the ultimate results will in all likelihood be close to the election night results.

    If you are just generally grousing about the way the press covers the primary process then fine. But overall the picture painted by the press is accurate; Clinton has won the great majority of delegates and votes and will be the nominee.

  • On Mon, 13 Jun 2016, 10:25am PDT in 2.6 Million ballots from June 7 elections not counted yet (1st story), bdrasin said:

    Dan8267 says

    bdrasin says

    There's a possibility that the final margin of victory will be somewhat lower (or higher) than that reported on election night, but it's just not plausible that Sanders will win based on the evidence we can see now.

    It's not mathematically possible for EITHER candidate to win until the superdelegates vote in July. It's a tie.

    I was referring to California only, sorry if that wasn't obvious; the lead of 12% could theoretically be overcome in the uncounted ballots but it's statistically implausible.

    Yes, Clinton did not secure the 65% of pledged delegates that it would take to win if ALL the superdelegates voted the other way. But that's not going to happen.

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