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He's expected to win like Hillary was expected to win the Primaries.
I predict he will win, because he campaigns as the more Islamic candidate in a country that is more than 90% Muslim. Islam exerts a gravitational force, pulling people down towards Sharia. Following the collapse of the Ottoman Caliphate, Ataturk established secularism. Ataturk's legacy seems unlikely to last much longer though, because it contradicts the fundamental beliefs of most of the population. Already Turkey fails to meet the human rights standards of the EU (or even NATO if NATO were honest about it), and soon it will gravitate ineluctably towards Sharia, as Islam commands.
https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-04-15/erdogan-s-bid-for-sweeping-power-set-to-climax-with-sunday-vote
What a great NATO member!
(Also, being President of Turkey for 14 continuous years is okay. No rigged elections, nothing to worry about. Only when "other" Presidents serve for less time and not consecutively, that's a sign they're a dictator.)