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Global Cooling 1/2 degree in last 2 years.

By Onvacation following x   2018 May 18, 1:27pm 4,348 views   251 comments   watch   sfw   quote     share    


https://www.newsmax.com/t/newsmax/article/860837?section=newsfront&keywords=earth-cool-half-degree-nasa&year=2018&month=05&date=16&id=860837&aliaspath=%2FManage%2FArticles%2FTemplate-Main

The average global temperature dropped by more than half a degree Celsius from February 2016 to February 2018, according to recent NASA data.

Read Newsmax: NASA Data: Earth Cooled by Half a Degree Celsius From '16-'18

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212   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 9:21am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
lol--with no examples, of course. No thoughtful response pointing out the error in my logic or even where you disagree with my opinions.


I have an open challenge to anyone who can show an actual doom and gloom climate change prediction that came true or even just a photograph showing a rise in sea level. For all of the people who believe the way you do, not one has been able to, with a simple old and recent photograph, show any rise in the high water line, yet on my thread relating to this very topic, I have my own and other pictures showing no change on a fixed object.

Your logic is flawed because you concur that the science is settled, yet the models that the science theory you assert as true continue to be wrong with the predictive theory. Your science can't be settled with predictive theory that doesn't correctly predict. Rather than objectively reevaluating and actually learning something, the religious mindset takes over and the desired result becomes a goal to prove instead of a theory to test.
213   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 9:25am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

Malcolm says
our logic is flawed because you concur that the science is settled, yet the models that the science theory you assert as true continue to be wrong with the predictive theory. Your science can't be settled with predictive theory that doesn't correctly predict. Rather than objectively reevaluating and actually learning something, the religious mindset takes over and the desired result becomes a goal to prove instead of a theory to test.


You obviously haven't read anything I've written. That is the exact OPPOSITE of what I've been saying.

If you're going to attempt to engage in a constructive discussion, then at least read what I write and understand it.
214   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 9:28am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (1)   quote        

Malcolm says
Your logic is flawed because you concur that the science is settled, yet the models that the science theory you assert as true continue to be wrong with the predictive theory. Your science can't be settled with predictive theory that doesn't correctly predict. Rather than objectively reevaluating and actually learning something, the religious mindset takes over and the desired result becomes a goal to prove instead of a theory to test.


As an example.

You are basically saying that the existence of gravity isn't "settled science" because one cannot precisely predict where a feather will land when dropped outside.
215   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 9:30am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
You are basically saying that gravity doesn't exist because one cannot precisely predict where a feather will land when dropped outside.


A bit of a stretch, but yes, even in this example, if you can't correctly predict the outcome, you don't have a full understanding of the subject.
216   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 9:30am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

That's what makes it a religion, because it becomes a belief.
217   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 9:33am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Malcolm says

A bit of a stretch, but yes, even in this example, if you can't correctly predict the outcome, you don't have a full understanding of the subject.


Wrong. It means gravity is settled science. But there are many other variables that affect where the feather will land that can be modeled, but all the inputs have variability so the final outcome is a probability curve.

Just like the greenhouse effect is settled science. But its effect on Earth as CO2 increases can only be modeled.
218   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 9:36am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
You obviously haven't read anything I've written. That is the exact OPPOSITE of what I've been saying


This is called equivocating. This allows a safe space for plausible deniability. If you don't actually believe the science is settled relating to human caused climate change, then it is you who are trolling by asserting that we are all ignorant and wrong about something that you are apparently open to because you say the science for part of it is settled but you aren't so sure about the rest of it. The problem there is that the rest of it is the point of the discussion. The atmosphere obviously holds in heat like a blanket. The effect of CO2 is not understood, ergo bad model result, and more likely it is the amount of water vapor and clouds that determines how much heat is trapped.
219   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 9:41am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Malcolm says
f you don't actually believe the science is settled relating to human caused climate change, then it is you who are trolling by asserting that we are all ignorant and wrong about something that you are apparently open to because you say the science for part of it is settled but you aren't so sure about the rest of it.


Nope. I don't think you read very carefully. The science of the greenhouse effect is settled. It was discovered in the early 1800s and proven in mid 1800s, completely unrelated to and prior to any discussion of the Earth warming. That is not a model.

I've consistently posted that one can argue the validity of the models. Most open minded people who look at all of the agreement in data showing a warming Earth believe that the climate is changing, but like I said earlier--models are models. They are not facts.
220   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 9:48am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
Nope. I don't think you read very carefully. The science of the greenhouse effect is settled. It was discovered in the early 1800s and proven in mid 1800s, completely unrelated to and prior to any discussion of the Earth warming. That is not a model.


Sorry, but you have just precisely rephrased my point. You are just wanting to alarm for no actual reason. That is precisely what an alarmist is.
221   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 9:51am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Malcolm says
Sorry, but you have just precisely rephrased my point. You are just wanting to alarm for no actual reason. That is precisely what an alarmist is.


Could you please point out where I'm alarming? Pointing out the existence of the greenhouse effect discovered in the 1820s is alarming?
222   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 10:05am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Since you are not digesting what I am telling you let me be clear, with your own words.

CBOEtrader says
I think you're confusing things. Science is settled on CO2's effect in the atmosphere. The models are obviously just that--models.


LeonDurham says
Nope. I don't think you read very carefully. The science of the greenhouse effect is settled. It was discovered in the early 1800s and proven in mid 1800s, completely unrelated to and prior to any discussion of the Earth warming. That is not a model.


Now with my words:

Malcolm says
asserting that we are all ignorant and wrong about something that you are apparently open to because you say the science for part of it is settled but you aren't so sure about the rest of it. The problem there is that the rest of it is the point of the discussion. The atmosphere obviously holds in heat like a blanket. The effect of CO2 is not understood, ergo bad model result, and more likely it is the amount of water vapor and clouds that determines how much heat is trapped.


The reason you think I missed something is because you don't understand the effect of CO2 in the atmosphere because the predictive theory on its relationship to temperature didn't pan out. Therefore I simply go to the main point, the effect of human activity. The reason some of your comments are keepers is because of the bizare logic of admitting that the predictive theories might be flawed, even due to circumstances yet unknown (some consider it settled science), yet you still believe there is an actionable crisis.

That is why some of us are taken aback.
223   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 10:08am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
Could you please point out where I'm alarming? Pointing out the existence of the greenhouse effect discovered in the 1820s is alarming?


curious2 says
LeonDurham says
The only thing that can argued is how self correcting the Earth's ecosystem is. Maybe it will self correct and stop the temperature rise. But, the consequences are so dire if not, is it really something we want to leave up to chance?


Just preserving this...


Also preserving this.
224   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 10:20am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Good. I think that is a perfectly reasonable statement. No fear mongering.
225   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 8, 12:38pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Malcolm says
Rather than objectively reevaluating and actually learning something, the religious mindset takes over and the desired result becomes a goal to prove instead of a theory to test.

Well said!
Is it a coincidence that many alarmists are atheists that badly need to believe in something?
226   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 8, 12:42pm   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
You are basically saying that the existence of gravity isn't "settled science" because one cannot precisely predict where a feather will land when dropped outside.

Newton's law of universal gravitation states that a particle attracts every other particle in the universe with a force which is directly proportional to the product of their masses and inversely proportional to the square of the distance between their centers.

Is there a law of co2 planet heating?
227   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 8, 12:51pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says

Is there a law of co2 planet heating?


Nope--as I've said time after time, we only have models that attempt to predict how the additional radiation that is re-emitted will ultimately change the climate on Earth.

Sure seems like you guys are arguing against a strawman.
228   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 8, 3:15pm   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
Is it a coincidence that many alarmists are atheists that badly need to believe in something?


Similar behavior by followers and similar behavior by those controlling the followers. It’s almost like they follow this model like the Bible. Don’t you dare question the contradictions, that is heracy.

Yes, people need a belief or a cause to feel complete.
229   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 11, 9:37am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Quigley says
The fact that you consider something unproven and fairly uncertain to be proven science just proves that you neither understand what science is, nor are humble enough to admit your ignorance.


Or this one Goran? Sure seems like a repeat offender to me.
230   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 12, 5:14am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
The fact that you consider something unproven and fairly uncertain to be proven science just proves that you neither understand what science is, nor are humble enough to admit your ignorance.


The fact that one considers something unproven and fairly uncertain to be proven science just proves that they neither understand what science is, nor are humble enough to admit their ignorance.

better?
231   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 12, 6:01am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
The fact that one considers something unproven and fairly uncertain to be proven science just proves that they neither understand what science is, nor are humble enough to admit their ignorance.

better?


Not according to the moderator. If a poster is clearly directly the attack at a user then it's still against the rules, regardless if they use "one" or "Trumpkins" or "libtards"
232   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 12, 1:21pm   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

The fact is that earth is not warming uncontrollably, the arctic is not melting faster than ever, and the ocean level is not rising to flood Manhattan and Florida. Anyone that tells you it is, is ignorant or trying to scam you.
233   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 12, 1:30pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
The fact is that earth is not warming uncontrollably, the arctic is not melting faster than ever, and the ocean level is not rising to flood Manhattan and Florida. Anyone that tells you it is, is ignorant or trying to scam you


I'm not sure about the melting rate at the arctic, but the other two are correct. For now. The question is looking at the trends and models, what is going to happen in the future?
234   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 13, 6:22am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says

I'm not sure about the melting rate at the arctic,

The melting between decades is much less than the melting between seasons. Unless you mistake the seasonal variations as an iwogian asymptote to hell!
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/
235   HeadSet   ignore (1)   2018 Jun 13, 7:18am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

iwogian asymptote to hell!

Iwogian? Is that a "canard? (Yes, I know, a pun is the lowest form of humor).
236   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 15, 6:22am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
he melting between decades is much less than the melting between seasons. Unless you mistake the seasonal variations as an iwogian asymptote to hell!
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/


#1-- It's the trend that matters, not the seasonality.
#2-- You should be worried about the Antarctic, not the arctic.
#3-- The ice in Antarctica is melting faster than modeled.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/antarctica-lost-three-trillion-tonnes-174950597.html
237   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 15, 12:29pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
#3-- The ice in Antarctica is melting faster than modeled.

Then why is Florida still above sea level?
238   LeonDurham   ignore (0)   2018 Jun 15, 12:38pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
Then why is Florida still above sea level?


Can you show me the model that predicted Florida would be under water in 2018?
239   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 15, 12:47pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

LeonDurham says
Onvacation says
Then why is Florida still above sea level?


Can you show me the model that predicted Florida would be under water in 2018?

I'm not the one posting links that say the ice is all melting and the sea level is rising.
240   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jun 28, 8:00pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Saved by volcanoes!
"If we have volcanic cooling, it does buy us a little bit of time. So does extra solar cooling," Folland told Haaretz. "It buys us a little bit of extra time to respond through mitigation or adaptation to global warming."

https://www.haaretz.com/amp/science-and-health/MAGAZINE-we-need-more-volcanoes-eruptions-slowed-global-warming-in-past-1.6155381
241   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jul 3, 8:12am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Again, if someone could show me with photographic proof that oceans are rising, I would be open minded. Here is another bit of photographic proof of basically no change, certainly no rise.

http://extra.heraldtribune.com/2016/06/09/throwback-thursday-photos-venice-avenue-then-and-now/
242   Malcolm   ignore (1)   2018 Jul 3, 8:45am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Here’s another one. Please take note, absolutely no change in the high water line, almost perfect match where the grass grows.

243   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jul 7, 10:17am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

ALERT!
Arctic ice levels are at their 10th lowest levels since records have been kept!
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/

And it's only June!
244   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jul 11, 9:05am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
Arctic ice levels are at their 10th lowest levels

How can the alarmist continue with their hyperbole when the sea ice is thicker than it was 12 years ago?
245   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jul 15, 8:21am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

"Image result for june world temperaturewww.ncdc.noaa.gov June 2018 was warmer than average, though its temperature was similar to the June values for several recent years. The European-average anomaly is 0.9°C for June 2018; this compares with 1.4°C for June 1999, the warmest June on record."


So Last month was a half degree cooler than 1999. Except in Siberia. Siberia was 50 degrees warmer than average yesterday.
246   Tenpoundbass   ignore (11)   2018 Jul 15, 8:59am   ↑ like (1)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

...eh hem!

"Oh Yeah and just that half a degree is a huge difference in the average global temperature."

Or so I've been told.

Funny you never get it coming back in the other direction.
247   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jul 26, 4:55am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

2018 is promising to be the 6th warmest year since we have been keeping record!
249   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Jul 27, 6:55am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

the theory of man-caused, catastrophic, global warming is embraced not because of any “science,” (that sham is for the “useful idiots,”), but because it is a justification for a government takeover of the energy industry, with massive increases in regulation, taxes and government spending. The United Nations loves it because it inspires fantasies of the UN growing up to be a world government, with real government powers of global taxation, spending and regulation, all “to save the planet.” Scientists who go along with the cause are rewarded not only with praise for their worthy social conscience, but also with altogether billions in hard, cold cash (government and environmental grants), for their cooperation in helping to play the “useful idiots.” Moreover, many academic scientists are “progressives” themselves, and so favor sharp increases in government spending, taxes and regulation, because they are certain they know how to run your life better than you do.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2013/11/12/the-coming-revelation-of-the-global-warming-fraud-resembles-the-obamacare-lie/amp/

Old article but interesting.
250   MrMagic   ignore (11)   2018 Jul 27, 7:06am   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

Onvacation says
2018 is promising to be the 6th warmest year since we have been keeping record!


I just can't figure out why it gets hot every Summer. Maybe one of the GW Alarmists can explain.
251   Onvacation   ignore (2)   2018 Aug 2, 12:16pm   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote        

MrMagic says


I just can't figure out why it gets hot every Summer. Maybe one of the GW Alarmists can explain.

It is August and 2018 IS projected to be the 5th ( maybe 6th) hottest year EVER.

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