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Did the government "mandate" that banks made bad loans?


By swebb   Follow   Tue, 14 Jun 2011, 10:03pm   3,424 views   52 comments
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I have heard some variation of this assertion several times in the past few years when discussing the housing collapse with family/friends:

"The government had made it a priority to give away loans to anyone and everyone. It had gotten to where to gov. actually mandated to the banks that they had to make a certain amount of lousy loans to lousy applicants. The lending institutions were audited by the gov. and they were told in no uncertain terms what they had to do to stay within the government mandates. The lending institutions were forced into making loans to unqualified applicants. "

The thing is, I haven't seen it substantiated in any way. Is there any truth to this, or is this just talk radio soundbytes gone awry?

-s

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  1. Nomograph


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    1   10:21pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    swebb says

    is this just talk radio soundbytes

    Winner winner chicken dinner

  2. corntrollio


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    2   10:23pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    It is bogus. There's very little substantiation of any of those claims. Ask them to provide any proof of this, and the claim falls apart.

    Ideologues sometime say the CRA resulted in this, but they don't know what they're talking about. The CRA was passed in 1977 and then magically 27 years later it caused a housing bubble. Yeah, that's plausible, right?

    If you look at statistics during the boom, you can see that non-agency loans went up significantly during the heart of the boom, and it had nothing to do with the government. The banksters were trying to reap massive fees from securitization and used crappy loans to back their bond issuances -- in some cases they actually analyzed their own portfolios and discovered they were crap, but didn't disclose this when issuing the bond.

  3. bjones


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    3   10:31pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/21/business/21admin.html

    absolutely not. the gov't never mandated banks hand out bad loans. what it did do is create and environment where banks could become extraordinarily profitable by doing so.

    do you know a guy or gal who barely graduated from h.s. and had the intelligence of algae but made north of 6 figures for a couple of years?

    if you do, they were a few of the people who benefited for that short period of time before over-extending themselves and filing for bankruptcy.

    what most people will never understand is, industry is "manufactured" all over the world.

    what do i mean? well, take germany for example. they have "beer purification" standards in each individual state.

    why?

    because a company making beer in one state would be at a complete disadvantage to sell beer in another. that allows each state to have their own, thriving beer industry; thus creating a viable employer that doesn't have the constant threat of competition and need to lay off workers.

    so, in america, replace beer with housing. we are the only country on the planet that places such an emphasis on home ownership.

    why?

    becuasue it "improves society" by creating a multitude of jobs- from the builders to to the sellers to the bankers to the etc...

    plus, it was thought that owners tend to create better communities than renters (since proven to be false).

    did that answer your question?

  4. iwog


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    4   10:33pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    The definitive research has already been done and it appears that the right-wing media simply created a lie out of thin air to divert attention from the real causes.

    The Dallas federal reserve published a study that documented a mere 6% of sub-prime loans were made to low income CRA qualified homebuyers.

    This means that 94% of sub prime loans and 100% of Alt-A loans had nothing whatsoever to do with CRA bank requirements for low income buyers.

    It is so black and white that no one should even be talking about it anymore, however truth is no longer valued in our society and there are even people who frequent this board who refuse to look at the facts and keep trying to sell this nonsense.

    Required reading: http://dallasfed.org/ca/bcp/2009/bcp0901.cfm

  5. thomas.wong1986


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    5   11:19pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    swebb says

    “The government had made it a priority to give away loans to anyone and everyone.

    Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending

    By STEVEN A. HOLMES
    Published: September 30, 1999

    http://www.nytimes.com/1999/09/30/business/fannie-mae-eases-credit-to-aid-mortgage-lending.html

    In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.

    The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

    Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.

    ''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.''

  6. corntrollio


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    6   11:31pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    thomas.wong1986 says

    Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending

    Yes, but if you look at statistics the heart of the boom, Fannie Mae (and Freddie Mac) lending was down, and private lending was way way up.

    In addition, the CRA assisted lending in poor neighborhoods in legacy large cities like Chicago. The housing bust affected sunbelt places like Nevada, Arizona, and Florida (and obviously California). CRA loans also had lower default rates than the crappy private bank loans.

    The charts have been published for several years now, and bloggers like Barry Ritzholtz have been writing about this for several years:

    http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/10/misunderstanding-credit-and-housing-crises-blaming-the-cra-gses/

    Again, it's an ideological argument, not one based in fact or analysis.

  7. thomas.wong1986


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    7   11:36pm Tue 14 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    iwog says

    This means that 94% of sub prime loans and 100% of Alt-A loans had nothing whatsoever to do with CRA bank requirements for low income buyers.

    And everthing is OKIE DOKIE at Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac...

    How is your Fannie Mae stock doing these days ?

    Sept. 15, 2010, 3:11 p.m. EDT

    Mortgage giant losses could reach $400 billion
    Fannie and Freddie regulator argues against restoring cap

  8. iwog


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    8   12:01am Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    thomas.wong1986 says

    And everthing is OKIE DOKIE at Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac…

    How is your Fannie Mae stock doing these days ?

    Sept. 15, 2010, 3:11 p.m. EDT

    Mortgage giant losses could reach $400 billion
    Fannie and Freddie regulator argues against restoring cap

    Whoops!! I did it again. I made the mistake of responding to the thread topic, which was "Did the government mandate that banks make bad loans?" instead of the topic that you wanted to talk about after I posted.

    I'll try not to make that mistake again and will consult my crystal ball next time.

  9. Schizlor


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    9   6:48am Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    bjones says

    do you know a guy or gal who barely graduated from h.s. and had the intelligence of algae but made north of 6 figures for a couple of years?

    This pretty much describes every real estate agent I've met in the last 10 years

  10. wtfcapinv


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    10   12:25pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Did the government "mandate" that banks made bad loans?

    Define a "bad loan".

    This is really a trick question. It's usually something posited by a charlatan.

    The only thing that make a loan a "bad loan" is when nobody will buy the loan to take it off your books.

  11. corntrollio


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    11   12:40pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    swebb says

    Did the government "mandate" that banks made bad loans?

    By the way, I don't know why people assume that CRA loans are bad loans. As I mentioned earlier, they had a lower default rate than the typical non-agency loan that was available during the boom (teaser, IO, Option ARM, etc.). Here's why:

    A *traditional* subprime loan, such as used for the CRA, has three components -- the 3 Cs, which are the same 3 Cs as for *traditional* prime loans, although 1 has a different standard:
    1) Capability to pay: this means you have adequate income/assets to pay the loan, perhaps you meet the 28% of gross income ratio for PITI and 36% of gross income for all debt, but the loan has full documentation.
    2) Collateral: the property must be good collateral -- it must be inhabitable, not a below-market rate unit with restriction, must be in a stable condo development if it's a condo, etc.
    3) Credit: this is the only factor that is different from traditional prime lending. Traditional prime lending requires a top credit rating, and is often referred to as "A" paper. Traditional subprime lending allows a lower credit rating in exchange for a higher interest rate, and could be "B" paper or "C" paper.

    #1 and #2 are exactly the same as traditional prime lending. #3 is slightly different, and a higher interest rate compensates for the additional risk of a lower credit score.

    Traditional subprime lending, as might be the case under the CRA, has a predictable default rate and is easy to securitize because it has a predictable default rate, and you know your portfolio has particular characteristics.

    What happened during the boom is that the label "subprime" got used for non-traditional subprime lending, such as Option ARM, Alt-A (which was supposed to resemble "A" paper but doesn't), interest only, teaser, etc. The types of non-traditional lending that occurred during the boom did not ensure that someone had the three Cs.

    For example, Alt-A only ensures that someone has #3 -- a good credit score was a proxy for the other two factors, and sometimes people without capability to pay and with uncollaterizable properties were given Alt-A loans. Of course, they failed and had unpredictable default rates and had unpredictable characteristics

    During the bust, people started using the word "subprime" generically to mean anything that wasn't traditional prime, but it is a term of art and had a specific meaning before the current crisis. This is why all the CRA nonsense is just that -- nonsense. Anyone saying that traditional subprime loans caused the crisis doesn't know what they're talking about.

    Sorry for the long post.

  12. FortWayne


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    12   5:32pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Remember Alan Greenspan asking wall street to provide any kind of creative loans possible just to keep the bubble going?

    Government had a lot to do with this. It was a clusterfuck of failure.

  13. EBGuy


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    13   6:33pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Tanta Vive!

  14. corntrollio


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    14   6:42pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    EBGuy says

    Tanta Vive!

    Yes indeed. More people should read her old posts to learn more about how the mortgage market worked:

    http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/12/in-memoriam-doris-tanta-dungey.html

    Did she cover a lot of the self-dealing and things of that sort? I don't remember seeing much of that on Calculated Risk. Sources like ProPublica covered some of that very well, however -- pretty consistent with the war stories I heard contemporaneously with the peak of the boom from people in real estate finance.

  15. EBGuy


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    15   6:51pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    I think the 3 Cs took me back to one of her classic posts.

  16. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich


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    16   7:37pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    It's true.

    Whenever Barney Frank was not trying to seduce truckers in parking lots, he was calling up banks ordering them to completely abandon all underwriting principals to give loans to America-hating illegals who would destroy our neighborhoods and reduce the US to a third-world dystopia that wold be much easier for al qaeda to integrate into the caliphate.

  17. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich


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    17   8:35pm Wed 15 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    Don't be. T'was masterful exposition.

    corntrollio says

    Sorry for the long post.

  18. CL


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    18   9:38am Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    APOCALYPSEFUCK says

    Don’t be. T’was masterful exposition.
    corntrollio says

    Sorry for the long post.

    It was well-written indeed. The only part I didn't like were the pesky facts. Also, some of the words were too big.

    I am an American after all! If it doesn't fit on a bumper sticker so I can read while stuck in traffic in my S.O.B, then I can't be bothered! :)

  19. clambo


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    19   9:53am Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    The govermment policy encouraged loaning to everyone. There are several presidential speeches on the subject you can listen to.
    Fannie and Freddie were complicit.
    Acorn sued Citibank in Chicago (Obama was one of the lawyers) for not loaning enough to the poor. "Racism" was the typical charge. Citi settled and agreed to loan to anyone who could hold a pen.
    The perfect storm developed. The loans were made to tens of thousands of illegal aliens and others. A bubble ensued. Govt. repeal of controls on bank behavior and on derivitave trading in 2000 created a nice environment for banks to gamble.
    As the asset bubble popped, those gambles lost so much that the ripples extended far and wide.
    Since I personally know both illegal aliens and several others who should not qualify for a used car loan, (but who got mortgages) I believe that the whole mess began with lax rules of lending. Who started the trend was people like Bawney Fwank, but later many others got involved.
    Don't worry. If interest rates are kept artifically low, some other scheme will attract money that wants more yield and another asset bubble will form somewhere.
    In China it's probably apartments for example.

  20. FortWayne


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    20   10:20am Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Government did not mandate it, they forced it. They deregulated the industry to a point where fraud was acceptable, in fact they encouraged it. Bush and Greenspan made several speeches to that detail. Fannie and Freddie were participating in that scam as well. Once fraud is acceptable those who commit it win. Everyone jumped into the game of free money while the average american simply looking for a home got screwed royally in the process.

    Everyone up there participated and was complicit, which is why no-one went to jail.

  21. tatupu70


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    21   10:46am Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    ChrisLA says

    Government did not mandate it, they forced it. They deregulated the industry to a point where fraud was acceptable, in fact they encouraged it.

    Interesting. So when government deregulates, it encourages fraud then?

    Am I to understand that you are for more regulation then?

  22. iwog


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    22   11:48am Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    ChrisLA says

    Government did not mandate it, they forced it. They deregulated the industry to a point where fraud was acceptable, in fact they encouraged it.

    Is this a joke? Have you suddenly abandoned every point you've ever made?

  23. APOCALYPSEFUCK is Shostakovich


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    23   2:21pm Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    I hear you but professions have their ethics - and the observation of those are what separate successful and maintainable societies from horrors like Soviet Russia, PRC and the Sudan. No one and no institution pressed banks to relax their standards of underwriting. Government programs jiggered, at most, income proportion standards within the larger cluster of underwriting criteria. The big banks should have been allowed to go under, slowly, and in a controlled take-down with their mortgage businesses being cut out and resolved by forcing them to sell those smoking portfolios at a loss to performing banks who retained the most rigorous standards of underwriting. The managers responsible for turning these mortgage divisions into printing presses should be doing long stretches in wedding dresses in federal penitentiaries, providing entertainment for neonazi serial killers. We'll be living with the horror they've all inflicted for generations.

    ChrisLA says

    Everyone jumped into the game of free money while the average american simply looking for a home got screwed royally in the process.

    Everyone up there participated and was complicit, which is why no-one went to jail.

  24. corntrollio


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    24   2:24pm Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    APOCALYPSEFUCK says

    the observation of those are what separate successful and maintainable societies from horrors like Soviet Russia, PRC and the Sudan. No one and no institution pressed banks to relax their standards of underwriting.

    In Soviet Russia, you underwrite bank. No wait, that's the Soviet United States.

    APOCALYPSEFUCK says

    The big banks should have been allowed to go under, slowly, and in a controlled take-down with their mortgage businesses being cut out and resolved by forcing them to sell those smoking portfolios at a loss to performing banks who retained the most rigorous standards of underwriting. The managers responsible for turning these mortgage divisions into printing presses should be doing long stretches in wedding dresses in federal penitentiaries, providing entertainment for neonazi serial killers.

    Exactly, we should have nationalized the insolvent banks, sold them off for parts like in bankruptcy, given shareholders and bondholders a massive haircut, and put the incompetent fraud-committing executives in federal PMITA prison, just like we would do with any other failed business with a failed business model and criminal executives. Instead, we rewarded these jerkoff rent-seekers and had them insult us with even bigger bonuses than before, all while they complain about a business-unfriendly environment and over-regulation.

  25. CL


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    25   4:24pm Fri 17 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    clambo says

    The govermment policy encouraged loaning to everyone. There are several presidential speeches on the subject you can listen to.
    Fannie and Freddie were complicit.

    Piffle. If Presidential speeches actually produced results, we'd live in a far different country than we do today, replete with universal health care, clean air and water, and a chicken in every pot.

    This is a "connect the dots" mentality that relies heavily on anecdotes but light on reality.

    Like the CRA argument: It only makes sense if you think that redlining was a practice we should have kept, or that racial segregation was better for society, in a separate but equal kind of way.

  26. corntrollio


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    26   10:57am Mon 20 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    CL says

    Piffle. If Presidential speeches actually produced results, we’d live in a far different country than we do today, replete with universal health care, clean air and water, and a chicken in every pot.

    Referring to speeches as the cost of a huge leveraging event is indeed silly. We didn't have an "Ownership Society" because Bush deemed it so. We had it because banksters gave out tons of private non-agency loans that made no sense.

  27. EBGuy


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    27   11:40am Mon 20 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Loans to players owning multiple properties at the margins are what made, shall we say, an overheated market totally irrational. I'm willing to bet most of this mess could have been eliminated if there had not been a lot of "this will be my primary residence" fraud.

  28. corntrollio


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    28   12:50pm Mon 20 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    EBGuy says

    I’m willing to bet most of this mess could have been eliminated if there had not been a lot of “this will be my primary residence” fraud.

    It's possible. That would have at least made amateur investors' cost of capital higher. The problem is that if you look at contemporary accounts, the amateur investors didn't really care about cost of capital or potential returns -- they were focused on appreciation. A good example is the FatWallet thread I referenced on Patnet recently:

    http://patrick.net/forum/?p=816472

  29. FortWayne


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    29   1:53pm Mon 20 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    iwog says

    ChrisLA says

    Government did not mandate it, they forced it. They deregulated the industry to a point where fraud was acceptable, in fact they encouraged it.

    Is this a joke? Have you suddenly abandoned every point you’ve ever made?

    Is everything only black and white in your world?

  30. iwog


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    30   12:05am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike   Protected  

    ChrisLA says

    Is everything only black and white in your world?

    Government regulation isn't an ideological issue with me. I think it's warranted sometimes and not necessary other times.

    However government regulation damn well IS a ideological issue with you.............at least it has been with every post you've ever made on the issue until now.

    In fact you went one step further. You BLAMED GOVERNMENT FOR DOING NOTHING! You said government FORCED the fraud by not regulating the industry.

    The desperation to somehow make this the fault of government is incredible. If it's not something government did do, it's something government didn't do.

    I happen to agree that the mortgage industry should have never been deregulated. I happen to agree that an unregulated free market will eventually destroy this country just like it destroyed Russia and France and a 100 other places and times.

    I just don't understand how you're suddenly an FDR reformist after everything you stand for, everything you've voted for, has been exactly the opposite.

  31. wtfcapinv


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    31   4:43am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Acorn sued Citibank in Chicago (Obama was one of the lawyers) for not loaning enough to the poor. “Racism” was the typical charge. Citi settled and agreed to loan to anyone who could hold a pen.

    Why did ACORN win? The Boston Fed published reports that there was discrimination in the MA housing market back in the early 90s. The data was flawed. The study was a crock.

    It did not matter. The Fed published it. The banks know they cannot win a war against the Fed. They kneel and concede.

    I do not consider the Fed to be the government. It's a private institution. Ergo, that is why I do not agree with a statement that "the government mandated that banks made bad loans". Banks dare not cross their liquidity golden parachute.

  32. wtfcapinv


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    32   5:10am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    Like the CRA argument: It only makes sense if you think that redlining was a practice we should have kept, or that racial segregation was better for society, in a separate but equal kind of way.

    This is the big problem with this whole topic. The presumption is that redlining WAS racial. The data does not prove that it was racial.

    The data proves that bankers are still the same. They won't make moves their lender of last resort doesn't condone.

  33. tatupu70


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    33   5:13am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    wtfcapinv says

    This is the big problem with this whole topic. The presumption is that redlining WAS racial. The data does not prove that it was racial.

    Do you have that data?

  34. wtfcapinv


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    34   5:17am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    They deregulated the industry to a point where fraud was acceptable, in fact they encouraged it.

    Teetering industries like banking or insurance have only one leg of support - get swallowed by a bigger fish. That rule hasn't changed since the 16th century.

    Fraud was not encouraged. Risk taking was encouraged so long as their were still methods to roll the risk taking into further securitization.

  35. wtfcapinv


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    35   5:18am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    tatupu70 says

    wtfcapinv says


    This is the big problem with this whole topic. The presumption is that redlining WAS racial. The data does not prove that it was racial.

    Do you have that data?

    http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/2011/06/capture-of-regulators-by-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac-becker.html

  36. mdovell


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    36   6:09am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    There was no mandate to make out bad loans...at least from the government. But...
    let's say a bad loan is made out..foreclosure and now the bank owns a house that it wouldn't have otherwise. It now bought a free house. Now in a market that goes up of course you can throw caution into the wind and lend money out because if they default you have something going up in value.

    Now you don't..now the backlog can take years to sort out..now there's 19 million empty homes in the country.

    There was a long article I remember reading that actually tried to link the dot com crash with housing. Basically that various firms wanted something solid to put their money in. That coupled with the whole cocoon effect after 9/11 aimed it right at housing.

  37. wtfcapinv


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    37   6:38am Tue 21 Jun 2011   Share   Quote   Permalink   Like   Dislike  

    There was a long article I remember reading that actually tried to link the dot com crash with housing. Basically that various firms wanted something solid to put their money in. That coupled with the whole cocoon effect after 9/11 aimed it right at housing.

    You don't need an article. Here's the short short version. Or the Mel Brooks version.

    Labor Bubble 1: Financial Deregulation, risk taking, credit expansion - 10 million jobs created

    Labor Bubble 2: dot com, credit expansion with stock options, underwriting, IPOs, etc - 8 million jobs created

    Labor Bubble 3: Construction, real estate speculation due to easy money credit expansion from the Fed depressing the US Dollar to expand export markets for US goods and services - 12 million jobs created

    Labor Bubble 4: To be determined. Most likely profession will be health care services with labor supply controlled by government mandates in health policy with the passing of the PPACA.

    The genesis of the great big bubble blowing machine is the addition of the Fed's 2nd mandate to achieve full employment by which they gave up secrecy and accepted congressional oversight.

  38. tatupu70


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    wtfcapinv says

    tatupu70 says


    wtfcapinv says

    This is the big problem with this whole topic. The presumption is that redlining WAS racial. The data does not prove that it was racial.


    Do you have that data?

    http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/2011/06/capture-of-regulators-by-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac-becker.html

    Just for future reference--an opinion piece on a blog does NOT qualify as data.

    I'm looking for the actual data showing racial background by neighborhood with acceptance/refusal, credit score, loan to income ratios, etc. That is data.

  39. wtfcapinv


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  40. tatupu70


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