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If The Presidential Election Were Held Today....


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2016 Sep 23, 5:29am   688 views  1 comment

by ohomen171   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

US Election 2016
Presidential election poll tracker
YESTERDAY
With only 45 days left until election day, the race for 270 electoral college votes is still too close to call. Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and Republican candidate Donald Trump need 270 electoral college votes to win the presidency. Both candidates will be paying attention to toss-up states such as Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Latest prediction

Electoral college votes

CLINTON
250
TRUMP
171

14110911766105
Solid Leaning Toss-up Leaning Solid
Where are the battleground states?

SOLID (141)
CA
55
NY
29
WA
12
MA
11
MD
10
OR
7
CT
7
HI
4
VT
3
DC
3
LEANING (109)
IL
20
PA
20
MI
16
NJ
14
MN
10
WI
10
NM
5
RI
4
NH
4
DE
3
ME
3
TOSS-UP (117)
Fla
29
Ohio
18
Geor
16
N.Car
15
Va
13
Ariz
11
Colo
9
Nev
6
LEANING (66)
TX
38
MO
10
IA
6
NE
5
AK
3
MT
3
ME
1
SOLID (105)
TN
11
IN
11
SC
9
AL
9
LA
8
KY
8
OK
7
AR
6
KS
6
UT
6
MS
6
WV
5
ID
4
SD
3
WY
3
ND
3
States where the difference in poll numbers between Clinton and Trump is less than 5% are classed as 'toss-up' states, those with a difference of over 10% are classed as 'solid'.
Latest news

Donald Trump suggested at a town hall on “African-American issues” on Wednesday that he would institute a nationwide version of “stop-and-frisk”, a controversial policing tactic, to reduce crime in predominantly black communities. Polls show large majorities of African-Americans oppose it.

All US Election 2016 coverage

Where are the closest races?

The candidates are focusing their attention on states where the races are too close to call. These toss-up states are shown in the table below, which ranks all 50 states and the District of Columbia by polling average, showing the closest races first.

STATE POLL MARGIN ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES
Florida
Trump +0.1 29
North Carolina
Trump +1.2 15
Arizona
Trump +2.2 11
Nevada
Trump +2.3 6
Ohio
Trump +2.5 18
Colorado
Clinton +2.5 9
Georgia
Trump +4.4 16
Virginia
Clinton +4.6 13
Wisconsin
Clinton +5 10
Michigan
Clinton +5.2 16Show more states
Who is leading in national opinion polls?

National polling average based on four-way race (%)

35
40
45
50
Jul 1, 2016
Sep 22
Aug
Sep
39.8 Trump
41.4 Clinton
The chart above displays the two leading presidential candidates, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Two other candidates with significant support are Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, who is polling at 8.8 per cent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who is polling at 2.8 per cent. Read about our methodology.

All national opinion polls

DATE POLLSTER CLINTON TRUMP SAMPLE*
Sep 15 - 16 Associated Press-GfK 45% 39% 1,251 LV
Sep 20 - 21 Rasmussen Reports 39% 44% 1,000 LV
Sep 16 - 19 NBC News, Wall St. Jrnl 43% 37% 922 LV
Sep 15 - 19 Reuters, Ipsos 37% 39% 1,111 LV
Sep 18 - 19 Economist, YouGov 40% 38% 936 RV
Sep 12 - 18 NBC News, SM 45% 40% 13,320 LV
Sep 11 - 14 FOX News 41% 40% 867 LV
Sep 12 - 13 Rasmussen Reports 40% 42% 1,000 LV
Sep 9 - 13 CBS News, NY Times 42% 42% 1,433 LV
Sep 10 - 13 Economist, YouGov 42% 40% 926 RV
Sep 8 - 13 Quinnipiac 41% 39% 960 LV
Sep 8 - 12 Reuters, Ipsos 39% 39% 1,127 LV
Sep 5 - 11 NBC News, SM 42% 40% 16,220 RV
Sep 7 - 8 Gravis 43% 40% 2,348 LV
Sep 5 - 8 ABC News, Wash Post 46% 41% 642 LV
Sep 6 - 7 Rasmussen Reports 43% 39% 1,000 LV
Sep 1 - 5 Reuters, Ipsos 40% 38% 1,084 LV
Sep 4 - 6 Economist, YouGov 40% 38% 955 RV
Aug 28 - Sep 1 GWU, Battleground 42% 40% 1,000 LV
Aug 29 - Sep 4 NBC News, SM 41% 37% 32,226 RV
* RV indicates registered voters; LV indicates likely voters

Show more polls
Methodology: The FT poll tracker is based on Real Clear Politics (RCP) data and updates at least five times a day as polls are added by RCP staff.

The poll tracker is based on a four-way race, which includes Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, Republican candidate Donald Trump, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. In states where Stein is not on the ballot (Nevada, Oklahoma and South Dakota), a three-way polling

#MoronmanIncontinentWithFear

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1   Y   2016 Sep 23, 6:09am  

Speculation on what will never come to be is a fools errand...

ohomen171 says

If The Presidential Election Were Held Today....

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