http://finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-calpers-triggers-legal-fight-093110813.html I have been saying for some time that this is Calpers versus Wall Street. Will the Federal judge screw with California law and let Wall Street win?

Calpers triggers legal fight with bankrupt San Bernardino over pension debt
By bgamall4 Follow Wed, 28 Nov 2012, 8:43am 1,837 views 38 comments
In Las Vegas NV 89117
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Pleasanton, CA
It will be a fight among the creditors, secured, unsecured. The best Calpers can hope for is to be first in line amongst unsecured creditors. The situation hasn't been tested because the cities that have gone bankrupt did not want another costly legal entanglement and deferred to Calpers. However, the creditors can sue each other apparently, and that means Wall Street vs. Calpers.
I would imagine that ultimately Calpers will lose. Cowardly, pork barrel politicians won't solve the mess, only bankruptcy can cut the Gordian knot of waste and special interests.
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Ceffer says
That would be too bad, because California law protects Calpers.
Wall Street must not win this.
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Oddly, the teacher's version of Calpers just don't get much press.
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Bellingham, WA
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CalSTRS is at a 70% funding level:
http://www.pionline.com/article/20120409/REG/120409899
with $155B of investments under management.
CalPERS has $240B and allegedly is 80% funded.
But both of these funding levels are assuming ~7.5% long-run returns.
CalPERS's actual return for FY11 was . . . 0.1%.
The missing 7.5% of interest income is . . . $18B or so that either has to be made up immediately, or a lot more down the road, since by the rule 72, 7.5% interest doubles the principal in only 10 years . . .
I don't know what's going to happen with California's pension issue, but it's a major, major problem coming down the pike.
And all the people with spiked pensions and other miscellaneous bullshit is going to create an immense public backlash, too.
The Howard Jarvis people called me into a paid focus group not too long ago, and my advice to them was nail the unions on this pension issue, since that's their achilles heel.
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Pleasanton, CA
California judges have pensions, too. It would seem they have an automatic conflict of interest, which points to the Feds resolving the legal issues above the state level. State laws exist in force where they don't conflict with Federal laws. One would assume that the same legislators that give themselves the store are the ones who constructed the state laws about pensions.
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Bellingham Bill says
So you are a Wall Street creep? Or what are you?
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Melmakian says
Two laws. One governs pensions and another governs bankruptcy. The pension law should be preserved.
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Pleasanton, CA
The Rhode Island case does not bode well for Calpers. It is a feast for lawyers, but they should hone their negotiation skills rather than waste more mounds of money in court holding out for vapor.
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Bellingham, WA
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bgamall4 says
random "focus group". Paid $100 + a free subway sandwich. Thanks Howard Jarvis!
I detest Howard Jarvis organization completely, but everyone has their price.
I also think the unfunded liability issue for California is truly stupendously critical. The two pension funds need 5% REAL returns or things are going to get pretty sticky 10-20 years down the road.
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/WGS30YR
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Goleta, CA
As an Engineer who has a few patents and made a bunch of equipment used in part by law enforcement, I am a bit alarmed by the pay of police in Bell California.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2012/08/ousted-bell-police-chief-wants-severance-pay-.html
Might also have something to do with my pension is about 1/40th of this dude.
Keep on voting for Democrats, Cali............
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Laguna Beach, CA
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CalPERs helping put another city into fiscal ruin. No surprise here.
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Goleta, CA
Developing a Bell Curve, If we have about 30K Cali Union and Public workers getting over $100K, this is an annual obligation of about $3B per year. This is about 1/4th the Cali Annual Deficit, I recall.
Would really be interesting to track back to when Cali was making computers, electronics, Blackbirds, Apollo, and Space Shuttle.
The private sector shrivels, and the public sector grows. Democrats are brilliant!
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Laguna Beach, CA
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Social engineering never works. Want to see what it eventually creates? Just take a look at Stockton, CA.
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Bellingham, WA
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Entitlemented says
Dude, Apple & Google's market caps are $800B.
Entitlemented says
California's imbalance is mainly our high cost of housing, which is in fact stripping hundreds of billions out of the paycheck economy into the hands of the 1%.
Compared to that structural imbalance the pension BS is miniscule.
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Goran_K says
take a look at Stockholm, SE and get back to me on that minarchist bullshit.
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Goleta, CA
Take out a calculator. Most of the stuff of Apple is made in China, whos labor costs are lower, and have enterprize low tax zones.
Now look back to 1980 when 20% of Californians worked in R&D, manufacturing, and Engineering, of products that could be sold and taxed in California.
Now look at Californias 8% current manufacturing and R&D (Counting also that the stuff not all made here). I think that agric is also counted in this?
Also, look up where Apple is incorporated.
Before you yell, please punch in a few number in your calculator.
It not just housing, Dems have lowered rates to keep housing high (for continued payments to CALPERS, and other treats)
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Laguna Beach, CA
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Bellingham Bill says
Yes, their welfare state giving out ridiculous loans to any unqualified buyer nearly cost the country its solvency in 1992. Guess how they got out of that pickle?
Oh yeah, reducing welfare, and privatizing public services (including credit). Now they are one of the wealthiest nations in Europe.
You want to take your foot out of your mouth now?
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Entitlemented says
The Company is a California corporation established in 1977.
Now look back to 1980 when 20% of Californians worked in R&D, manufacturing, and Engineering
GMAFB.
The 1980s saw the government tear out our defense establishment for the most part. That produced the 1990s LA recession, and LA remained depressed until the housing boom got started there ca. 2002.
It is true that mfg has taken it in the pants, falling from 2M in 1990 to 1.2M today, but that's to be expected when China's monthly wage is $200-300.
Entitlemented says
part of the problem with you conservative posters here is that you've got Dems on the brain. You guys can't think at all about our real problems, you just point the finger at Democrats and blindly blame them without actually detailing the alleged "Democratic" screwup.
When in fact a lot of the root causes we face now are actually caused by conservatives and their dysfunctional ideology of greed, and fraud -- disempowering government and then wondering why their sanctified "free market" totally fucks itself up not soon after.
"Dems" didn't lower rates, first Greenspan did in the 2001-2004 period (to do what he could to get Bush reelected) and then since 2008 Bernanke has lowered rates because the alternative is simply a cross-default collapse of the economy of debt, an economy of debt CREATED when the Republicans were running the show:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=dez
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Goran_K says
Sweden is still a million times more socialist than us.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Tax-Revenues-As-GDP-Percentage
Dodge noted, though.
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Davis, CA
Melmakian says
STATES RIGHTS!
Let's Teabag those Federales.
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Goleta, CA
Apple is headquartered in CA, Incorporated in: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/29/business/apples-tax-strategy-aims-at-low-tax-states-and-nations.html?pagewanted=all
The State of CA chased out much industry in tandem with the decline of defense spending.
Dems caused housing to go up with CRA, and the imposition of CRA funding on FHA and private loans.
NAFTA was debated, and Ross Perot, the only one with a business background debating was correct.
Californias liberal mindset did California in. If high taxes and large government were the way to go, then CA would be flush with money, the State and Cities would be solvent. However, even with the highest amount of taxes, lots of technology, CA is having severe issues.
NAFTA did not work, - we cant outsource our way to prosperity. Its taken some time for us to get in this situation, but many cannot even see the cause and the effect.
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Goleta, CA
Clinton alteration of CRA forced much more securitization.
Rubins, an treasuring for Clinton and then moved on to CITI, and oversaw an exceleration of CDO by CITI.
However, they needed Glass Stegal overturned, and the dems got this done by marching 30 Dems into the leading Republicans office when he did not want to undo Glass Stegal.
So the liberals actually did the subprime mess, but the media does not bring this up.
The US government meddling in home finance did this. And the Dems altruistic goals for the poor? They fared worse than the middle class............
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Bellingham Bill says
Yeah, you totally got me.
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Goran_K says
Sorry, Wall Street helped a lot of cities into ruin.
http://bgamall.hubpages.com/hub/Wall-Street-Bankers-Are-the-Prime-Opposition-to-Public-School-Teachers
and
http://www.businessinsider.com/cities-be-like-oakland-and-walk-away-from-interest-swap-payments-to-goldman-and-bankers-2012-7
I wrote both. It is all a scam. First, the scam is with charter schools that cherry pick students and are backed by big money to bash teachers' unions and second are the cities who have been helped by Bernanke to reap a windfall from governments, city governments included.
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Goran_K says
True, but then why do you support the greatest social engineer, Wall Street?
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Bellingham Bill says
Fair enough. Unfunded liabilities are not helped by Bernanke. Neither are banks with no real interest profits. Neither are investors in bonds.
Bernanke needs to throw main street a bone. That could be in the form of just slightly higher interest rates. Otherwise, people take risk and then Wall Street will crash the stock market yet again.
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Entitlemented says
This is all a lie. Read Ritholz, read me. First, Glass-Steagall repeal and derivatives as gambling repeal were sponsored by the Gramms, Phil and Wendy, Republicans.
The vote in the senate was along party lines, until the Republicans talked the Dems into going along. The vote was 90 to 8 for Glass-Steagall repeal. Barbara Boxer voted AGAINST repealing Glass-Steagall and you can't get more liberal than that.
The CRA was only about 25 percent of subprime. The rest was bogus rated AAA private MBS. The CRA pulled back from origination when securitization took over. The Fed has a chart on it and it is found in my ebook, Ponzi Housing Scheme 21st Century. It is also found online.
It is true that Citi got a waiver from Glass-Steagall in 1997. But what you need to know is that the toxic loans came from the UK, where they were called self certified loans. They were imported from the Square Mile, which never had Glass-Steagall like laws.
So, it all came from the UK and Basil 2. The risk was mispriced, on purpose, because of a formula given to the central banks by an employee of JP Morgan. It was adopted and applied, circa 2003. Both parties were involved as Geithner allowed the bogus risk CDO's to be spread and Henry Paulson spread them like wildfire in 2004.
So that is the story. The public guaranteed pools tried to catch up later, but the real bubble was private.
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bgamall4 says
Why do you keep insisting I'm a wall street shill?
I simply don't want to fund old-timer retirement funds with my taxes. If anything that makes me a libertarian.
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Goleta, CA
Moodys view of California Cities
http://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-reviews-ratings-of-32-California-cities-nine-pension-bonds--PR_257248
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Melmakian says
I didn't name call. I asked him. You aren't reading carefully Alf.
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Melmakian says
So you are rooting for Wall Street Alf?
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Melmakian says
Much of California's taxes to the Federal Government goes to Red States. So a little payback would be just fine.
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Melmakian says
The bone is slightly higher interest rates. That would mean less need for QE.
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Melmakian says
No, the cities should walk away from the bogus Wall Street scams. And they should stop allowing Wall Street to advise them.
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Melmakian says
Yes, Wall Street is behind the plan to crowd out Calpers from the protection of state law.
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Melmakian says
According to charts, which are admittedly back in 2006 or so, you are incorrect.