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Why do people deny the existence of housing bubbles?


By Peter P   Follow   Sat, 16 Jul 2005, 5:29pm   3,129 views   84 comments
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Some people deny that housing bubbles exist. Some even suggest that the recent appreciation is sustainable.

Are the consequences too scary to fathom? Are they just blinded by greed and fear? Do they even have the right information?

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  1. SQT15


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    45   8:21pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Jack

    In some way's I'm always on your side. I certainly respect you.

  2. SQT15


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    46   8:40pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I didn't know it was going to be fairy tale night on the blog. I wish I had known, I could've asked HARM for pointers and everything. Damn.

  3. SQT15


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    47   8:46pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I NEVER NEVER believe braggarts. If Marinara is God's gift at 28, why's he here with all us "losers" on a Saturday night. Where are all the women panting to get their hands on his "prime real estate?"

  4. SQT15


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    48   8:49pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    And no, no matter what answer Marinara gives to that question, I won't buy it either. No credibility.

  5. SQT15


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    49   8:57pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I guess he'll have to rent a good night's sleep.

  6. SQT15


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    50   9:08pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Night Astrid

    Fun having you along tonight.

  7. SQT15


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    51   9:09pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I thought ALWAYS ON TRANSMIT was TWIT.

  8. SQT15


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    52   9:11pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Jack
    Only one beer. You're probably a couple of six packs behind Marinara. Have I been feeding the Trolls? All that negative attention, I know. I should know better.

  9. SQT15


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    53   9:15pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Jack
    I hear ya. Fog obscures everything. Even one's thinking apparently.

  10. SQT15


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    54   9:23pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    AC on all day. Still hotter than hades.

    You know, I never thought I'd say this. But I'm really looking forward to Surfer-X's response to tonights blog. It should be really interesting.

  11. SQT15


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    55   9:24pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Astrid was right, things have slowed down a bit. Did TWIT check out too?

  12. praetorian


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    56   9:25pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Just an observation: the notion that someone who writes at the level that MP does can own a home at 28 without massive parental (and possibly governmental) intervention is, like, preposterous or something.

    And I say this as a 28 year old. Seriously.

    Like, Oh My Gah, Cheers,
    prat

  13. SQT15


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    57   9:28pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Prat
    I've been saying all night that mummy and daddy must be involved. So far no rebuttals to that effect. But would anyone believe Marinara anyway?

  14. SQT15


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    58   9:29pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    That is, if one believes there is an iota of truth in Marinara's ravings, the only explaination is mummy and daddy.

  15. SQT15


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    59   9:30pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I LOVE Surfer-X’s posts!

    I'm learning to appreciate the finer points of Surfer-X's rants.

  16. SQT15


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    60   9:33pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I am sitting here, hoping that HARM is working on a new fable to include the dearly deluded Marinara. If not, I'll have to brush off my story telling technique, but I think I could do it as well. I mean, what do I cast him as? Pinocchio?

  17. SQT15


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    61   9:35pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I remember a really terriffic reply you had to one of Surfer-X's rants that went a tad too far. I really thought you had a good grasp of how to speak his *language*. ;)

  18. SQT15


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    62   9:36pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Oops. I meant to say I DON"T think I could do the story as well as HARM.

  19. SQT15


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    63   9:37pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Not sure at all. But the ego seems to be male. I mean women definately don't have the need to compensate that men sometimes do. And boy, is this guy (I thinkk) compensating for something.

  20. SQT15


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    64   9:42pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Outside of school, I’m a totally unhealthy recluse!

    I'm so surprised. (really) You seem like a people person to me.

  21. SQT15


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    65   9:44pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Jack
    Do you think we should hang it up for the night. We seem to be way off topic and I'm not sure anyone else is around. It's fun talking to you, but this is a slow way to do it.

  22. praetorian


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    66   9:44pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    "But would anyone believe Marinara anyway?"

    Yeah. Particularly in this thread, the writing has become so absurdly poor that it simply becomes implausible.

    In any event, g'night. Golf tomorrow.

    _mr burns voice_: excellent

    Cheers,
    prat

  23. SQT15


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    67   9:47pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    As surfer-X would say. Bazzzactly.

  24. SQT15


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    68   9:50pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    Night Jack.

  25. Peter P


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    69   11:40pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I don't know. Marinara has quite a bit of free time for an investment banker... oh well. Need another thread again.

  26. Peter P


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    70   11:45pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    You can disagree with me all you want. You can’t be all bad if you actually LIKE exposed concrete, metal and glass!

    My wife wants a normal house though. We may need to do half and half. :)

    Imagine a house that looks like a craftman from the northern elevation and a post-modern blob of concrete and steel from the southern elevation... interesting, no?

  27. SQT15


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    71   11:52pm Sat 16 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I just cruised craigslist, I like to look and see what the rental market is doing. It seems like there are a lot of condo's appearing for rent these days. Naturally the rents being asked for are rather high, as the speculator/owners have obviously paid too much. I wonder how long they'll be able to hold out before they have to start dropping rents.

  28. Peter P


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    72   12:09am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    I wonder how long they’ll be able to hold out before they have to start dropping rents.

    Not very long. A few months at most. :)

    It is a weird market because the fundamental demand of housing (as consumption) is not very strong.

    SactoQt, have you tried housingmaps.com?

  29. SQT15


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    73   12:12am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    SactoQt, have you tried housingmaps.com?

    No I haven't, but I'll be sure to look at it now.
    I noticed you put up a new post. But I'm still a student of topics like inflation vs. deflation. Are there any good sites that give a good explaination of the difference and how the housing market and oil prices affect them.

  30. Peter P


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    74   12:20am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    SactoQt, we are all students of the subject. :)

    The argument about inflation or deflation is almost as heated as the one about whether there is a housing bubble.

    This url has some interesting arguments

    http://tinyurl.com/cuxuk

    but we need to use our own judgement, as usual.

    Please do suggest idea for posts through, we can have several active threads at the same time.

  31. SQT15


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    75   12:22am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Thanks Peter, as always.

  32. HARM


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    76   3:34am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Good God.

    Leave this blog for one day and look what happens! Unreal....
    Just got home & just checked in for the heck of it. Ended up spending 30 mins just to read/absorb it all.

    Let's see if I got it all:
    --Brand-new thread gets 200+ posts in under 5 hours (TWIT's right --gotta be a new Patrick.net record).
    --Insulting, arrogant braggart called "MarinaPrime" takes over Face Reality's old job (Actually that's not fair to Face --he often used facts and reasoning to support his arguments. He/she/it is less coherent than Face was at his WORST).
    --MP manages to insult/attack/alienate virtually everyone on the blog, including JACK, who's now DEFENDING THE POSSE !! ...Wow.
    --MP earns TWO nicknames in less than an hour ("Marinara" and "Sauce" --btw, nice one Jack!)
    --Jack & the Posse "speculate" on the identity/gender of MP, pretty much rule out Face or Fake P, then wonder if it's ME posing as an Alpha-Bull. (Sorry to disappoint, folks, but no. Not a bad idea, though... hmmm... file that one under Future Consideration).
    --Surfer-X is a total no-show, at precisely the time when his acid rhetoric/put-downs are most needed (to bitch-slap MP).
    --Peter ends the night by starting two more threads.

    Wow, quite a night here in BubbleblogLand. Can't wait to see what happens tomorrow.

    C'ya!

  33. HARM


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    77   3:49am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Correction --Surfer-X got in one brief swipe at Sauce on the other thread (still reading).

  34. KDLady


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    78   10:18am Sun 17 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ha,ha bitch-slap LOL - Where's Surfer when we need him?

  35. Peter P


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    79   12:48am Mon 18 Jul 2005   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike (1)  

    People that deny bubbles either (1) Own property and bubble reality hurts to much to think about, (2) Never seen or have been affected by a major buuble, (3) The old “people have been saying this for 30 years” argument.

    I think (3) is quite understandable. However, talking about the bubble does not prevent its occurance. (Unlike the Y2K problam - focused efforts prevented the problem.)

  36. bubblesitter


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    80   8:26am Tue 19 Jun 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    Peter P says

    Why do people deny the existence of housing bubbles?

    People those deny are the couch potatoes - relaxing on their butts and calculating(dreaming!) 20% YOY home price appreciation. This is completely against basic laws of economics,making money while doing nothing.

  37. Serpentor


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    81   10:43am Wed 20 Jun 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    holy old thread resurrection

  38. Dan8267


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    82   11:00am Wed 20 Jun 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (1)   Dislike  

    It's not that they don't believe the bubble is real. It's that they think they can convince a fool that it isn't and get the fool to pay much more for their house than its worth. When money is on the line, the truth goes out the window.

  39. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich


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    83   11:13am Wed 20 Jun 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like (3)   Dislike  

    It's all that's left

    Pensions have been looted

    The stock markets are scams run by the same old scammers

    All the jobs are in China

    Any that come back can't pay enough to keep up on the interests on household debt

    The RNC is a front for industrialists that want to turn the states into a feudal theocracy. The DNC is a front for Wall Street interests who want to finish raping, burning and pillaging the domestic economy and send the world into catastrophic financial ruin

    You got Jesus and the hope you can ride a bubble and sell off a house to the next generation for 10x what you paid for it, cash out and retire in Guatamala

    It's a belief system for a people with nothing left to believe in

  40. freak80


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    84   11:43am Wed 20 Jun 2012   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    God Bless America.

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