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follow Goran_K 2018 Sep 19, 3:33pm
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Tuesday, Democrats lost a majority Hispanic Senate district and saw a poll of likely voters showing statewide gains may not be as large as they wanted.The largest hit came from Senate District 19, which covers parts of south and West Texas. Earlier this year, the Democratic incumbent, Carlos Uresti, was convicted of multiple financial crimes and was forced to step down.Then, Gov. Greg Abbott called a special election where a Republican made it to the runoff. That runoff between Republican Pete Flores and Democrat Pete Gallego was won by the GOP Tuesday 53 to 47.In the past two general elections, the Democratic candidate won the district by 15 to 20 points. Flores will become the first Hispanic Republican to serve in the Texas Senate.
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Alternatively, TX rural Hispanics are moving towards being conservative in their voting habits.
And they become 'more' conservative just by standing in place as the Libs go full out extremist Libtard. The Libtards think that they are moving the Overton Window. More like Overton Bubble.
Latest poll has Beto up 2 pts...
With all due respect, that is Fake Polling Procedures.
that seat hadn't been Republican for 139!!! yrs
and if anything it is gerrymandered to enclose as many Hispanics as possible (66% Hispanic
Quinnipac poll gave a more believable 54/45 Cruz/O'Rourke split, and they have been pretty reliable lately.
I am a little surprised by the margin-Hilalry carried this district by 12 points I think? Interetsing-may it portend good tides for the republicans. We cannot have these loonies in charge.
This is the definition of confirmation bias. You believe the poll because it confirms what you think.
It’s also nearly 70% Hispanic. This should worry Dems.
Booger says This thread is another great illustration of Trump cultists lacking any cognitive ability and believing anything that gets posted on facebook.
The Ipsos poll, done in partnership with Reuters and the University of Virginia, surveyed 992 voters over nine days earlier this month, garnering an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.It was done online, with the sample drawn from panels and then calibrated to reflect demographics. It had a much different partisan breakdown, featuring 47 percent Republicans, 43 percent Democrats and 9 percent independents.Chris Jackson, the Ipsos pollster, openly admitted that his team took a different approach to determining a likely voter."Our poll allows a bit more for enthusiasm," he said, explaining that typical turnout for a midterm election in Texas wouldn't take into account a wave of Democratic support that many experts are expecting in November. "Our electorate is a little browner, not quite as old and not as affluent."
Nice link to that data....Beto hasn't been up.... EVER.... I think you mean "behind less"...
And done via panels, online. After the pollsters selected for "Demographic" membership. Guess who is less likely to vote? Poor Young Minorities, the very people Ipsos weighted their poll in favor of.Traditionally, likely voters are by phone and by "did you vote in the past election(s)?" Not by "How much do you hate Trump." "Man, I HATE THAT GUY. I would totally vote (nevermind I didn't vote in the past 4 elections)."
How funny is it to watch Trumpcucks go full TDS and support a GOPe swamp monster. Is it lying Teds opinion of Trump that swung them?
It’s probably because Beta is a full on SJW Soros puppet. No one with two brain cells to rub together would vote for him.
We'll see. I think both the recent polls are outliers. Cruz isn't up 9 and Beto isn't up 2. That's why it's best to average a group of polls from respected pollsters. Probably Cruz is up 3-4 pts...
Cruz will likely be up by 10 pts or so. Last time, 40% of Hispanics voted for him, and this special election shows that something is changing in at least TX rural Hispanic vote.I personally will not vote for Cruz because he is a religious nut (or pretends to be one, which guarantees him extra Hispanic votes), and will not vote for O'Rourke also since election of people like him will turn our state into CA, and no one needs that.
We'll see. No offense, but I think the average of good polls is probably a better indicator than your opinion.Honestly, I imagine the Dems want polls to show Cruz with a 9 point lead. That might keep some of the national Republican money out of Texas...
Can you detail his policies that lead you to this conclusion?
Low Trump election numbers in TX were result of him being a fucking orange godless Yankee.
lol--So anti gun is SJW?Pro abortion is SJW?Free speech is now SJW?
Waving your dick in public isn’t free speech, it’s stupid.
That's definitely possible. But his opponent was also a fucking orange godless Yankee too. Well except for the orange part.
Before or after Beto made the remark to an African-American that Illegal Aliens are needed to feed the cotton gin?
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