Forget the polls, ask the gambling sites

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Forget the polls, ask the gambling sites

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2012 Mar 31, 1:06pm 1,493 views 3 comments

Gambling sites betting on presidential elections are more accurate than polls because when your money is on the line, you do the research instead of thinking they guy you want is likely to win.

http://www.moneytalksnews.com/2011/12/07/betting-on-the-elections-and-why-gamblers-beat-polls/

According to these sites, Romney is a shoe-in for the Republican nomination, but Obama will win the election.

#politics

Comments 1 - 3 of 3 Search these comments

uomo_senza_nome 2012 Apr 1, 3:55am

Same's the case with Intrade.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=652757

Mitt Romney's the Rep. nominee - 94.4%

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474

Obama re-elected - 60.6%

marcus 2012 Apr 1, 4:12am

And then there's

http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/

more specifically: http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_PRES12_VS.cfm

marcus 2012 Apr 1, 4:17am

By the way, the IEM had Kerry at about 90% chance of being winner on the late afternoon of the 2004 election. That is until the Ohio results turned out to be so different from the exit polls.

Damn it, I shouldacoulda sold then.

patrick.net

Forget the polls, ask the gambling sites

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