forgot password / register

reset password

register

patrick.net

 

#politics


#housing #investing #politics #random more»
778,416 comments by 11,476 users, 6 online now: anotheraccount, APOCALYPSEFUCK_is_ADORABLE, Goran_K, KimJongUn, mell, Tim Aurora
new post
« prev   politics   next »

2
10

The polls were WAY off

By iwog following x   2017 Nov 8, 7:56am 393 views   18 comments   watch   quote     share  


#politics

Biased against Republicans eh?

Virginia

RCP composite: Ralph Northam (D) +3.3
Actual: Ralph Northam (D) +8.6

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html
1 YesYNot   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 8:01am   ↑ like (2)   ↓ dislike (2)     quote        

Are you posting this in investing because you don't want a frog moderating the post? I like the post, but change the tag.
2 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 8:04am   ↑ like (2)   ↓ dislike (6)     quote        

Nope. I'm satisfied with the way things are right now. I refuse to let Goran moderate one of my threads so lets try this and see how it works. Maybe ultimately it's better if people moderate their own stuff.
3 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 8:30am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (6)     quote        

I'm going to presume that the downvotes I get are from people who believe the polls are massively biased against the Republicans while in reality they seem to be biased against the Democrats.

Speak up. Don't be shy.
4 Tenpoundbass   ignore (7)   2017 Nov 8, 8:32am   ↑ like (8)   ↓ dislike (1)     quote        

iwog says
Speak up. Don't be shy.


5 rpanic01   ignore (0)   2017 Nov 8, 8:39am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

iwog says
I'm going to presume that the downvotes I get are from people who believe the polls are massively biased against the Republicans while in reality they seem to be biased against the Democrats.

Speak up. Don't be shy.


You presume wrong, I don't care about the race. Down voted for putting it under investing.
6 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 8:39am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (2)     quote        

That's nice but I thought the polls were broken and there was some sort of conspiracy against Republicans? Did you make an error?
7 YesYNot   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 9:41am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

I've always argued that the polls in 2016 were about as accurate as they usually are, and that individual states are hard to predict. The difficult thing to predict is enthusiasm, and how that will drive turnout in different regions. In the 2016 election, people underpredicted Trump turnout or failed to appreciate the lack of enthusiasm for Hillary. In this election in VA, I believe that antipathy for Trump in northern Virginia and other liberal parts of the state drove turnout to be much higher than typical. There were many votes cast primarily as a protest to Trump. It's the best way to say fuck you Mr. President. It will be interesting to see if turnout is high in 2018.
8 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 10:22am   ↑ like (2)   ↓ dislike (2)     quote        

rpanic01 says
You presume wrong, I don't care about the race. Down voted for putting it under investing.


It's odd you wouldn't care about the election or the accuracy/bias of polls but you somehow care about......a hashtag?
9 rpanic01   ignore (0)   2017 Nov 8, 10:32am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

iwog says
rpanic01 says
You presume wrong, I don't care about the race. Down voted for putting it under investing.


It's odd you wouldn't care about the election or the accuracy/bias of polls but you somehow care about......a hashtag?

Patrick is trying to set up mods probably to make it easier for himself and you are sabotaging it because you don't agree. It would be better to just let it pan out and if it doesn't work it will go back to the way it was. I liked a lot of your posts when I first found this site.
10 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 10:42am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (2)     quote        

rpanic01 says
Patrick is trying to set up mods probably to make it easier for himself and you are sabotaging it because you don't agree.


I'm not sabotaging anything. I created the thread and I'd like the right to keep the trolls out. The fact no one is defending a MASSIVE assertion made thousands of times since November 2016 in the light of the latest election couldn't make this issue more clear.
11 jazz_music   ignore (2)   2017 Nov 8, 10:58am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (4)     quote        

iwog it is bizarre to watch these guys claim that it is you who are the troll. They can really be that bent. The more talk radio and Fox you listen to the more their shit sounds normal. Patrick must be at least a little bit that way or things here would not be as they are.
12 BlueSardine   ignore (3)   2017 Nov 8, 11:20am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

But "WAY off" is but a boil on the ass of "GALACTICALLY WRONG" ...

iwog says
The polls were WAY off
13 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 11:20am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (1)     quote        

Stay on topic please.
14 anon_313db   ignore (0)   2017 Nov 8, 11:25am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

Tenpoundbass says
iwog says
Speak up. Don't be shy.




Chill man, take a couple of puffs and a couple of shots of JD.
15 iwog   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 8, 12:33pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (5)     quote        

I'm moderating according to the exact same rules Patrick posted. If you see any deviation from that, you can let Patrick know.
17 Goran_K   ignore (1)   2017 Nov 11, 8:26am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (2)     quote        

I’m glad to see Iwog back.
18 HEY YOU   ignore (7)   2017 Nov 11, 9:43am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote        

Moderation is for Snowflakes.
Patrick,
Can I ban all moderators with a single click.

I don't mind asking again.
Sensitive Patnetters,Please grow the fuck up!

Comment as anon_d18a7 or log in at top of page:

users   about   suggestions   source code   contact  
topics   best comments   comment jail   old posts by year  
10 reasons it's a terrible time to buy  
8 groups who lie about the housing market  
37 bogus arguments about housing  
get a free bumper sticker:

top   bottom   home