From bad to worse? 5 things 2018 will bring to the Middle East
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From bad to worse? 5 things 2018 will bring to the Middle East

By BayAreaObserver following x   2018 Jan 9, 3:14am 93 views   2 comments   watch   sfw   quote     share    


1. The Syrian conflict will drag on without resolution.

In Syria, the government will continue to reconquer territory, but will not be able to expand its control across the entire country.

There are four reasons for this.

2. Saudi Arabia’s ‘reforms’ will fizzle.

Saudi Arabia will continue to make reforms under the direction of Crown Prince Muhammed bin Salman, but those reforms will be purely cosmetic.

Although the crown prince has been portrayed as a reformer, it is important to remember that Bashar al-Assad, the president of Syria, once played that role as well.

3. The caliphate will be gone, but not the Islamic State.

If 2014 was the year in which IS seemed unstoppable, 2015 was the year the IS caliphate began to slide into oblivion.

The caliphate also lost all the major towns it had taken. The caliphate is finished. But what about IS, the movement?

4. Trump’s ‘ultimate deal?’ Gone for now.

When the U.S. recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, it put another nail – quite possibly the final nail – into the coffin of the Oslo agreements, which set the parameters for negotiating a two-state solution.

In spite of the protestations from the Trump administration, an Israeli government secure in the embrace of the United States lacks incentive to concede anything. The United States has been down this road before, multiple times, and to no avail.

5. Yemen will sink further into the abyss.

Down the road, the most important underreported crisis in the Middle East is the war in Yemen, which Saudi Arabia, with American support, is waging against an indigenous uprising. There is no end in sight.


Full Article: http://theconversation.com/from-bad-to-worse-5-things-2018-will-bring-to-the-middle-east-89653

#MiddleEast #GeoPolitics


1   TwoScoopsPlissken   ignore (0)   2018 Jan 9, 9:08am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)     quote      

All Nonsense in that article.

As a Reminder, ISIS emerged and grew rapidly under Obama, it was expanding until RUSSIA, not Obama, began bombing them while Obama was ordering US forces to bomb Syrian Army positions to help the "Moderate Rebels" that were mostly AQ Affiliates or had zero stomach for fighting and immediately surrendered their weapons to ISIS. He supported Egyptian "Democracy" that ended up in the Muslim Brotherhood running the show, complete with fresh pograms against the Copts. Saudi Arabia is reforming, something we were told be apologists was coming soon, but now that it's here, many of the same Handwavers are like "It's not real."

The Palestinians are finally getting some sticks to come to the Peace Table, instead of endless coddling. Obama asked Bibi to halt settlements for 6 months, Bibi ended up giving more like 10 months at Obama's request. The Palestinians only increased their demands.

The Paleban are going to lose their last Iranian supports as the Gulf States crack down on Jihad at home. They're going to have to come to the peace table.
2   anon_5611d   ignore (0)   2018 Jan 9, 10:54am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)     quote      

"All Nonsense in that article"

Is IS ideology dead ? If so, why is it expanding extremely rapidly in Southeast Asia ?

Based on the OP's qualifications I will go with his take on the situation over the average layman.

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