http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Refis-on-underwater-jumbo-loans-nearly-impossible-3657762.php
This should have an impact on the Fortress.
Biff
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This should have an impact on the Fortress.
Biff
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Refi of any declining value RE does not makes sense,not just jumbo loans - it only makes sense to walk out,holding out for the return of golden year values would not be wise.
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Is anyone in the fortress areas underwater?
PS: I'm a renter, don't flame me. I'm amazed at how prices keep going up in the fortress. They're in their own little world. This is a serious question.
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agst says
No they are not going up.
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Burn them!
Burn the fucking McMansions!
Nail the fucking Realtor®s inside the fucking things and light them the fuck up!
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That's right. Anyone who isn't arguing that FHA limits on 3/2s in Stockton should be north of a million bucks is a fucking 'perma-bear' psycho, though realistically it should be closer to $10 million!
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ptiemann says
Aw, why are you calling their bluff? Yep, expect the post to disappear. :0)
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agst says
No doubt, but the number is negligible. Take Alamo for example, there is like 1 property per month that receives a Notice of Default. Palo Alto has a couple NODs per month but most of them still have equity in their homes. They could definitely sell them and still walk away with money in their pocket.
I see properties that still have plenty of equity got foreclosed and auctioned off at the courthouse steps all the time whether they are in the fortress or not. However, the ratio is overwhelming for properties in the fortress/non-fortress. I guess it is because their properties held up in value much better.
I'm helping a guy to buy an $800k SFH in Mountain View at the courthouse steps for all cash. It's been almost six months and we haven't found anything yet. :(
There is essentially nothing came up for auction. How can you buy when nothing is for sell? How can price fall when they don't sell if they don't get the price they want? Either you pay their wishing price or they're not selling. Frustrating isn't it? But it is what it is. :)
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ptiemann says
Actually, I'm somewhat of an anti-debt / perma bear too. But the government and every one else has the back of borrowers (atleast those that are strong enough under some stress). A prolonged tech recession would seriously sting the fortress areas around the SF bay for sure, but that is not looking likely. However, 30 years is too long to gamble - that's what most people seem to be unconcerned about when they grab those loans. The government came by this time and someone will come by the next time too, but there will be collateral damage and you've got to make sure it's not you.
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Looking at the numbers in the article's examples, it doesn't look like these people were putting 20% down. I hardly call that "buying what you can afford." It sucks for them that they are stuck with higher rates (which are still pretty low, historically), but it is what it is. When you take a jumbo loan, it should register that you are borrowing a lot of money and that it doesn't conform to the same rules as smaller ones...hence "non-conforming."
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Why not allow folks who are underwater, or everyone for that matter, access to money at zero percent interest?
Here we have folks paying 6.75% to a bank that is borrowing from us at near zero percent. So who is continually bailing out the banks, and paying their bonuses? Folks like the couple described in this story, and also the rest of us.
What clearer example does anyone need to see who is running this country?