Just how is it that things have improved or stabilized in northern CA?


By nehope   Follow   Tue, 23 Oct 2012, 6:33am   3,318 views   36 comments
In Martinez CA 94553   Watch (1)   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

http://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/2214-Pacheco-Blvd_Martinez_CA_94553_M25668-83426

Okay, I purchased the house in this link in 1996 for $119K, re-fied twice till total owed was 200K, and then sold it in 2006 for 406K - as is (and it needed a lot of expensive work). When I owned it it was 2bd 2ba, 1100 sq ft with no central air or heat. The people who bought it apparently sunk a great deal of money - now 3 bd 2ba, 1300 sq ft with garage finished as in-law and central air/heat. They also put on a new roof, redid the front porch and replaced the concrete in the back yard with grass. A lot of money! Anyway, I doubt this will sell for $199K especially as the house next door went for $135K as a foreclosure. I also noticed as I searched this zip code (been keeping a eye on it since I left) there were only 50 houses for sale in Martinez where there used to be hundreds. Has everyone given up or are those now part of the so-called "shadow inventory" waiting to be loosed on the world?

I feel sorry for these folks - first house, young family, probably poured their hearts & souls into making this a home, but I've been predicting this would happen for six years and it still makes me sad. Especially since I won this game - despite having used that house as an ATM for ten years, I still walked away with enough to pay cash for a brand new house in NC.

Anyway, I don't see an end in sight out there.

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  1. Goran_K


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    1   7:49am Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    In short, no. California as a whole is still bleeding more jobs than it is creating, especially in the sweet spot ($50,000+). Of course if you want to be part-time employed, or work in Fast Food, there are lots of those jobs.

    The housing market had a short dead cat bounce, but it came at the cost of demand destruction, and now the market volume is extremely low.

    The fiscal cliff is coming, and I'm looking forward to seeing more homeless people as a whole.

  2. pdg


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    2   8:03am Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Wow, was that post just a drawn out excuse to pat yourself on the back? If you had left out your involvement in the house your post might have come across as sincere.

  3. pazuzu


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    3   9:38am Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike (1)  

    "Or sometime between now and 2028, for $500k, that would be the next peak."

    Wow, no offense ptiemann but you are in fucking fantasy land.

  4. Goran_K


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    4   9:40am Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    I think his scenario could come true if compensation rises by 3% to 5% annually as well.

    Anyone see that happening?

  5. pazuzu


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    5   9:53am Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  
  6. bubblesitter


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    6   4:16pm Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Goran_K says

    I think his scenario could come true if compensation rises by 3% to 5% annually as well.

    Anyone see that happening?

    Well,compensation has not gone anywhere in last few years,so our govt. decided to keep rates super low to keep the mortgage payment the same. I don't see that wage hikes but yeah interest will remain low despite temporary bumps.

  7. Goran_K


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    7   4:21pm Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike  

    bubblesitter says

    Well,compensation has not gone anywhere in last few years,so our govt. decided to keep rates super low to keep the mortgage payment the same. I don't see that wage hikes but yeah interest will remain low despite temporary bumps.

    When the government starts paying us to borrow money, then you'll know cannibal anarchy is right around the corner.

  8. rufita11


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    8   5:14pm Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    ptiemann says

    I believe that whoever buys this now for ~$200k will be doing similarly well. Think of it.. $119k adjusted for inflation over 16 years is..

    In the meantime, the house is getting older and older, and the neighborhood is getting worse and worse.

  9. pkennedy


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    9   5:43pm Tue 23 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    In 1996 interest rates were 8.5%. Using no inflation, that 119K loan would have cost around $915/month back then and today you could get a loan for 200K for the same monthly payment. Not factoring in any inflation.

  10. bubblesitter


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    10   9:03am Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    Goran_K says

    When the government starts paying us to borrow money, then you'll know cannibal anarchy is right around the corner.

    Sure. Where is AF lately? I miss his comments.

  11. CDon


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    11   11:21am Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    Unless he is trying to troll you, he may be confused because while the word sounds like "wallah" it is actually spelled "Voila"

    http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/voil%C3%A0

  12. ZoabKhan


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    12   12:49pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (2)   Dislike  

    So i have a question for you guys.

    A few days ago we went looking for a townhome in Sunnyvale/Santa Clara area. I make decent money. Probably a little above avg for Silicon Valley.

    We went to 2 new property builders

    1. Taylor Morrision is the builder, on Duane ave, across street from AMD. Called 37degrees. The models are releasing in November. We walk in and are told the price range is 740k to 800k and they have multiple offers on them. And we could put in a bid. The size of the homes is..1700 to 2100sqft.

    2. A few minutes walk from this place also on Duane Ave is a a place called Fusion. Prices start in the high 550's(out of our range already). The one we liked was decent, 4/3 1900sq feet. Good size for this area. I walk into the office and are told bidding starts at 850k. WTFFFFF.

    3. While depressed, we drove around a saw a couple of townhomes about 5-6 years old in Santa Clara. Saw a decent one around Scott Blvd, a 1700 sq ft 3/2 selling for 600k+ in a matter of days the realtor tells me and they got multiple offers.

    Who is buying all these places? I am very confused as to what has changed in the last 1 year that prices middle of the road townhomes in the dumps of Sunnyvale and Santa Clara are selling for 750-850k and getting multiple offers. Meanwhile my rent is being raised about $300/month.

  13. edvard2


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    13   2:25pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Darrell In Phoenix says

    He's a certifiable idiot..

    Exactly how do you come to that conclusion seeing as how you do not personally know me? Inquiring minds want to know...

  14. edvard2


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    14   2:31pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    You didn't answer the question.
    Moving on,
    1: How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    2: How long have you saved cash for a house?

    Just curious...

  15. edvard2


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    15   2:52pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    This seems to be a common theme on this site: ask any of those who flatly deny that the housing market might have changed a question and you'll never get an answer. Seeing as how this post was about improvements in the NorCal housing market, the questions I asked were directly related. So do you have answers or not?

  16. rufita11


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    16   3:10pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ptiemann says

    rufita11 says

    ptiemann says

    I believe that whoever buys this now for ~$200k will be doing similarly well. Think of it.. $119k adjusted for inflation over 16 years is..

    In the meantime, the house is getting older and older, and the neighborhood is getting worse and worse.

    Did you see the original poster mention that the current owner spent money on improvements e.g. central heating, room addition (garage conversion), landscaping etc?

    Selective reading?

    They could make it into a marble palace, but it would still be on Pacheco Blvd., which is situated in a pretty dismal, industrial area between freeways, the dump, and a couple refineries. That area is full of homeless methheads too. Downtown Martinez may seem quaint, but it's really not. You (and my brother) are lucky enough to live in Capitola, so you don't really understand the context.

  17. edvard2


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    17   3:19pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I'll answer the question for you.
    I waited out the bubble for close to 13 years.
    I watched the market fall from its height to its bottom
    I saved up a lot of cash
    I then bought a house I could easily afford
    My payments are less than what I paid for rent.

    The reason you won't answer the question is because doing so more or less disproves your argument.

  18. edvard2


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    18   3:27pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Dude, you lost the argument.

  19. edvard2


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    19   3:51pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I already did. Again- you aren't going to answer the questions I asked because again-doing so would more or less prove my point.

  20. Facebooksux


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    20   3:58pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ZoabKhan says

    . A few minutes walk from this place also on Duane Ave is a a place called Fusion. Prices start in the high 550's(out of our range already). The one we liked was decent, 4/3 1900sq feet. Good size for this area. I walk into the office and are told bidding starts at 850k. WTFFFFF.

    3. While depressed, we drove around a saw a couple of townhomes about 5-6 years old in Santa Clara. Saw a decent one around Scott Blvd, a 1700 sq ft 3/2 selling for 600k+ in a matter of days the realtor tells me and they got multiple offers.

    Who is buying all these places? I am very confused as to what has changed in the last 1 year that prices middle of the road townhomes in the dumps of Sunnyvale and Santa Clara are selling for 750-850k and getting multiple offers. Meanwhile my rent is being raised about $300/month.

    I looked into renting at Fusion from a Craigslist ad last year.

    The landlord was your typical computer geek/pinhead. Barely in his early twenties, Chinese, with an accent, unkempt, coke bottle glasses, etc. I'm not being racist. Just laying out the demographic. I asked him where he works and he said he's an engineer at google.

    This guy told me he bought TWO of the townhomes and he's renting one out.

    Now, I doubt he's a long-time employee with millions in the bank. If he were, he wouldn't be living in shitty Sunnyvale, across from crapboxes built in the 50s.

    He either got 2 FHA loans or has rich parents in China who own sweatshops.

    Again, not being Xenophobic but we all know that Chinese wealth is built upon corruption and treating humans like animals with no regard to their well being or safety (not much different than us, but at least we have some modicum of worker safety).

  21. edvard2


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    21   4:00pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Darrell In Phoenix says

    Again. You didn't answer the question.

    Is there a skipping record in here? Give it a rest. Like I said-you already lost the argument so give it up.

  22. Facebooksux


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    22   4:00pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ZoabKhan says

    Meanwhile my rent is being raised about $300/month.

    HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE??

  23. edvard2


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    23   4:06pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    1: How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    2: How long have you saved cash for a house?

  24. edvard2


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    24   4:15pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    How long have you saved cash for a house?

  25. edvard2


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    25   4:23pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    edvard2 says

    How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    How long have you saved cash for a house?

  26. edvard2


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    26   4:25pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ANSWER the questions:
    How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    How long have you saved cash for a house?

  27. FunTime


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    27   6:06pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CDon says

    Unless he is trying to troll you

    HA! Internet is confusion.

  28. FunTime


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    28   6:08pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Darrell In Phoenix says

    You didn't answer the question.
    What is "Wallah"?
    Just curious.

    Dude. Chill. It's bread for French toast.

  29. edvard2


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    29   7:10pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    How long have you saved cash for a house?

  30. edvard2


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    30   7:14pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    You didn't answer the questions:
    How long have you been waiting for the bubble to pop assuming there still is one?
    How long have you saved cash for a house?

  31. wave9x


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    31   7:35pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Darrell are you a dweeb or just a run-of-the-mill retard? You really are devaluing what is left of anything of substance on this site.

  32. soopercommuter


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    32   9:33pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    MORON, you friggin looked it up. You know he meant Voi'la. 90% of Americans write it as walla or something like that. What, you think that is the only foreign phrase that yanks misspell? Give it a rest will ya. Your childish ranting is sooooo getting old.

  33. ZoabKhan


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    33   11:04pm Wed 24 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    facebooksux,

    Our rent has gone up about 600/month in our 2nd year of lease.

  34. bubblesitter


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    34   8:12am Thu 25 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ZoabKhan says

    facebooksux,

    Our rent has gone up about 600/month in our 2nd year of lease.

    Get the hell out of there.

  35. FunTime


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    35   10:56am Thu 25 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    soopercommuter says

    90% of Americans write it as walla or something like that. What, you think that is the only foreign phrase that yanks misspell? Give it a rest will ya. Your childish ranting is sooooo getting old.

    I disagree and thought it was really funny. There's room for a little more education for all of us. I've been throwing out at least a type per comment.
    It sounds like this has been cause for anger, though, and I'm sad about that. I hope others enjoy the good humored side of the situation, since it seems clear that Darrell is here to lighten the conversation and to provide balance to a conversation that is normally extremely biased toward always, of course, why would you think otherwise, buying houses. The inundation of that message has driven people to decisions which significantly deter from their pursuit of happiness despite thoughts which seemed to align with that pursuit.

  36. bg


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    36   3:26pm Thu 25 Oct 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    bubblesitter says

    Where is AF lately? I miss his comments.

    Me, too.

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