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A FB Stock "What If?"

By bmwman91   Follow   Wed, 1 Aug 2012, 12:30pm   2,689 views   33 comments
In Mountain View CA 94043   Watch (0)   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

OK, so the stock has been trending down since the IPO. The employee lockup ends in less than a month. Stock bears are probably setting up short positions on FB across the board in anticipation of the employees unloading as fast as they can, and FB dumping 350M+ shares to cover the taxes.

What if....?

What if FB management told all employees to HOLD their shares the day that the lockup expires, rather than dump? All of the shorters would panic & have to cover their positions, driving the price up. Then employees could unload the next day at a higher price. How likely is it that FB would actually form this internal strategy? No idea. How likely is it that employees would actually NOT sell at the first chance since the future price really is unknown? No idea.

What say ye, users of the P.Net?

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1. Vicente Follow Befriend (8) 203 threads 4,403 comments Davis, CA

   1   12:39pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   bmwman91 says What if FB management told all employees to HOLD their shares the day that the lockup expires, rather than dump? Nothing would send a stronger signal of weakness than word of such a move to leak out. There's no way you could send that message without someone blabbing it. "Three people can keep a secret, if two of them are dead." - Benjamin Franklin

2. zzyzzx Follow Befriend (9) 412 threads 4,116 comments Baltimore, MD

   2   12:40pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike (1)   I doubt anyone could realistically do this. I wouldn't expect the employees to not dump the stock just because you asked them to. By in large, people are pigs and will want to dump the stock to pay for hookers & blow, rims, big screen TV's, shopping trips, vacations, or even pay down debts before they would hold on to that stinker of a stock.

3. bmwman91 Follow Befriend (7) 37 threads 1,526 comments Mountain View, CA bmwman91's website Premium

   3   2:01pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   LOL OK, so feasibility is probably zero. I suppose that it is especially so since FB is all about sharing every detail of your life. Someone would squeal. So, who has taken up short positions for Aug 19 (that's the day, right)? Surely there is a mountain of shorts piled up for that day by now.

4. swebb Follow Befriend (3) 29 threads 490 comments Denver, CO

   4   2:09pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   I don't follow it that closely...are there an excessive amount of short positions? Just sharing the idea that the short positions are weighing down the stock might be enough to get people to consider holding it for a little while longer -- just because it might be in their individual interest if they individually do it. Trying to sell it as a big collective "good of the whole" kind of move...doubtful. If I were a FBer with a lot of stock, I'd probably sell a portion of it on the day the lockup ends, but I probably wouldn't want to sell all of it at the same time "everyone else" was...I would be likely to hold on to it and average it out over months or a few years. Hard to say.

5. Vicente Follow Befriend (8) 203 threads 4,403 comments Davis, CA

   5   2:32pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike   bmwman91 says So, who has taken up short positions for Aug 19 (that's the day, right)? Not me. I don't like crowded trades.

6. RentingForHalfTheCost Follow Befriend (8) 38 threads 2,000 comments Pleasanton, CA Premium

   6   2:55pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Facebook is on its way to the teens! Code is not that complicated and nothing about FB justifies a 50B market cap. It is a site of gossip and photos. People get saturated with it eventually and then just check in a few times a week to see what everyone is doing. When they make a product let me know. At 50B they should be selling something to someone.

7. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich Follow Befriend (28) 170 threads 4,173 comments Premium

   7   2:58pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Facebook is on its way to federal court in the ninth district for fraud and final delisting. This thing stinks to high heaven.

8. Facebooksux Follow Befriend (2) 2 threads 223 comments Mountain View, CA

   8   3:27pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Keep an eye out on that other POS company--Linkedin. Lots of insider selling going on and their earnings are due out tomorrow. How this stock is priced so high is beyond me. On the bright side, once these pieces of crap tank, I think it's going to put a serious downer on the whole bay area housing hype-machine. Also, AF, I've been watching The Walking Dead and planning out logistics for Cannibal Anarchy. I'm going to go with Yams instead of regular potatoes because I don't want to get Diabeetus during the apocalypse. Yams are MUCH more nutritious and have a lower glycemic index.

9. Vicente Follow Befriend (8) 203 threads 4,403 comments Davis, CA

   9   3:42pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Facebooksux says I've been watching The Walking Dead

10. REpro Follow Befriend (1) 22 threads 469 comments San Jose, CA

    10   3:55pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Most likely, employee will jump and sell. What supposed to be a Goldmine is now running fast out of Gold.

11. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich Follow Befriend (28) 170 threads 4,173 comments Premium

    11   3:58pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Facebooksux says I'm going to go with Yams instead of regular potatoes because I don't want to get Diabeetus during the apocalypse. Yams are MUCH more nutritious and have a lower glycemic index. You've contributed to my appreciation of the yam. But what kind of cultivation do they need to grow?

12. mell Follow Befriend (5) 53 threads 1,300 comments Premium

    12   4:03pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Facebook is on its way to federal court in the ninth district for fraud and final delisting. This thing stinks to high heaven. Sorry, that's your wishful thinking - while your accusations might have merit, the SEC/FBI is too busy watching porn. Nobody here goes to prison for financial crimes. Judges can and will be bought and paid for. Although delisting is a real possibility at least ;)

13. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich Follow Befriend (28) 170 threads 4,173 comments Premium

    13   4:06pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Big difference: Zuckfuck has lied and cheated everyone he's ever spoken to - including people who can afford lawyers working for most of a decade to make sure he ends up in a wedding dress in a supermax, bent over a lunch table while neonazi serial killers shred his asshole for him. The twin fucktards should take a piece of their settlement and hire some lawyers to build some referrals to Justice and hold quarterly press conferences on Zuckfuck's crimes, until he's indicted and put away. Make it into a reality TV show.

14. bmwman91 Follow Befriend (7) 37 threads 1,526 comments Mountain View, CA bmwman91's website Premium

    14   4:11pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Zuckfuck has lied and cheated everyone he's ever spoken to - including people who can afford lawyers working for most of a decade to make sure he ends up in a wedding dress in a supermax, bent over a lunch table while neonazi serial killers shred his asshole for him. Oh man, post of the YEAR.

15. Dan8267 Follow Befriend (16) 761 threads 7,688 comments Boca Raton, FL Premium

    15   4:48pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Zuckfuck has lied and cheated everyone he's ever spoken to - including people who can afford lawyers working for most of a decade to make sure he ends up in a wedding dress in a supermax, bent over a lunch table while neonazi serial killers shred his asshole for him. Got Zuckfuck a present. Just be sure not to drop it.

16. bmwman91 Follow Befriend (7) 37 threads 1,526 comments Mountain View, CA bmwman91's website Premium

    16   5:40pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike

17. mell Follow Befriend (5) 53 threads 1,300 comments Premium

    17   5:47pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Big difference: Zuckfuck has lied and cheated everyone he's ever spoken to - including people who can afford lawyers working for most of a decade to make sure he ends up in a wedding dress in a supermax, bent over a lunch table while neonazi serial killers shred his asshole for him. The twin fucktards should take a piece of their settlement and hire some lawyers to build some referrals to Justice and hold quarterly press conferences on Zuckfuck's crimes, until he's indicted and put away. Make it into a reality TV show. Maybe so - he is also not a member of Wall Street. Let's see if we can get some fireworks.

18. Facebooksux Follow Befriend (2) 2 threads 223 comments Mountain View, CA

    18   5:48pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Facebooksux says I'm going to go with Yams instead of regular potatoes because I don't want to get Diabeetus during the apocalypse. Yams are MUCH more nutritious and have a lower glycemic index. You've contributed to my appreciation of the yam. But what kind of cultivation do they need to grow? http://robbwolf.com/2011/04/20/growing-sweet-potatoes/

19. xenogear3 Follow Befriend 10 threads 419 comments

    19   8:31pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   If you don't sell, this thing will drop to less than a dollar.

20. E-man Follow Befriend (31) 34 threads 2,545 comments San Jose, CA Premium

    20   9:35pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   Fear & Greed. When the stock is falling, the employees are afraid that it will go even lower. So they're panic and try to lock in some free money while they can. When the stock is going up, they don't want to sell because they're afraid that it will go even higher. How many people are currently thinking of selling AAPL? I know a guy that works for FB. He has over 200k shares. I bet his wife would tell him to sell 50k shares to lock in $1M before the stock goes even lower. No reason to let all of it ride. We were talking about the guy worth over $7M when FB went public. Now he's worth just over $4M in a few short months.

21. Buster Follow Befriend (7) 22 threads 325 comments

    21   9:57pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   E-man says Now he's worth just over $4M in a few short months. Microscopic violin playing inaudible sounds. zero tears.

22. FortWayne Follow Befriend (13) 102 threads 3,762 comments

    22   10:47pm Wed 1 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   It's a good short coming.

23. bmwman91 Follow Befriend (7) 37 threads 1,526 comments Mountain View, CA bmwman91's website Premium

    23   11:06am Thu 2 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Buster says E-man says Now he's worth just over $4M in a few short months. Microscopic violin playing inaudible sounds. zero tears.

24. thunderlips11 Follow Befriend (13) 50 threads 2,626 comments Premium

    24   12:25pm Thu 2 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Yeehah!

25. errc Follow Befriend (7) 29 threads 1,204 comments 31 male Premium

    25   11:38am Sat 4 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Facebooksux says I'm going to go with Yams instead of regular potatoes because I don't want to get Diabeetus during the apocalypse. Yams are MUCH more nutritious and have a lower glycemic index. You've contributed to my appreciation of the yam. But what kind of cultivation do they need to grow? Sweet potatoes and yams are two different things Sweet potatoes and white potatoes are also, two different things White potatoes suck to grow, not only because potatoe beetles will find them and eat them, but because they are nutritionally lacking Sweet potatoes are rather easy to grow (think of having morning glorys,,,,then think of trying to get rid of them) and are as nutritious a 'starch' as you'll come across, not to mention they are very tasty and they stand alone, unlike white potatoes that require salt, pepper and butter. They are a low maintenance grow, because they vine with broad leaves so once they've taken to a healthy root, they double as a ground cover so less weeds to pull,,,,, I'm not certain but id imagine that white potatoes probaly store/keep a little better, but ill pass. I do enjoy the hell out of those tasty little redskinned potatoes

26. New Renter Follow Befriend (3) 13 threads 2,201 comments San Jose, CA Premium

    26   11:48am Sat 4 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   True that. There is a guy in Santa Clara who runs a little stall in front of an asian grocery store. All he sells is roasted sweet potatoes. Hell yes they are good! Apocolypsefuck you should definitely grow these into your garden. Some onions wouldn't hurt either.

27. E-man Follow Befriend (31) 34 threads 2,545 comments San Jose, CA Premium

    27   8:24pm Sun 5 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Buster says E-man says Now he's worth just over $4M in a few short months. Microscopic violin playing inaudible sounds. zero tears. Buster & BMWman, That was funny. Thanks for the laugh. :)

28. Vicente Follow Befriend (8) 203 threads 4,403 comments Davis, CA

    28   12:52am Mon 13 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike   FB first wave of selloffs on Thursday.

29. everything Follow Befriend (2) 3 threads 546 comments Madison, WI

    29   1:59am Mon 13 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   FB is a hard stock to play, sure they could make an inside ask, I guess, in the IT world, it can be hard to set a standard, sadly, you can't just snap your fingers and make IT work for you instantly, although the cloud is trying to pull us in that direction more in it's own way. A good company in it's infancy often has many great possibilities but you can't try and do everything at once either.

30. StoutFiles Follow Befriend (1) 24 threads 557 comments

    30   5:37am Mon 13 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike   Their CEO and majority shareholder has shirtless hangouts with his moronic friends. His "Director of Engineering", who is supposed to be the smartest person at the company, though it was a good idea to upload a picture of them all hanging out with their clothes off. It's a company for kids run by kids, and then investors wonder why none of the kids click ads. They might have half the internet on their site, but no one on that site is looking to spend money. Even the hugely popular Facebook games are losing steam, Zynga is dying a slow, painful death right now.

31. CaptainShuddup Follow Befriend (1) 247 threads 4,683 comments

    31   11:39am Mon 13 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike (1)   StoutFiles says Zynga is dying a slow, painful death right now. I keep telling my wife she needs a contingency plan she spends about 4 hours a day playing Farmville, or the latest Someville flavor of the month.

32. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich Follow Befriend (28) 170 threads 4,173 comments Premium

    32   2:48pm Mon 13 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike   Wow, FB is all gay guys?

33. Buster Follow Befriend (7) 22 threads 325 comments

    33   6:19am Tue 14 Aug 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich says Wow, FB is all gay guys? Yea, guess so...sort of like the Southern Baptist Convention. http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/aug/14/homophobe-jonathan-merritt-deserves-outed?newsfeed=true