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The U.S. Housing Market Looks Headed for Its Best Slowdown in Years


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2018 Jul 26, 5:39pm   1,500 views  3 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-26/american-housing-market-is-showing-signs-of-running-out-of-steam?utm_campaign=patrick.net

They were fed up with Seattle’s home bidding wars. They were only in their late 20s but had already lost two battles and were ready to renew with their landlord. Then, in May, their agent called.

Suddenly, Redfin’s Shoshana Godwin told the couple, sellers were getting jumpy, even here in the hottest of markets. Homes that should have vanished in days were sitting on the market for weeks. There was a three-bedroom fixer-upper just north of the city going for $550,000, down from more than $600,000. They made the leap in early June and had closed by the end of the month, for list price.

The U.S. housing market -- particularly in cutthroat areas like Seattle, Silicon Valley and Austin, Texas -- appears to be headed for the broadest slowdown in years. Buyers are getting squeezed by rising mortgage rates and by prices climbing about twice as fast as incomes, and there’s only so far they can stretch.

“This could be the very beginning of a turning point,” said Robert Shiller, a Nobel Prize-winning economist who is famed for warning of the dot-com and housing bubbles, in an interview.

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1   Heraclitusstudent   2018 Jul 26, 5:54pm  

Maybe "we reached a permanently high plateau."
Though if it stops going up, that means no further capital gains.
2   _   2018 Jul 26, 5:57pm  

Existing Home Sales Look Perfect

“For 2018, I anticipate existing home sales to be in the range of 5.27 – 5.53 million units. If we end the year showing negative growth, with rising inventory once again, don’t worry, be happy. This would be “normal” especially when purchase applications are still trying to party like it is 1999.”

https://loganmohtashami.com/2018/07/23/existing-home-sales-look-perfect/

New Home Sales Look Perfect!

” I expect to see 2%-5% growth in new home sales that could go higher if the median sales price remains stable and the trend of building smaller homes continues. ”

https://loganmohtashami.com/2018/07/25/new-home-sales-look-perfect/
3   WillyWanker   2018 Jul 26, 10:21pm  

It's starting to happen again. Maybe a good time to sit back and watch the real estate market.

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