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Shocking new insights about Climate Change


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2015 Aug 26, 10:55pm   2,820 views  11 comments

by marcus   ➕follow (6)   💰tip   ignore  

IT turns out there are patterns of errors in the 3% or so of published scientific research that refute the expert consensus conclusions regarding Anthropogenic climate change.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2015/aug/25/heres-what-happens-when-you-try-to-replicate-climate-contrarian-papers

Those who reject the 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming often invoke Galileo as an example of when the scientific minority overturned the majority view. In reality, climate contrarians have almost nothing in common with Galileo, whose conclusions were based on empirical scientific evidence, supported by many scientific contemporaries, and persecuted by the religious-political establishment. Nevertheless, there’s a slim chance that the 2–3% minority is correct and the 97% climate consensus is wrong.

To evaluate that possibility, a new paper published in the journal of Theoretical and Applied Climatology examines a selection of contrarian climate science research and attempts to replicate their results. The idea is that accurate scientific research should be replicable, and through replication we can also identify any methodological flaws in that research. The study also seeks to answer the question, why do these contrarian papers come to a different conclusion than 97% of the climate science literature?

This new study was authored by Rasmus Benestad, myself (Dana Nuccitelli), Stephan Lewandowsky, Katharine Hayhoe, Hans Olav Hygen, Rob van Dorland, and John Cook. Benestad (who did the lion’s share of the work for this paper) created a tool using the R programming language to replicate the results and methods used in a number of frequently-referenced research papers that reject the expert consensus on human-caused global warming. In using this tool, we discovered some common themes among the contrarian research papers.

Cherry picking was the most common characteristic they shared. We found that many contrarian research papers omitted important contextual information or ignored key data that did not fit the research conclusions. For example, in the discussion of a 2011 paper by Humlum et al. in our supplementary material, we note,

Comments 1 - 11 of 11        Search these comments

1   justme   2015 Aug 26, 11:36pm  

I'm shocked -- SHOCKED -- that there is fraud taking place among global warming denialists.

2   Ceffer   2015 Aug 26, 11:51pm  

Fraud? Touche.

3   farmrdave   2015 Aug 28, 6:50am  

There is no peer reviewed evidence supporting carbon dioxide increasing atmosphere temperatures to a negative effect. On the other hand none of the literature supporting carbon based thermal biosphere disaster mention how our global temperature is controlled by water in it's many forms. If you wish to worry about something of importance, study the problem of over fished oceans, over harvested forests, the population boom that is outstripping the food supply.

A few facts. No amount of tax can alter the earths temperature. Carbon dioxide is a trace gas and cannot ever increase to more than about 500ppm, it is not physically possible. Harnessing the atom as mankind's source for energy is the only known energy that can replace petroleum and natural gas. So called "green energy" such as solar and wind energy can only provide a tiny percentage of the energy needed by mankind, it is horribly expensive, vary damaging to wildlife and habitat during operation and vary polluting during manufacture. Cannot ever supply our needs no matter how advanced it becomes.

Lets kill of this failed energy control scheme, treat it like a dead horse, bury it out back somewhere and forget about it.

4   HydroCabron   2015 Aug 28, 8:03am  

jazz music says

there is no cohesive, consistent alternative theory to human-caused global warming. Some blame global warming on the sun, others on orbital cycles of other planets, others on ocean cycles, and so on.

The papers barely rise above the level of "it was cold today in Wugga Wugga, PA - take that, liberals!" argument.

I still enjoy the facility with which these fucktards slide immediately between arguing that the sun is heating the earth and only a few hours later claiming there is no evidence the earth is heating. And no shame or cognitive dissonance whatsoever.

5   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2015 Aug 28, 8:06am  

farmrdave says

Carbon dioxide is a trace gas and cannot ever increase to more than about 500ppm, it is not physically possible.

Has anyone heard of this piece of claptrap before? I've never seen it.

farmrdave says

If you wish to worry about something of importance, study the problem of over fished oceans, over harvested forests, the population boom that is outstripping the food supply.

Be careful, if people start worrying about water quality, they are going to notice all of the ocean acidification caused by CO2 and eutrophication caused by over application of fertilizer.

farmrdave says

Harnessing the atom as mankind's source for energy is the only known energy that can replace petroleum and natural gas.

Are you advocating nuclear energy, or just trying to get people to stick their heads back into the ground?

6   HydroCabron   2015 Aug 28, 8:46am  

farmrdave says

Carbon dioxide is a trace gas and cannot ever increase to more than about 500ppm

I have been laughing at these people for years, and I have never encountered this particular nugget of stupidity.

Usually they just lie about the effects, claim the earth is not warming, or claim that solar activity is doing the deed (while simultaneously claiming the earth isn't warming anyway).

This is a new one.

7   HEY YOU   2015 Aug 28, 8:58am  

farmrdave-joined 28 Aug 2015

Beginner trolls commenting on Patnet is really entertaining to the old pros here.

8   Shaman   2015 Aug 28, 9:06am  

Mars has an atmosphere that's mostly carbon dioxide, so the 500ppm "ceiling" is bullshit. He's right about the ocean pollution tho. It's getting bad. Humans are causing terrible harm to our planet. I haven't seen any workable solutions come out of the global warming scientific community yet tho. Lots of alarm but no fire truck.

9   HydroCabron   2015 Aug 28, 9:19am  

Venus's atmosphere is 95.5% carbon dioxide.

10   Ceffer   2015 Aug 28, 11:05am  

Global warming is science by assertion fiat. All it lacks is valid, proven cause and effect, no bigee.

11   Smitty23   2015 Aug 28, 7:42pm  

HydroCabron says

Venus's atmosphere is 95.5% carbon dioxide.

Gee, I guess that's why it's so hot!!

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