Since Patrick is focusing on political rhetoric, I thought I'd re-school him on the basics.
Here is the latest DQNews report for SF Bay Area housing.
http://dqnews.com/Articles/2012/News/California/Bay-Area/RRBay120315.aspx
Looks like RE Limbo to me!!! :)

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It is interesting to see how much of the big money is coming from outside the U.S. to buy RE.
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everything says
Yep. Just go to The Fortress and see for yourself.
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everything says
when they go belly up, they wont be able to take it with them..
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bgamall4 says
It is like a marching wall of soldiers just inching every closer and closer to the heart of the BA. I'll post this heat map again in about 3 months and we will see what happens to it. My guess, All RED!
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bubblesitter says
They are not buying in China. Pretty soon even the Asian party will be over. Then who will save us? The Mexicans? The Canadians? Russians? Hmmm. Nope, we will be left with our own crap to clean up. Screwed!!!
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-14/chinese-economy-already-in-hard-landing-jpmorgan-says.html
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2011/12/housing_credit_bubbles_popping_in_china.html
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
New Yorkers. When you hear that from the media, the vested interested played their last card and prices will be close to bottom.
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
The Chinese buy because theyhave to lease in China. I think this demand will continue for years.
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thomas.wong1986 says
Just today a story that indeed, Wall Street is betting on the housing recovery. They are usually right. It is coming, with no money down, maybe sooner than we think.
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bgamall4 says
Im still waiting for the $4 Trillion B2B to explode on the world...
That would make Ariba worth some $55B once again...
They are NOT ususally right... many times over!
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bgamall4 says
Fuck the Chinese!
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bgamall4 says
They are right because money is printed to make them right.
$5+ gas. Food prices skyrocketing. Cost of doing business here is outrageous. Sure things will possibly "go up", but not anyone's standard of living will - mine is dropping by the day.
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Helloeeze says
$324K would be the eqivalent of typical middle class tech employee SFH home from the mid 90s prices adjusted for inflation today. If its a condo or a small home in low income area, than its really way overpriced today.
http://archive.dqnews.com/AA1996BAY10.shtm
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jeffrey lebowski middle class.
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
What website did you find this graphic?
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bgamall4 says
It seems like you are totally clueless about 1) housing market and 2) the Chinese. I'd suggest you make a trip or two to Asia before commenting BS.
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anonanon says
www.hotpads.com
bubblesitter says
Agreed. Honestly, I don't see why all that many Chinese folks would be attracted to the Bay Area, other than to send their kids to schools here. San Francisco is a boring, dumpy hole with nothing vibrant or fun about it compared to Hong Kong, Shanghai & heck, even Shenzhen. Anyone that hasn't been there won't get it. If I lived in a real metro-area of China, the Bay Area would be a dull, barely-developed splatter of concrete & dirt that bored the hell out of me because there is nothing to do.
The lack of pollution here is nice, for sure, but public transit is expensive and sucks ass, food is way more expensive and you would basically have to do all of your driving and house upkeep yourself since drivers & live-in maids are not cheap & readily available here. If I had money, I could live like royalty in China, or be un-remarkably upper-middle class here. Yeah, tough call there.
With that said though, there are still a relatively large number of wealthy Chinese buying stuff here either as investments, or to send their kids to school. I say "relative" as a comparison of the number of Chinese buyers and the (low) available inventory in nice areas. With China's massive population, it only takes a very small percentage of wealthy individuals there to have a noticeable impact here.
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anonanon says
www.hotpads.com
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bgamall4 says
Wall street are usually right?? What a F&*ing joke. You are insane if you think that. Were they right about Lehmans? About Long Term Capital? About Enron? Get a grip. Wall street are a bunch of money greedy slugs. I went to school with a lot of friends that are now on wall street. All they talk about is money. That makes them dumb when it comes to housing. Housing is emotional, it makes no sense. Momentum up feeds up and momentum down feeds down. There really is little value in the asset. Most of the value is in the perception you can sell it to another fool for the same or more. You have to drink the kool-aid so you can forget that little fact.
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ra says
With barely enough money left over for a nice rug that really ties the room together.
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Also funny how it doesn't mention that there's an extra day to sell property this year being leap year and 29 days.
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bmwman91 says
Must be the Tacos in the Bay Area that attract them...
Anyway, Australia makes more sense, since you can spend your winters in a summer 'down under' and transportation is much easier. Yes, you can actually swim in the Ozy coastal waters.
p>
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thomas.wong1986 says
Sure you can swim the coastal waters in Oz. But you really have to pay attention to the little but deadly Irukanji jellyfish and the sharks.
:-)
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simchaland says
thats why they put up nets for the swimmers.
, Sushi .. oz talk for Shark.
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thomas.wong1986 says
Eating into your profits???
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bubblesitter says
Sorry, you only have to have a very small percentage of Chinese that can do this and it amounts to a lot of people. Since you are long on insults and short on facts why don't you give us some facts?
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bmwman91 says
No kidding.
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
In the beginning they are usually right. They follow the hot money and the big money. Many are crooks and insiders but that argument is for another day.
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bgamall4 says
My prediction is they will sounds just like Buffet from last year. "I was dead wrong" when he talked about his prediction of a bottom. I give just about the same amount of credit to Wall Street as I do to the magazines in the checkout isle. Their job is not too different than Realtors. Pump pump pump. My little bit of due diligence in my investing has made me beat the indexes every year of my investing life so far. We give them too much credit.
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
But only they know when the easy money like no money down will return. We don't unless we follow the lending behavior of the mortgage lenders after the fact.
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bgamall4 says
you made the claim. you provide the facts.
oh that's right you have no facts.
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Hysteresis says
Actually I do. I have been following Chinese folks buying houses in Las Vegas and my daughter noticed that they are undercutting the rents of the regular investors. They are going to do that in SF too. Watch out before they cut your cajones off, if you are a landlord that is. :)
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bgamall4 says
I have no profits no gains or losses at risk ! my investments are in stock, bonds, mutual funds.
The chinese are not exempt for paying annual US property and Income taxes (Fed and State).. fact is they better be timely else the penalties and fines kick in.. I bet not many have figured that one out yet.
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Well, maybe those Chinese investors from China will dry up, due to the possible coup attempt.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/mar/21/inside-the-ring-436080940/
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There goes the neighborhood!
http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20120322000063&cid=1101
...Microblogging accounts of citizens based in Beijing claim to have seen dozens of military helicopters from Nanyuan airfield patrolling the skies above the capital, as well as PLA tanks on the streets. One netizen reported encountering 50 to 60 police officers and anti-riot vehicles near the Dongzhimen area of the city as well as a convoy of trucks carrying PLA soldiers. A video was uploaded to Sina Weibo showing the army transferring artillery from Shandong province to Beijing by train. Though the reports are still unconfirmed, some netizens claimed that they heard gunfire on the streets of Beijing on Monday evening....
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
You should compare rents to owning on hotpads.... I found most rentals on hotpads are much higher than a comparable mortgage.
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BoomAndBustCycle says
Pretty sure he's referring to desirable areas like the BA.
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BoomAndBustCycle says
Yup, that is a great backup plan to move out of the BA.
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bgamall4 says
In the words of Cramer, "They know nothing!"
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
IMO, Cramer is a pump and dump insider. He has even admitted he pumps and dumps. He is a former Goldman Sachs employee. But that does not mean he would ever tell you everything he knows. He may even tell you the opposite of what he knows on certain momentous transactions.