About Santa Cruzer

Santa Cruzer


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In United States
Registered Nov 10, 2012

Santa Cruzer's most recent comments:

  • On 11 Nov 2012 in The Election Was Actually Closer than Appearances, Santa Cruzer said:

    Vicente says

    Why do you find it reasonable to assign 3rd party votes to "likely main party candidates"?

    Because I'm not really talking about the 2012 election but the 2016 one. A better Republican candidate would sweep in the Lib and Whackadooodle vote I think. To be symmetric, I binned the Stein vote with Obama.

  • On 11 Nov 2012 in The Election Was Actually Closer than Appearances, Santa Cruzer said:

    Bigsby says

    Why would anyone say that given the GOP's majority in the House?

    Dems did chisel 10 seats this cycle -- they need ~20 more. Plus thanks to gerrymandering they're underrepresented -- OH is sending 4 Dems to DC but with the state vote split that should actually be 8.

    My larger point is that this is still a 50/50 country, even with the 330 EV count. Clinton got 370 EVs each time but didn't break 50% for that matter.

    The Senate results were nearly all good news, so there's that, but 2014 is another wave of weak Democrats up to the chopping block.

    I think few people really understand how seriously screwed this country is. If we doubled the tax burden on the top 5% and corporations we'd cut the deficit down to $400B. Problem is the boomer retirement is going to double that deficit soon enough this decade -- $400B @ $40,000 per retiree is just 10M retirees. There's 80M boomers heading into retirement this decade and next:

    http://facts.kff.org/chart.aspx?cb=58&sctn=170&ch=1808

  • On 11 Nov 2012 in The Election Was Actually Closer than Appearances, Santa Cruzer said:

    Bigsby says

    I'd say the result was exceptional given everything lined up against Obama.

    Plus the fact he's been a pretty weak-assed President thus far. I've defended him enough over the years and will freely admit I couldn't have done any better than he has, given the realities of the system as-it-is.

    The third-term Teddy Roosevelt of 1912, the FDR of 1932 (plus his 100 vote majority in the House), the LBJ of 1964 -- these guys had the prior national stature and political scars to be more than passengers on this train.

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