http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/60f67b62c70b46b7afe08739233eb9e7/AZ--Home-Prices-Metro-Phoenix
PHOENIX — Real estate experts expect home prices in metropolitan Phoenix to continue to rise in the coming years.
The Phoenix area's median home price has jumped by 35 percent during the past year, though price gains in recent months have been smaller than earlier this year, The Arizona Republic reported.
Several experts are looking for metro Phoenix home prices to climb more than 10 percent annually during the next three years.
Matt Widdows, CEO of Arizona's largest residential-real-estate brokerage, HomeSmart, is bullish on a further rebound in home prices.
"I would say that in the next five to seven years, we will see (home) prices back to levels we saw in 2005," he said. "Many (Phoenix-area) homes dropped to one-third of their value in 2005, and I have no doubt that we will be right back to those levels."

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robertoaribas says
Dude. That's not correct. I bet BMWman and I get laid quite often. LOL!
One size doesn't fit all. LOL!!!
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You guys are freaking hilarious sometimes. That's why I love this forum. :)
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lostand confused says
my questions were for errr alone. i don't have a problem with people who don't want to buy. i disagree with his line of thinking that rooting for higher prices automatically equates evil. it would easily backfire.
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Yup says
I can see from your perspective, how that might look like the case... But no, that would be my pet golden retriever. For you, telling the difference between a pet dog and a booty call might be difficult I guess!
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iwog says
This sounds like a sell signal.
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Yup says
well, during my research years, i helped make bombs that can kill everybody!!!!! [ok, not entirely true, I worked more in the guidance and communication end, but still...]
you are really trying to scrape together something that doesn't exist!!!!
By all means, you go do your critical job for society! I'll sleep in, ride my bicycle on a desert trail to my job, go to the school gym by 2pm and do some yoga... When you take a day off from your cricitcally important job, and go to visit a nearby college, have a peak at a yoga class!!!!
{by the way, I teach at a very reasonably priced community college now! they pay me more than ASU did, and I don't have to do any research!!!!}
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yun, you really are a work... If you weren't so stupid, you would see that ALL of my decisions are driven by the math of the market.... graph phoenix prices and see when I was a bear (prices dropped) and when I was a bull (prices bottomed)
as if the ensuing 15% drop in prices AND interest rates from 5 to 3.5% didn't make any difference to the math.... NOT to mention my daily sudying of supply and demand...
Keep calling me names, you anonymous online coward.
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Yup says
so, those who contacted me through the blog and followed my advice made bank.. Why the hell should I give my valuable info away for free, so a lowlife turd like you could take it????
NOW I'll tell you what I think, because I am in contract to buy my last house.... And that's it. I've made my millions, now go to sleep so you can run that nuclear power plant!!!!!!
I need you rested and thinking clearly, so you don't blow up Palo Verde and ruin Phoenix!!!!
[I'll stay on posting, I don't have to get up early and do a critical job!!!!]
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how much are you betting? I'll take that bet! IF this price runup continues, I will sell. but here is why I am not today:
1. At our current rate, we will END all scheduled foreclosures in six to nine months. I don't expect that to happen, but clearly their influence on the market is going to drop in the very near future.
2. I'd give it another year to clear out the short sales...
3. I'd give it another year for prices to increase after that. Appraisers are stupid after all, and it will take some time for the dust to settle, AND appraisals to catch up with our market reality.
4. I can afford to gamble. the rent alone is reason enough for all my properties.
But, in case you don't believe my logic, you can actually see what I am doing by searching my name on
www.maricopa.gov. ALL of my transactions will appear, my name is not that common.
So, let's see: we have my track record, AND my actual data, versus your anonymous weakness.... ok!
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seriously, I give you the public records to search my purchases sales, and you respond by calling me a liar?? you are a pathetic little bitch!!!!!!
the internet gives you the place to act like this, In real life, you run form someone like me crying like the baby you are!!!!
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Yun, when did you sell? when did you buy? Oh! you completley bolloxed the market and your life!!!
Sorry about your foreclosure, but at least you have your "cricitally important" job to pay the daily bills! Keep it up! here's to you, i'll be sure to drink a toast on a tropical beach to you real soon!
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Yup says
the lying bitch would be you. The $8000 credit for first time buyers ended, prices plummeted over the next 5 months, THEN I bought.
Do you somehow equate buying five months after I said don't buy to lying? exactly how many months was I supposed to wait in your peabrain?
Lets face it: you are a bitter piece of shit. I won, you lost. PERIOD.
Now, go do your critical job. I am going to retire in a few more short years with my state funded retirement, PLUS my rental income and do whatever I please for the rest of my life; You will continue to work your critically important job... :-)
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My analysis was cogent and clear. Though that account no longer exists, you can find it from the title on zillow.com
http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/When-to-buy-a-home-for-the-thinkers-in-the-room/46686/
"when to buy for the thinkers in the room"
You see, I have always been honest about the logic of my decisions. But enough about me, tell me about your foreclosure. tell me how your wife left, and your life suxs. Maybe I can help you!
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yeah, I wasn't buying in June of 2010... we had another six months before signs showed up of a bottom, when I bought... So prices did exactly as I predicted, and dropped for the next half a year!
so what is your point? except to show that I was a bear PRECISELY when it was time to be a bear, and became a bull PRECISELY when it became time to be a bull?
If you weren't so stupid, you'd follow the math that led to exactly these timing decisions....
In fact, here is the deed of my VERY FIRST purchase after the bubble...
half a year later...
http://156.42.40.50/UnOfficialDocs/pdf/20101076304.pdf
so once again, all your digging is serving to prove, is what a genius I am, and what a dipshit you are!
[nice quick delete of that post, since it showed you as wrong as usual... I said don't buy.. and I didn't buy.... six months later, I started buying!]
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and actually, you pathetic MF, here is my post on patrick that I was buying, exactly when I started buying:
http://patrick.net/forum/?p=579064
now everyone can see what a worthless scum you are. I have ALWAYS been completely honest on here!
If you had any actual worth as a human, you would apologize, or at least delete that account and never come back!
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so recap: when I said don't buy, I wasn't buying.
as soon as I started buying, I posted the deals on here even before they closed.
so how does this work? fuck you forever!! i will now block you, and you can do as you wish. You don't deserve another post from me, because my posts are actually worth money to those that follow them, and you are a loser.
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Yup says
And the point is that it would have to utterly collapse in the example you gave. A PITI of less than $300 and a rental asking price of $875 - are you seriously not seeing the room for profit in that even with a massive decrease in the rental price? The only thing that this points to is that the house appears to be much better value as a purchase than renting. As for whether the rents are dropping on it, well, as we don't know what it used to rent for...
Yup says
Yes, really. You're clearly reading into it what you want it to mean rather than what he meant.
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Yup says
With that comment, I rather think you've proved his point.
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Yup says
Wow, a liar, a rat AND a teacher.
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Yup says
So what was your point? You can't say that rents are dropping because a price is listed below a Zillow estimate.
Yup says
In my experience, Zillow is often inaccurate.
Yup says
Oh FFS, one example where you don't know what it rented for, what it will rent for or how accurate the Zillow estimate is, and where Roberto thinks it might go for $750 is
a. not proof that rents are falling in Phoenix.
b. not evidence that Roberto agrees with your premise.
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rat, teacher... (actually professor)

your move azzhole, checkmate in 1!
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Yup says
Who knows, but so what if they did? It still makes those kind of purchases an absolute bargain. Here you have a property with a PITI of less than $300 and a rental price of up to 3 times more. Rather a lot of room there. You were implying that this landlord was in trouble. Is he fuck. He has so much room to maneuver that it is almost comical.
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Yup says
Grow up.
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Yup says
Give it a rest. It's $47 below a Zillow estimate. So fucking what.
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Yup says
What's a Zillow rent?
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Yup says
Oh FFS, give it a rest. So asking rents don't match Zillow estimates, whoop-de-doo. Why is it of so much concern to you that you'd trawl through Zillow finding rents that dont't match their estimate? It's sad and pointless. It doesn't matter what the estimate is. The only concern to a landlord is what his income is in comparison to his PITI. You started this nonsense by screaming blue murder over the fact that someone had a small discount on a Zillow price but completely ignored that his PITI was a third of that amount. It's just laughable what you are doing - you're just embarrassing yourself. And as for starting another thread accusing Roberto of being a liar just because you got in a huff with him...
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Yup says
God, I know what it is. It's not a rent though, is it? It's an estimate.
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Yup says
And yet the example you used to start your petty digs at Roberto was of a house with an asking rental of $875 and a PITI less than $300. What % return is that?
Yup says
Wow, so they will still make money at much lower rents (if or when that happens). Doesn't that run contrary to your screaming that they'll be DECIMATED? Seriously, I just don't get what you are doing. These people are buying cheap properties and renting them for far more than PITI. Even if the rents fall dramatically, people like Roberto will still be easily covering their PITI. Lucky them.
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Yup says
God, it was bloody obvious. And what do you mean 'why do I minimize the information I don't like?' A Zillow estimate is not rent. It's a bloody estimate. I'm not minimizing anything except your reliance on Zillow. As I keep saying and am getting unbelievably tired of repeating, the only issue is what the property actually rents for compared to PITI. You and I don't know whether the price the landlord finally gets represents a rise or a fall in rent because it has nothing to do with the Zillow estimate and everything to do with what the previous tenant was paying.
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Yup says
And I get that you don't get it. That too is fine.
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Yup says
If you know that they'll still make money, then why are you screaming that they'll be decimated? And just because the asking rents YOU list are below Zillow estimates does not mean that rents are falling as I keep pointing out. They might well be, but you are not demonstrating that. Just post up a chart of yearly/quarterly rental rates in the Phoenix area. It's simple. Zillow estimates are just that, estimates. And a few examples from thousands demonstrates nothing except you cherry picking some examples to fit your argument.
Look, presumably you had some purpose in trying to paint a picture of rapidly falling rents in Phoenix, but from reading this thread, it would appear that that purpose was to have a dig at Roberto. If that makes you happy...
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Yup says
This is what you were posting earlier. That is pathetic. He's a teacher. My wife is a university professor. If you don't think teaching is an extremely important profession, then you are a schmuck.
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Yup says
I have no idea because a handful of Zillow estimates that are higher than asking rents demonstrates nothing. What if the asking rents are higher than current ACTUAL rents? Anyway, the obvious answer given the differences between PITI and rents is that yes rents will probably fall because if they don't, then anyone with enough spare cash in Phoenix should take it out of the bank and stocks and stick it straight into RE. They'd be an idiot not to.
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Yup says
Fine, but did you really have to post all the shite and insults that you served up in this thread just because you think rents will fall in Phoenix? Seems to say rather a lot more about you than Roberto. I mean seriously, what was all that guff you were saying about how important your job is and how unimportant teaching is? Utterly laughable.
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Yup says
I suspect that you and I would agree on very little.
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Yup says
I don't know having never lived in Phoenix or even visited it. And there are plenty of shitholes in California...
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Bigsby says
that is like 50 miles away from where dipstick was talking about!!! I've lived here for 20 years, and that is so far out I don't even know where it is!!!!
Hey stop the presses: a zillow estimate might be wrong! bingo that proves all rents will drop by 100%!!!!!
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Bigsby says
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robertoaribas says
Looks like lipstick on a pig to me. You can punch your way out of the wall in case of emergency, that must count for something positive. $230K is not chump change also. At the medium salary in the US, that is decades of savings. All for something that 6 people take 3 weeks to build. Stupid stuff all around.
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RentingForHalfTheCost says
you would know, you've clearly been up close and personal with more pigs than me!
that pig in the picture is rented for $1100 a month. hoa is 100, tax 800 a year, insurance 750 a year... I spent about $6k fixing it up, plus my time... Cost $80K, no mortgage...