Indebted Dragon: The Ponzi Scheme Driving China's Construction Economy
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/11/indebted-dragon-ponzi-scheme-driving.html
Mish

The Ponzi Scheme Driving China's Construction Economy
By Mish Follow Wed, 28 Nov 2012, 4:26pm 1,195 views 21 comments
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Arlington, TX
It's going to be a complete bloody mess when it finally crashes.
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C Boy says
Will it crash? Can anybody oppose the official line in China ?? It may physically crash, but the communist party will still be maintaining that they have 8% growth.
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Arlington, TX
lostand confused says
What will they do with millions of unemployed men who can't find wives?
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Mountain View, CA
bmwman91's website
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Haaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!
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C Boy says
Force them to construct even more ghost cities?
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Awh yes, Mish keeps on a keepin' on, calling b*llsh*t on what is "hot" or in "vogue" or "different here" or "different this time.
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Jewett City, CT
To start the crash, the government(s) need to initiate property taxes like we have in the USA (or parts thereof). Once that happens, they'll be never where to go but down.
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Mountain View, CA
bmwman91's website
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A crash there would probably drive throngs of crooked wealthy folks out of there and directly to here where resident visas are on sale for the low low price of $500k (spent on RE). No joke.
Welcome to the receiving end of globalism, kiddies. It's going to be a lot less fun than the decades we spent on the giving end. SQUEEEEEEAL, BOY!
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Seattle, WA
David Losh's website
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bmwman91 says
There are several factors to China, and it's banking system. They create money out of nothing, because they can.
China has a Billion people. If each person spends a dollar that is a high velocity of money.
What China is saying is that the average wage per worker is rising, and as it rises so does inflation. More dollars go to workers, and more dollars go into buying goods, and services.
The fastest, and easiest way to create these good paying jobs outside of the financial sectors of international trade, research, or manufacturing is construction.
So, as much as this may be a Ponzi Scheme it is also a wage base. If construction stops, or slows, millions of workers will be out of a job.
No wages, no growth.
There will be riots in the streets until communism settles back in.
http://www.clb.org.hk/en/node/100206
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Simi Valley, CA
why are Americans worrying about the "indebted Dragon" when their national debt is 43% of GDP with a huge trade surplus and U.S debt is 100% of GDP with a gigantic trade deficit?
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Simi Valley, CA
C Boy says
maybe. but the U.S will crash first, that's for sure. and it will be the biggest mess ever.
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Simi Valley, CA
C Boy says
half of U.S households are of unmarried people, the divorce rate is at 50% and the population is much older than that of China. the White race is shrinking fast. lets focus on those.
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Madison, WI
I've had the opportunity to meet some Chinese college students who come here to study, and many come. Oh how do I love talking with them as they are all very intelligent, always earning MD or PHD. Some are very humble, very happy to be here, certainly many appreciate the opportunity they know many their age from their own country may never have. Still others are very proud, nationalistic and look upon our society somewhat disdainfully. It is also very interesting to know what they study, I ask them, and few of the students have any desire to remain in the U.S. either.
China is still on top of it's game. Excess housing means no shortage of housing for a fast growing middle class. Excess also means less chance of a bubble in house prices, which was starting to happen, and they put a crimp on it. They learned to grow the middle class from us, it provides a good tax base, economic base, and political stability. See, China invests in it's people, sure they are still corrupt, who isn't, what country isn't? Fear keeps people in line, even divorce is shunned, that means pick your mate wisely and carefully the first time around. Where here in the U.S., the stupidity of feminist power domination, rewarded and championed, marriage is becoming somewhat of a joke.
The central government is also stacking gold 500-800 tons just this year, they saw how the dollar rose to be so great by being backed by gold initially and see that for what it is/was.
Chinese understand that he who dies with the most toys wins, they are already branching out from the homeland buying properties and companies all over the world.
The neural network of intelligence I see coming out of China is to me pretty impressive.
I have to agree with others, yeah it sure is fun to bad mouth China but what do you expect from a nation of hypocrites.
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46 male
Menlo Park, CA
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I have a Chinese friend who claims that China was historically always the most advanced country, and the last couple hundred years are just a blip that will be corrected soon.
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I have a bad feeling about this.
People are liabilities and China has a lot of them.
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You know all those Chinese characters on the walls of Chinese restaurants?
If you read them all clockwise from the front door of the restaurant, they say, 'On the signal, knife all the white people.'
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Kung-Fu expert beats up mob of 50 trying to evict him in China.
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-11-30/kung-fu-expert-china-beats-mob-50-trying-evict-him
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Simi Valley, CA
lostand confused says
i recommend watching something with real substance:
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Mark D says
The way the common man is treated, is of no substance to you?? Figures.
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Simi Valley, CA
lostand confused says
talking to you is like talking to a wall. you are absolutely clueless in almost every topic you ever participated. although, can't really say i expected much from you.
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Mark D says
My, my getting touchy are we -typical. Have no substance , let the insults fly. LOL!!!!