2
0

The new bubble (2015)


 invite response                
2015 Nov 26, 2:16pm   4,301 views  10 comments

by FortWayne   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

Well folks, I could not have predicted this. However, I see it. We are living in it right now. This time it's not nation wide though, and like most things it's artificial thanks to stupid government again. When really stupid people are in charge, that's what happens.

Right now there is a lot of money is flowing into rental market. It's another bubble, and if you are in a big city you are probably feeling it. Rental prices are soaring, rentals are being built up, communities torn down to build up more rentals or mcMansions. If you were to put up a Duplex on the market today, it'll be sold the next day. Especially if it does not fall under rent control. Asking price, you got to be kidding me, it's insane. Lets just say some people are cashing out with these prices, and there are going to be a lot of suckers holding the bag when it's all over. And there will be a lot of people who are hurt by this, through displacement or loss of income.

I can guarantee that you will very soon see a lot of effort and a lot of coordinated "news" organizations promote deregulation of housing. It's so the so called *investors* can make more money, not to help you. You paying them more is what makes them money.

Renters are probably going to feel it first with rising rents, unless they are willing to move to cheaper areas. Investors later when it all comes down. When will this be over? I don't have a crystal ball, whenever government wakes up and comes to stop this madness. They didn't do it last time there was a real estate bubble, so I don't expect them to step it until everything crashes again.

#housing
#economics
#politics

Comments 1 - 10 of 10        Search these comments

1   Tenpoundbass   2015 Nov 26, 3:53pm  

Well somebody has got to pay Jimmy Buffet for building a Margaritaville on the Broadwalk.
He isn't getting that kind of traffic to that White Elephant on the beach.
But for the few extra tourist he might attract, we're all paying an $20 or two this year extra in property taxes.

2   lostand confused   2015 Nov 26, 5:09pm  

Yeah up here in the frozen tundra, rentals and house prices have gone up. After this last storm , I am seriously done with cold and am looking to move to warmer climes for good. I have a very nice house on an almost acre lot in a very nice neighborhood. Of course for the price I bought it, you couldn't buy a condo in CA, but at least I will break even or maybe make a small profit -a little after one year of owning it. Which is unheard of in this area-folks are even getting multiple offers!!!

Which makes me think this is a bubble-no major jobs uptick here, old folks leaving to FL or Phoenix and cooped up inside for a few months a year-I am wondering if it is a tide lifts all boats situations. There is something to be said about being able to be outdoors for 12 months!

3   anonymous   2015 Nov 29, 9:41am  

just keep it simple. at least in desirable sections of california - population continues to grow, jobs continue to be added, supply continues to be limited both for rental units and for owner-occupied. we're talking around 3 months or less, depending on the type and the area. not sure vacancy is measured the same way houses are, but you get the point: it's a seller's and a landlord's market.

so maybe there's some manipulation of supply, who knows. perhaps the banks are very slow to work through defaults. perhaps NIMBY and eco-terrorists are really preventing new construction (they definitely try their hardest, that's for sure). perhaps builders are scrambling to catch up on multi-family structures.

but if things remain the way they are now, the only factor that could change the wind is jobs. however, we are talking about medicine/health, biotech/pharma, high-tech/web, law, dentistry/ortho, aerospace/defense, property/mortgages, investments/finance, architecture/engineering, university/research, civil service, business management, consulting, etc. take one man from one of these industries and take one woman from one of these industries, marry them up, and you get a very clear picture of income needed to own enough debt to buy a house or to cover high rents.

4   anonymous   2015 Nov 29, 9:56am  

of all the "bubbles" and "threats" people discuss these days, ranging from terrorism to housing to climate change - the real issue we are facing is how to deal with all the poor people (those that the global economy and technological advancements have left behind).

5   HEY YOU   2015 Nov 29, 10:04am  

FortWayne says:" When really stupid people are in charge, that's what happens."

Anyone know how these stupids get into office?

6   Strategist   2015 Nov 29, 11:45am  

landtof says

of all the "bubbles" and "threats" people discuss these days, ranging from terrorism to housing to climate change - the real issue we are facing is how to deal with all the poor people (those that the global economy and technological advancements have left behind).

They have opportunities, welfare and cell phones. Nothing more can be done.

7   anonymous   2015 Nov 29, 12:54pm  

just a few thoughts - the prisons are full and expensive, the government support is costly and unproductive (actually counterproductive and self-perpetuating), the "affordable healthcare" is also costly and potentially not as effective as advertised... but in this context, the hidden cost of poor people is also in the land and neighborhoods they inhabit. they are otherwise taking away safe places for more productive people to live without absorbing the higher cost of a tight supply within desirable areas.

this is the real story behind the decimation of the middle class - their once decent neighborhoods are now crime ridden and their schools are now holding facilities for all kinds of shitty kids. it's not that these places were ever the greatest, but they were at least acceptable.

most of this issue is economic. looking to the old days of manufacturing, skilled labor and trades, apprenticeships and the like won't solve the problem. the modern economy cannot move into reverse and turn back time. this is a very challenging issue - what to do with all of these people besides subsidize a bare bones lifestyle?

8   FortWayne   2015 Nov 29, 8:07pm  

landtof says

what to do with all of these people besides subsidize a bare bones lifestyle?

You can never fix all the poor, that's impossible in a capitalist economy. Since any subsidy will just increase price to price out the poor for their entire pay check. And socialism, I don't think anyone would want to live in that nightmare, considering North Korea is a flourishing example of that.

9   Strategist   2015 Nov 29, 8:33pm  

FortWayne says

landtof says

what to do with all of these people besides subsidize a bare bones lifestyle?

You can never fix all the poor, that's impossible in a capitalist economy. Since any subsidy will just increase price to price out the poor for their entire pay check. And socialism, I don't think anyone would want to live in that nightmare, considering North Korea is a flourishing example of that.

Venezuela too. They did a great job with equality, by making everyone poor. How come we never thought of a stupid idea like that?

10   anonymous   2015 Nov 30, 8:10pm  

there is too high an importance placed on education. not everyone is entitled to a bachelor's and/or a master's degree in "administrative nothingness and informationistics technological new-media uselessness"

in terms of production, humans are a source of energy - and combined in large numbers can replace the use of other energy sources for similar tasks. the higher the cost of fossil fuels (both extraction and by-product cleansing i.e. emissions control), the better the case becomes for example to just have people deliver amazon packages with their own 2 feet. 100 people could pull/push a large vehicle around (50 on either side). tens of thousands could row a large shipping vessel across water. there could be TV's and Xbox screens and all they would have to do is pedal.

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions