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For Le Pen, the Impossible Now Seems Possible

By Heraclitusstudent following x   2016 Nov 14, 4:21pm 656 views   2 comments   watch   sfw   quote     share    


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/14/opinion/for-le-pen-the-impossible-now-seems-possible.html

The historian Pierre Rosanvallon regrets that “many genuine democrats hate populism but fail to understand its deep roots.” It is not enough to protest the consequences of populism, he told me; you also need self-criticism. And Mrs. Clinton, he noted, has not been particularly good at self-criticism.

1   Peter P   ignore (0)   2016 Nov 14, 7:46pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Too bad the prediction market always knows this.

https://www.predictit.org/Contract/3568/Will-Marine-Le-Pen-be-elected-President-of-France-in-2017

I successfully predicted Brexit and Trump this year. Have to say, Le Pen's chances are slightly worse than Trump's.

I am not going to make a bet at 40+% implied probability.





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