I was thinking that the Insurance Industry would have taken some preventative measures, such as pushing legislation to allow Insurers to unilaterally lower coverage/premiums in areas where house prices have plunged. After all, if they can push mortgage companies to forgive principle.....
I wonder if this was a blog party?
Actually, that WAS my inspiration. The idea being, though, that if the police did get called they would be less likely to arrest a bunch of sedate thirty or forty somethings sipping wine and "evaluating" the property. I suppose it would also be helpful to have you around with your RE license.
@OO, TAF (increase of $20 billion, no surprise) plus primary dealer credit, that'll leave a mark. The fact that it all shows about in nonborrowed reserves in H3 is a bit disquieting; I've always had this theory that this is where deleveraging occurs. When the money evaporates (loan is written off), a small percentage of it essentially disappears from the reserves. Not totally straight forward, but my naive interpretation is that banks rely on principal and interest to keep up the reserves as part of ordinary operations. When enough loans go bad, the reserves need to be replenished. And of course interbank lending has gone to pot... The Maginot Line? Oh, give him some credit. Let's see though, this year the Fed sold off $138 billion ($740 - $612) of Treasures. At that rate, we have a little more than a year before the Fed has to start selling off its gold (and still be "sterilizing" the credit supply).
I placed an order with Perth Mint before Easter on x ounces of silver. I was told by the dealer that the transaction went through but I never got a confirmation, which is very unusual. He was always very prompt with confirmation. So I went through the Easter Holiday without knowing whether my silver transaction went through. Then market opens, I called my dealer again, who told me that he just pulled an all-nighty, and still couldn't give me a confirmation on my silver. He promised he would do his best to confirm before the end of day. Then I kept calling for the next 2 days because I still didn't see my confirmation. My dealer sounded very apologetic and tired, told me that they were dealing with unusually high volume so my confirmation would have to wait until they execute other clients' orders.
Eventually TODAY, I got a confirmation of my order, which I placed on 20th, with an execution date of 3/28 (they are a day ahead of us). Of course I am to pay the spot price of ~$18 USD today as opposed to the ~$16 SLV when silver was still beaten down.
So I don't know if Perth Mint did run out of physical silver at some point, but my experience suggests that they were having troubles filling order in the last week. It is also comforting to know that they did have the trouble, because that means my order is truly backed by physical supply. If they were just filling SLV orders, they could fill it any time.
It would be too much of a hassle, and I just got out of SLV, so I was hoping for a quick straight swap. This has actually never happened before, I was always able to get confirmation within 2 hours of each trade prior to that.
The Mint never lets you set a limit price, you just buy at spot hoping that your order get executed at the right time of the day. That's why it is not a great place to start building a position. GLD, IAU and SLV are great tools for building a position, and you can always swap out later.
I afraid gold is not completely out of the woods yet. The uptrend seems to slowing down at the 38% retracement level of that big drop. It is entirely possible that it may still go down for the short term.
Even the top-of-the-top-end suffers from price declines:
Ellison's home decline in value is shocking in an area that boasts very expensive real estate thanks to the Googleaires, people who made their fortune at Google and invested in big homes locally. The reason for the dip in value is essentially that Ellison created a home that no one else would want to buy
I went for the unallocated pool, which is nothing if your account is above $250K. If your account value is lower than that, then they charge you 2% entry and 1% exit.
If you go for allocated, they charge you storage which is about 1.5% a year for gold and 2.5% for silver, that also includes insurance. They also slap a small fabrication charge on bars, which is about $50-200 per bar depending on how big it is.
The difference between unallocated and allocated is, the former allows Perth Mint to act as if it were the owner of my PM to fund its work-in-progress. It specifies very clearly that it does not support leasing/lending of its physical inventory for derivatives or short selling. The catch is of course, when we are in a huge crisis mode, it will take some time for me to take delivery and that is a big uncertainty. But for the cost savings, I am willing to deal with that uncertainty for now. Plus, it will be really hard for a silver investor to take delivery :-)
This number never changed.
Pretty funny. I remember looking at that number when I first posted the H.4.1 historic data and going, oh, so the Fed hasn't sold any gold over this time period. WTF was I thinking. Hey Headset, maybe they hold $40 billion of gold, we're saved! Yes :-) , I do think that "sterilization" of credit will cease much before the Fed is down to its last Krugerrand. And as our resident deflationista, I would think that may worry you! Well, the point of looking at the Fed's Treasury redemption/sell off "run rate" was to see how long we could last. If it continues, they'll obviously have to fire up the printing presses soon. Will be interesting to see how popular the TSLF is and if it takes the pressure off other lines of credit.
Curbing totally unnecessary waste of any resource is so exactly my cup of tea.
I'm so NOT willing to wait for the free market to decide that it can suddenly "preserve" a "suddenly" scarce resource by squeezing me for obscene profits, after first wasting same resource to high heaven, also in the name of profit.
I find it very ironic that some of the same types that are all for wasting oil seem to think that fresh water is suddenly a scarce resource that needs to be monetized to the tune of stock plays such as PHO and the like.
There really is plenty of fresh water to go around, we just need to stop wasting it. For oil, on the contrary, when the waste stops there will be very little remaining to go around.
Fresh water is distilled by solar energy every day. Even the proverbial television game-show 5th grader knows this. Once we stop wasting and restricting, water will be plentiful. Fresh water is a renewable resource, and oil is not. So lets stop being foolish. Preserve oil, fight CO2 emissions and be effective about water use. That will be a good start.
DennisN Says: It’s really sad about agriculture in Santa Clara county. What was once the nation’s premier orchard fruit producer has been paved over
Testify, brotha! I am a curious sort of chap, and soon after I bought my house I was driven by an urge to learn the history of the area. I found that this tract and a few others surrounding it used to be one of the world's largest apricot farms. Now the place is full of arseholes and SUVs and shitboxes...
Try what? Make you believe in the obvious? I have long since given up on that. I'm just responding to preserve some sense of balance and rationality, in case there are impressionable youngsters listening in.
>>Perhaps you will be buying carbon credits from me someday. ;)
About carbon credits: What a scam. This is yet another example of private corporations worldwide being rewarded for their wastefulness. Carbon credits means they are now given the right to privately TAX (yes TAX) everyone who was not previously wasteful enough or powerful enough to be given a quota on their own. Carbon quotas will pretty much ensure that carbon emissions stay high. I can see it now, some dickhead from the WSJ
will advocate burning off excess quotas rather than selling at less than the wishing price (I hope you see the analogy here).
Net result: just as much CO2, only now you have to pay for it.
What is needed is an across-the-board public carbon tax on all carbon-emitting activities. Kind of like a flat carbon tax -- that ought to play well ;->.
There hasn't been many historical works published on SC country, but try the library for Stephen Payne's 1987 book "Santa Clara County - Harvest of Change." The older history is well presented although there is needless chamber-of-commerce boosterism once you get past the 1950's. In particular the evil caused by political boss AP "Dutch" Hamann is glossed over.
Isn’t he the guy that bought a house recently at the peak of the market?
Nope, shaved 30% right the fuck off the top, even with current down, we're still good. We didn't buy for investment, rather a place to live. Takes 1/3 of take home pay. Not too bad, wife doesn't work. And have cash left over for sushi.
"How many different trailer parks have you lived in?"
Jimbo, ....I think you could be missing the point. My dad owned his own business. They made laminate counter tops in Chicago. Some years were good, others were lean. Even though my dad was 2nd generation (he might as well have been fresh-off-the-boat)
When other kids were splurging at record shops or wherever, I would walk in, feign interest, and quickly wait outside. Even when I was old enough to date my father urged (pffftt, insisted) that "throwing money around" attracts the wrong kind of women.
It's a million little things that I'm still trying to understand but no, you needn't have been evicted to have been "brought up poor". IMHO
I think it would be enough to tax the children's carbon usage, just like anyone else's. I would prefer to keep it simple. No need to make up complex rules that ties into other activities. That is how we end up with the US tax system.