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401(k)s or Social Security?


By tovarichpeter   Follow   Wed, 21 Mar 2012, 6:27pm   1,668 views   8 comments
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http://blogs.smartmoney.com/advice/2012/03/21/which-is-cheaper-to-run-401ks-or-social-security/

VERY interesting

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  1. C Boy


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    1   6:33am Thu 22 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike  

    Vampire Squids don't work cheap you know.

    The cost doesn't include losses in 401-k due to the crappy market of the past 12 years.

  2. drew_eckhardt


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    2   1:04pm Thu 22 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)  

    I'm more concerned about the ratio of payout to contributions than how much some one skims off the top.

    Social Security also provides horrible return rates that are actually negative for many participants.

    I got curious in 2005 and did the arithmetic discovering that I'd need to outlast my statistically expected lifespan by five years to get a 0% inflation adjusted rate of return provided that I wait to take the maximum benefit, the retirement age does not increase, FICA rates don't go up, the wage cap doesn't go up faster than inflation, social security benefits keep up with inflation, and benefits don't become means tested.

    If both halves of my contribution went to an investment vehicle with a 3% inflation adjusted rate of return I could have

    $134K a year for the same 15 years: over 4X my social security benefit
    $72K a year until I die at 100: over 2X my social security benefit
    $44K a year forever: nearly 30% more than my social security benefit with $1.5M going to my heirs

    As it stands the numbers are $32K a year with a big fat zero going to my heirs.

    (all numbers in 2005 dollars)

  3. wcalleallegre


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    3   9:34pm Thu 22 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (2)  

    The analysis for SS cost likely does not include hidden costs.

    SS is running in the red and will continue to get worst. They can only delay the inevitable by raising retirement age, raising the max income that is taxed on, etc. It will eventually default since all ponzi schemes default. I believe we will eventually get mass inflation and value of SS benefits will be eroded.

  4. Vicente


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    4   2:19am Fri 23 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    wcalleallegre says

    SS is running in the red and will continue to get worst.

    Actually it's not in the red at present. Your errors compound from there.

  5. bgamall4


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    5   6:21am Fri 23 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    Privatization of social security is simply wanted by the banksters so that they can get massive fees. That is the entire reason people want it privatized.

  6. ATK


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    6   2:43pm Fri 23 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I was listening to some youtube videos about a guy Robert Kiyosaki who wrote Rich Dad/Poor Dad and he talks about 401K being a gimmick. He also says houses are not an asset but a liability... I think he makes some sense... very interesting way of thinking

  7. C Boy


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    7   2:58pm Fri 23 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Robert has his faults, but he was preaching about problems with SS back in the 80's.

  8. bgamall4


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    8   5:37pm Fri 23 Mar 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Wonder if he gets any benefits from Wall Street? I don't know, just asking.

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