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Huge increase in high end inventory


By jaz5   Follow   Thu, 17 May 2012, 3:00pm   5,534 views   23 comments
In Newport Beach CA 92660   Watch (1)   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

What I've noticed recently is that the inventory of the sub $500,000 homes in Los Angeles and Orange County has literally vanished, however loads of homes $500,000-1 million have magically come back on the market.

I guess sellers with fool valuations of their homes that had pulled their listings waiting for a better day are back on the market in full force. LMAO!

do you notice this in your local market as well?

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  1. toothfairy


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    1   3:19pm Thu 17 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  
  2. Patrick


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    2   4:40pm Thu 17 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    I think it's definitely true that low-end inventory is moving more quickly, while the high end seems to just be sitting there.

    It's just an anecdote, but I reviewed this place near me on April 14th:

    http://patrick.net/forum/?p=1211265

    It's still sitting there unsold:

    http://1140middle.com/Welcome.html

  3. CL


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    3   5:15pm Thu 17 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I wonder if higher priced homes have special circumstances:

    Non-conforming loans, no assistance from the Gov
    Higher Income, so above any hardship limits
    Believed they could stick-it-out until a turnaround that never came
    HELOCs kept in bank's portfolio, so more painful to dump
    Houseowner has more equity from rolling former houses, or large downpayments
    Banks hoping to recoup more after a manufactured uptick

    Whatever it is, it's what I see (anecdotally) in the Oakland Hills and environs

  4. bubblesitter


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    4   7:56pm Thu 17 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    Patrick says

    I think it's definitely true that low-end inventory is moving more quickly, while the high end seems to just be sitting there.

    Everything other then low-end is a risk to anybody who gets a hand on it. In my zip code there are plenty 600K+ now popping up since their post 2009 purchase and guess what? they are listed lower then their last bought price.

  5. rooemoore


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    5   8:34pm Thu 17 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

  6. Patrick


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    6   8:58am Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    OK, it's still sitting there without a "Pending" sign or anything. Just "For sale".

  7. CL


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    7   10:17am Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    rooemoore says

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

    I can't even afford to drive through Piedmont.

  8. Patrick


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    8   12:02pm Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Protected  

    In Atherton, when the police see someone in any car other than a Jaguar, they pull them over to do a credit check.

  9. RentingForHalfTheCost


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    9   12:50pm Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    Back in eastern Canada, even the welfare recipients that get free housing, would have complained about the lack of character in this house. The value of that place to me is in the 300-400K range. Nothing more.

  10. RentingForHalfTheCost


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    10   12:52pm Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    ptiemann says

    Escrow is supposed to close 05/22/2012.

    So.. with 28 days escrow, it is NOT a cash buyer.

    Glad it is not my money. Easy come easy go.

  11. FortWayne


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    11   1:31pm Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CL says

    I wonder if higher priced homes have special circumstances:

    Non-conforming loans, no assistance from the Gov

    Higher Income, so above any hardship limits

    Believed they could stick-it-out until a turnaround that never came

    HELOCs kept in bank's portfolio, so more painful to dump

    Houseowner has more equity from rolling former houses, or large downpayments

    Banks hoping to recoup more after a manufactured uptick

    Whatever it is, it's what I see (anecdotally) in the Oakland Hills and environs

    Government is only bailing out up to certain limit, 600,000 something like that.... so high end housing isn't on that list.

  12. CL


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    12   3:40pm Fri 18 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    FortWayne says

    Government is only bailing out up to certain limit, 600,000 something like that.... so high end housing isn't on that list.

    I think the highend areas are still 729K or so. It seems like it's a different market with different factors. That shoe is slower to drop.

  13. RealEstateCafe


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    13   3:49am Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Here are two perspectives on the luxury housing market in Boston, the first bullish; and the second (our own), bearish. Although our comments about seasonality were among the industry perspectives presented in the Boston Business Journal’s “premium content," it did not make this video by CBS NEWS

    Luxury Home Sales Rise (05/14/12)
    http://boston.cbslocal.com/2012/05/14/luxury-home-sales-rise/

    Here’s are more compelling stats and a graph from our ongoing research into “Million Dollar Markdowns” (M$M) and other trends in the luxury housing market across Massachusetts:

    Luxury home sales: Mixed signals, spin invite satire, monitoring.
    http://bit.ly/LuxRESpin

    Any other housing markets seeing "million dollar markdowns" (M$M) initiated by sellers / listing agents, or M$M price concessions negotiated by buyers / buyer agents?

  14. ArtimusMaxtor


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    14   10:43am Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Luxury homes can always be bought a a deep, deep discount no matter if everything is up or down its an indicator of nothing and a really good fucking way to get soaked.

    Now for some real horseshit. Jerusalem the unoffical anthem of England.

    The "unoffical" tale goes Jesus sent the Jews to England after the Romans invaded. Joseph the "tin smith" actually sailed there supposedly. Mary was supposed to be there to in some legends. More people believe this than you would expect. Especially Hebrews. A lot of people in England believe it to. It's all bullshit of course since there was no "Jesus". Just a bunch of skeevy usuors with some clever ways. It wouldn't be so sad however people believed this crap for centuries. They still do today.

  15. John77777


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    15   1:55pm Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I'm sitting here in an upper-end home, but it's not for sale. Still, according to Zillow (for whatever that's worth), it's worth less today than a few years ago. Do I care? No. The house is paid for and it's all relative.

  16. Malkovich


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    16   8:45pm Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CL says

    rooemoore says

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

    I can't even afford to drive through Piedmont.

    Tell me about it: My and my GF were looking for some cheap breakfast a couple weekends ago. We stopped in a charming little place called Camino on Grand. Turned out to be a $60 brunch.

  17. Mick Russom


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    17   11:50pm Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Nobody actually makes enough money to sustain the taxes, upkeep and cost of owning 500K+ homes for very long. not even at 4%. not ever in california. Its a new bubble, not as big as the last, but its a bubble forming again, it it will end the same way. Mortgaging the future with uncertain income (most of all of us not buying a house outright or with more than 65% equity have uncertain futures and incomes) is a definite way to end up in the tank. Again. yes, the same as last time. Interest rates could even be slightly negative and it still wont save this ponzi.

  18. Mick Russom


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    18   11:52pm Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Patrick says

    t's still sitting there unsold:

    http://1140middle.com/Welcome.html

    A rusty 60 year old mold infested absestos dump! I want one! Only 1.2 million ask!? Chump change. Ill just need to get three more jobs to my existing two! No sweat.

  19. Mick Russom


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    19   11:53pm Sat 19 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Patrick says

    In Atherton, when the police see someone in any car other than a Jaguar, they pull them over to do a credit check.

    Yeah, its so they know how much they can write the ticket for? A pickup truck full of day workers? Catch and release. A middle class guy with kids? Stick it to them. hard.

  20. CL


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    20   10:28am Sun 20 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Malkovich says

    CL says

    rooemoore says

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

    I can't even afford to drive through Piedmont.

    Tell me about it: My and my GF were looking for some cheap breakfast a couple weekends ago. We stopped in a charming little place called Camino on Grand. Turned out to be a $60 brunch.

    I think that's Oakland, no?

    Piedmont has some beautiful early 1900s mansions...really beautiful. "The city of millionaires!"

  21. rooemoore


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    21   11:20am Sun 20 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CL says

    Malkovich says

    CL says

    rooemoore says

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

    I can't even afford to drive through Piedmont.

    Tell me about it: My and my GF were looking for some cheap breakfast a couple weekends ago. We stopped in a charming little place called Camino on Grand. Turned out to be a $60 brunch.

    I think that's Oakland, no?

    Piedmont has some beautiful early 1900s mansions...really beautiful. "The city of millionaires!"

    Nice homes, priced well, are getting 15 -20 offers with some getting as much as 30% over asking. It's nuts.

  22. rooemoore


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    22   6:34pm Wed 23 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Larry Is A Liar says

    rooemoore says

    Nice homes, priced well, are getting 15 -20 offers with some getting as much as 30% over asking. It's nuts.

    Which eventually turns into 15-20 houses with no interest after 30% price reductions.

    It always happens.

    Not in anytime soon in Piedmont. Maybe where you live though. In case you hadn't noticed, the top 1% of the 1% are doing pretty well these days. The rest of us are fucked.

  23. rufita11


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    23   9:50pm Wed 23 May 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CL says

    rooemoore says

    FWIW, Piedmont Ca is pretty hot right now.

    I can't even afford to drive through Piedmont.

    I rented in Piedmont. It is a unique place. A little unreal at times, but lovely, with mostly friendly neighbors. Fact remains that you can still hear gunshots at night from down the hill in Oakland.

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