0
0

Georgism plus Prop 13


 invite response                
2011 Apr 24, 10:32am   10,667 views  78 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

Georgism is usually defeated politically by the idea that the government would be your landlord forever, and could raise your land-tax at will.

(For those who don't know, Georgism is the idea that there should be no income tax or sales tax at all, only a single tax on land values and no tax on improvements.)

But let's say that the land-tax is determined at the time of purchase, and can be raised at most 2% per year. This is the way California's Prop 13 works.

So now we would have the fairness and economic benefits of Georgism combined with the tax stability of Prop 13.

Would such as system be politically possible? Would it raise enough revenue to cover the cost of government?

#georgism

Comments 1 - 40 of 78       Last »     Search these comments

1   leo707   2011 Apr 24, 11:00am  

Georgism is usually defeated politically by the idea that the government would be your landlord forever

Is there anywhere in the US with no property tax? Any level of property tax pretty much makes the government your landlord.

2   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 11:24am  

IMO, LVT shouldn't really apply to ordinary owner-occupied, non-commercial property in the state.

It could start to kick in in areas like Corona Del Mar and Los Altos, where there is a scarcity premium perhaps and normal people aren't able to buy.

School and infrastructure should probably be paid via Mello-Roos style assessments that run for a set amount of time.

California has a proposed $100B budget expense. It has 100M acres of land so on average a $1000/acre annual parcel tax would pay the state budget.

Say 1% of the land is urban core -- 1500 square miles -- and is valued at $4M/acre -- 5% tax rate would yield $200B.

California has a tidal shoreline of 3000 miles, say one-third of that is developable, and say everything developable within 1 mile of the beach gets an average of a $100,000 per acre year primo tax -- that's another $64B/yr in LVT.

36 million people here, say the top 1% own a primo acre not otherwise covered here good for another $100,000 per acre annual LVT -- that's another $36B/yr in revenue.

So, I've just found $300B/yr in LVT, when I needed $100B.

3   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 11:26am  

leoj707 says

Any level of property tax pretty much makes the government your landlord.

Any level of property tax actually is recompense for dispossessing others by one's land tenancy claim.

Jefferson wrote a bit about this, how tenancy flows from the State.

4   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 12:39pm  

On the national level, not counting social security we have a $3T/yr bill to pay.

2.2 billion acres of land in the US, say half is wasteland, leaves an average tax burden of $700/acre/yr.

Seems doable. My share of that $700/acre would be $20/yr, since my tenancy works out to 0.025 acres.

Edit: nevermind, I screwed up the math.

3e12/1.1e9 is $2700/acre/year, a bit high for farmland, which is 40% of our land base, to carry.

My annual direct LVT burden would be $70, though, which still isn't bad.

5   Patrick   2011 Apr 24, 12:40pm  

One reason I don't like Prop 13 is that it uses inflation to systematically shift taxes to recent buyers.

If we had actual gold or silver by weight as currency, inflation would end immediately, and Prop 13 would be much more fair.

shrekgrinch says

More politically possible, yes.

Raise enough revenue, I don’t think so.

Depends on what the tax rate is! What if people were allowed to bid on the taxes they would pay, as well as bidding on the sale price of the house? People might voluntarily pay enough to keep the government running.

Not sure how the two bids would work together though. Greatest sum of land tax and purchase price wins?

6   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 12:59pm  

Not sure how the two bids would work together though. Greatest sum of land tax and purchase price wins?

Land value on owner-occupied residential isn't that big a deal AFAICT and is a can of worms we don't have to get into.

Like I said above, I think there are 1500 square miles of valuable commercial zoning in CA (this works out to 1 square mile per 20,000 inhabitants), a 2.5% LVT on an average value of $4M/acre would completely pay for state government this year.

Real answers have to come from actual simulations with actual level-of-detail granularity on actual lots. Nobody has really done this yet so the answers would no doubt be surprising. I was quite surprised at my $700/acre/yr result above!

If we had actual gold or silver by weight as currency, inflation would end immediately, and Prop 13 would be much more fair.

Depends, actually. Money supply is relative to the goods and services that are for sale. Services are the tricky bit since not much is being consumed with services so $1 can ping around quite a bit in a service economy before leaving it.

Prop 13 would be unnecessary if there were no inflation. Prop 13 on commercial property was the stupidest thing imaginable, it's a wonder the state is still semi-functional this late in the game.

7   Patrick   2011 Apr 24, 1:26pm  

Troy says

IMO, LVT shouldn’t really apply to ordinary owner-occupied, non-commercial property in the state.

It could start to kick in in areas like Corona Del Mar and Los Altos, where there is a scarcity premium perhaps and normal people aren’t able to buy.

School and infrastructure should probably be paid via Mello-Roos style assessments that run for a set amount of time.

I should have read better before. So you would exempt low to middle owner-occupied property, but have a land value tax for wealthy areas and especially for commercial property.

8   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 2:18pm  

I haven't really thought in great detail how to implement LVT.

Like I said above, to make it real you have to look at actual numbers and simulate the thing on real land.

The Fed here says total commercial and residential land is ~$4.5T.

That's just $15,000 per capita and I think it's off by quite a lot.

There are 120M households, and at $50,000 of land value per that's $6T there alone. Probably low.

Going with 1 sq mile of commercial per 50,000 people that's 6,000 sq miles of commercial in this country.

At $1M/acre that's $4T of commercial property. Really low estimate, California alone probably has $4T in commercial land value.

The US has 300M acres of cropland. At $5000 per that's $1.5T. 100M acres of woodland, at $10,000 per that's another $1T of valuation.

Then we get into subsurface wealth. Adding that in would boost total land value up to $45T I would guess, maybe more.

BTW, I screwed up my above estimate of $700/acre to cover the $3T/yr government spending, that was wrong, it's actually $2700/acre if we take half the acreage as uneconomic wasteland.

Farmland can't quite cover $2700/yr (1 acre of corn can yield 100 bushels @ $2 per), though of course commercial could without breaking a sweat since that's just 6c/sq foot/yr. As could residential, the average 5000' lot would only see a $300/yr property tax, which sure sounds better to me than a 20-30% "fair" tax!

Again, without low-level simulation this is all just wankery tho.

9   American in Japan   2011 Apr 24, 3:06pm  

Good discussion here... I am still taking it in. One thing I have wondered is that the land value tax could make some land "worthless" in terms of any economic rent (minus) the land tax

10   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 3:16pm  

American in Japan says

I have wondered is that the land value tax could make some land “worthless” in terms of any economic rent (minus) the land tax

No, because if it's worthless no tax will be collected.

Murray Rothbard made this assertion in his critique of Georgism:

"A 100 percent tax on rent would cause the capital value of all land to fall promptly to zero. Since owners could not obtain any net rent, the sites would become valueless on the market. From that point on, sites, in short, would be free. Further, since all rent would be siphoned off to the government, there would be no incentive for owners to charge any rent at all. Rent would be zero as well, and rentals would thus be free."

and it was responded to here:

http://www.nolanchart.com/article6921.html

"It is hard to believe that Murray would think that the only value to land is the "rent" value! The primary value to land is utility and the collection of site rent by someone other than the landlord has no effect on this use value, other than discouraging hoarding. It is the speculative value, that future value that is monopolized and capitalized into the present value, that redirection of rent would diminish."

It was Rothbard being all wet on Georgism here that makes me suspect that the Austrian stuff is similarly crap thinking.

11   anonymous   2011 Apr 24, 3:21pm  

Patrick and troy, I have an odd question. Do either of you intend to be buried in a cemetery plot? I have read about henry george and the enormous gathering at his funeral, and talk of a casket (he was a god fearing man and I imagine in 1897, everyone was buried vs. Cremation

I find it odd that a man whose entire lifes works surrounded this concept of land and maximizing utility for a egalitarian future, would be so greedy as to consume 32 sq ft of prime land for a casket and headstone,,,,

12   American in Japan   2011 Apr 24, 3:48pm  

@Troy,

OK... that makes sense. The assessment of the value of the land will be one point that needs to be addressed, but basically I like this concept since land won't diminish as it is taxed.

>Prop 13 on commercial property was the stupidest thing imaginable, it’s a wonder the state is still semi-functional this late in the game.

Agree here!

BTW to those who say they are not making any more land, they have never seen Odaiba or the New Kansai Airport...LoL!

13   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 4:17pm  

Me, I plan on being buried on the moon, actually.

but yeah, having lived in West LA for 7 years right next to the big VA cemetery there, I did feel that was a big waste of very valuable land . . . 100 acres @ $10 ~ $20m per . . .

Certainly applying the LVT on cemeteries would help them economize their land usage. . . the rent on HG's grave in Brooklyn would be around $20/mo I guess . . . his estate is probably good for it, being one of the best-selling authors of the 19th century . . .

14   anonymous   2011 Apr 24, 4:37pm  

I wonder if ole henry george had it wrong. Maybe its not the landlords that are keeping the poor, poor, by under utilizing land in speculation. Maybe its all the dead people filling up the cemetery's! Its about as zero-sum of an end game as I can imagine. Land is in fixed supply, population increases exponentially into perpetuity, no one can escape death, eventually we run out of places to bury all the bodies.

I haven't really thought in great detail how to implement LVT.

An idea is nothing without implementation!

15   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 6:02pm  

errc says

An idea is nothing without implementation!

putting the cart before the horse, actually.

The first priority is establishing the philosophical / moral bases -- Adam Smith, Thomas Paine, Jefferson, JS Mill, Henry George. . .

Then comes the equally important step of identifying what these moral bases should effect in the real world -- ie, the practicalities of the thing. This is an intellectual and scientific challenge of identifying the various economic mechanisms that can be implemented and adjusted to accord with the above moral direction.

Then comes the political question of how far do we go. . . what happens to the various use classes -- residential, commercial, industrial, government, public, non-profit, etc.

The LVT movement as a whole is still involved in the basic public enlightenment / propagandizing of the first phase.

There is an organization http://www.prospercalifornia.com/ that has a ballot measure and proposed replacement for Prop 13 tax law to capture 75% of rental value of unimproved land, but I think they're moving too fast and are moving from step 1 to step 4 (execution!) without the intervening refinement of the idea or understanding of what they are trying to accomplish, and they also lack understanding of what this change will do to the existing status quo.

If we need $100B/yr, we should prioritize the tax burden on that which makes the most moral and practical sense to carry it (hint: billionaire land moguls get a lot of the tax burden, grandmas shouldn't get much). We'll probably need 10-20 years to transition to the new regime incrementally. too.

But worrying about step 4 when most people aren't even on step 1 yet is premature.

16   Reality   2011 Apr 24, 7:05pm  

@Troy

If you levy a 5% tax on commercial land value, most of the land value would simply collapse and give you no tax at all. Land value is calculated on how much rent it can generate, 5% tax is as high as the mortgage is. You can check what towns with 5% property tax is like; in fact, as soon as property tax level reach over about 2.5%, the town finances collapse altogether as the property value collapse and people abandon the town.

5% tax on $4M/acre valuation would probably kill most big-box retail stores and make the rest stores much more expensive, resulting in much higher cost of living for low-income to middle income families that rely on the likes of Walmart and Target for their daily needs. The limousine set frequenting Niemen Marcus and Tiffany's may be less affected, until the rioters arrive at their gated communities and their limo drivers can't support their families.

The idea that there can be an objective land use value is quite absurd. Land value in zones of 1/8 acre obviously have different valuation from zones where the zoning minimum is 2 acres, on a per acre basis, even in the same town. A 1/2 acre lot is not going to be worth 4 times as much as the 1/8 acre lot right next to it, simply because both lots can only build one residential building each. Proximity to roads, rail, water, even elevation and wind direction would have significant effect on land value as residential lots. When we get to mixed use and commercial lots, we face enormous value difference due to the type of use. Who is to decide which plot is to be used for what? What kind of building is to be built on it and how big? Obviously, the plot's ability to accommodate a bigger building vs. a smaller building would carry different value during different periods in the economic cycle. Do you honestly believe the town or state government is really well suited for managing such minutia? instead of leaving it to the building owners? The reality on the ground is that in cities like New York, we not only have building owners renting from land owners, who in turn "rent" (fee-hold) from the city/state, even the tenant renting parts of the building often sub-let or sell their leases in capitalized form to other tenants/sub-tenants. Economic conditions change, and new ways of making best use of land change all the time. Only the diversified fee-holds at various levels can cope with the rapid changes. There is a real time price discovery process at each level, whenever a tenant/sub-tenant moves in or moves out of the place.

This whole idea of accruing all land use value to the government sounds awefully like historical attempts to "cut out the middlemen" and turn all food production and distribution over to a government monopoly. The result of such central planning is inevitably bureaucratic inefficiency and mis-allocation of resources, fattening the well-connected and starving the rest of the population. In land use, such a centralization would simply create a nexus for one big monopolistic developer to capture.

17   Reality   2011 Apr 24, 7:06pm  

@Troy

Then there is the situation where the lot was so uneven that it was utterly un-buildable. Then some "pioneer" came along and leveled the lot. How do you differentiate "land" in the Georgist sense vs. improvement? Does every home owner have to document all land scape changes from when the lot was created/recognized?

After the house was built, if the builder then had to fire-sale at a loss below the construction cost of the house/improvement itself. Does that then allow the buyer/next-owner hold the land free-and-clear (instead of fee-hold land from the town)? As he paid zero for the land.

It goes to show that the whole drive behind Georgism is the same as every other excuse for taxation: envy, and the ruling class' pretense to to put a lid on it and protect the middle class from it.

18   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 8:15pm  

Reality says

f you levy a 5% tax on commercial land value, most of the land value would simply collapse and give you no tax at all.

Dunno. Landlords don't have a problem extracting that 5%+ out as a cap rate.

http://www.loopnet.com/Listing/17067200/848-Evelyn-Ave-W-Sunnyvale-CA/

Price: $1,600,000
Cap Rate:6.50%
Lot Size:15,000 SF

Clearly the site value here is around $4M/acre. If 5% of that goes to the state each year, will these tenants no longer desire to pay that cap rate? This was addressed above, here: http://www.nolanchart.com/article6921.html

5% tax on $4M/acre valuation would probably kill most big-box retail stores

One of the beauties of the LVT regime is that it makes people really pay for parking lots and the density cost they impose on communities.

LVT encourages big-box retail to build UP, to put some more capital investment in the improvements to economize on the acreage footprint. Kinda like Tokyo in that regard. In Tokyo you'll have a hard time finding a convenience store without 3-8 floors of office, retail, or housing space above it. American-style fatass parking lots are rare birds, too.

But if people really want big-box stores we can subsidize their big footprints with a lower tax burden. No biggie.

But site value is pretty high here in the bay area, here's another example:

http://www.loopnet.com/Listing/17061651/724-N-Mathilda-Ave-Sunnyvale-CA/

"One of the best locations you can have, approximately 1 block south of Highway 101 on Mathilda Ave in Sunnyvale, CA. Traffic counts are tremendous."

Gee, seems like a pretty high site value for that $2.4M, no? Why should the owner be pocketing all this, did he create the 101 or pave Mathilda as a boulevard?

Let's assign $1.5M as the site value, yielding a $75,000/yr tax burden. Seems like the $258,633 net operating income can handle that fine.

You can check what towns with 5% property tax is like; in fact, as soon as property tax level reach over about 2.5%, the town finances collapse altogether as the property value collapse and people abandon the town.

The whole point of LVT is to shift taxation away from incomes and onto land use. See my icon : )

Who is to decide which plot is to be used for what?

Existing public zoning mechanisms, obviously.

Do you honestly believe the town or state government is really well suited for managing such minutia?

No. The state's job would be collecting the ground rent, instead of the landlord. What the user does with the property is pretty much up to them.

19   Â¥   2011 Apr 24, 8:19pm  

Then there is the situation where the lot was so uneven that it was utterly un-buildable. Then some “pioneer” came along and leveled the lot. How do you differentiate “land” in the Georgist sense vs. improvement?

Save your invoices! What you don't have an invoice for, The Great Creator made. Plus over the decades applied labor is depreciated into land anyway.

if the builder then had to fire-sale at a loss below the construction cost of the house/improvement itself. Does that then allow the buyer/next-owner hold the land free-and-clear (instead of fee-hold land from the town)? As he paid zero for the land.

No, contrary to your above assertions, land value is a relatively smooth function in space, and contrary to this feeble what-if, time. The art of assessing property is a well understood practice at this point.

It goes to show that the whole drive behind Georgism is the same as every other excuse for taxation: envy, and the ruling class’ pretense to to put a lid on it and protect the middle class from it.

LOL. All defenders of the status-quo soon go into the ad-hom argumentation. Without. Fail.

(my internet hero, some guy called royls up in Canada, has an awesome record left on usenet engaging all comers on the LVT issue. Hundreds and hundreds of arguments on dozens of threads, both on usenet and on old message boards. I really learned a lot following his arguments, and ALL of his interlocutors soon wheeled out the envy line and other BS like it. Here's an example of his argumentation style:

>Consider a typical city. If there were no buildings or factories, then all
>you have is farmland in the middle of nowhere.

Wrong. Flat, outright wrong. We have MANY historical examples of
cities where almost all the buildings, factories, etc. were removed --
London in 1666, Lisbon in 1755, Chicago in 1871, etc., etc. -- and the
land retained most of its value because the government and people, and
thus the economic advantage to the land user, still remained. We also
have the proof in the opposite direction: the Black Death of 1347-50
left all the buildings and factories of Europe intact, but removed
just 1/3 of the people, and land values crashed by 70%-80%.

So you are just flat wrong. Now, you can choose to learn from that,
or you can continue to keep yourself ignorant. Your choice.

. . . great stuff)

20   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 12:56am  

@Troy,

Look at the example you provided: if the current value is $1.6mil because it can collect $104k in rent in a year, how much is the land worth when $80k of that is taken away in taxes? Back-of-evnvelope calculation seems to indicate the land would be worth $369k, a 76% reduction in value. That's for a prime location. The vast majority of other locations simply would not have that kind of income numbers, so such a high tax rate would simply lead to abandonment and dilapidation . . . just like in almost every town foolish enough to have imposed property tax rate above about 2.5%. There is no beauty in raising property tax rate to those levels; it would simply raise rent and collapse property value at the same time, destroying both tenants and landlords at the same time for the wished for benefit of the government, which would also be ruined as its "tenants" (both landlords and renters) are ruined.

I have already read Gene's article that you have referenced so many times. His so-called critique of Rothbard's writing is really quite silly. He was making the same mistake as you did: assuming that value is objective and unaffected by the drastic policy proposal itself. In reality, land value would be drastically affected by the proposal, resulting in widespread bankruptcy (most commercial land carry mortgages) and little tax collected (due to value collapse)

Have you ever lived in places like Tokyo or Shanghai? These are horrendous places to live compared to much of the US. The multi-story malls are not easy to access by the handicapped or elderly. The jam-packed land use is also called "concrete jungle." Niceties like green zones maintained by most American malls and companies surrounding their buildings are usually absent in Tokyo and Shanghai (except for way out in the outer suburbia, 20 miles or further out from the city centers). Do we really want pack Americans into pigeon boxes like they do? Incidentally, even in a place like Shanghai, where the government actually does own all the land (the ultimate wet dream of socio-Georgists, unlike Henry himself), there are still mutliple tiers of "landlording" arbitraging long term leases vs. short-term subleases.

The "save your invoices" argument is silly on two accounts:

(1) The owner wielding a shovel or running a Bobcat put in far more of his labor value than the invoice on the shovel or the Bobcat rental cost would indicate. As any good Georgist would understand, his labor should not be taxed.

(2) Inflation. A new Bobcat would cost $2k only in 1970, but that 1970 $2k is worth more than $20k today. While one may argue that land value increase due to inflation is liable to tax, but the Bobcat use is not land value but the guy's labor input (or labor input of someone else that he bought and paid for with the fruits of his own labor).

The market value of land is not smooth at all. Property assessing is indeed an art, not a science. It's a matter of creating a smooth income stream to pay for the town's obligations without the property owners burning down the assessor's office. The drastic ups and downs in the real estate market is mostly due to change in market land value. The cost of material and illegal immigrant labor do not change nearly as much (union labor cost fluctuate even less, if at all).

London, Lisbon, Chicago and San Francisco did not retain their land value during the fires and in the immediate aftermaths any more than Tokyo is fully retaining its land value in the nuclear fallout or LA retained land value during the 1992 riot or New Orleans retained land value during the aftermath of Katrina. Property and land value fell drastically during those disasters. Some of them were able to recover because commerce and low taxation business environment returned. If you want to see drastic land value change in a city over time due to high property tax, look to Detroit. As far as I know, it didn't even experience any natural disaster or massive fire. The high property tax alone is quite sufficient to destroy a city. BTW, the 70-80% decline in land value during Black Death is far better explained by the decline in commerce than the population decline per se. People were afraid of meeting other people, so in the pre-internet age, that meant stoppage of commerce; many towns even banned traveling vendors, the engine of "inter-state commerce" back then. So as you can see, land value is not constant at all, but drastically affected by economic conditions . . . i.e. something that the government would be illl-equipped to evaluate and adjust vs. the individual landlords cutting rents and digging into their savings. Governments are nortorious for not having reserve funds. Any additional tax in boom time would simply be leveraged out for more debt to build more boondongles.

Henry George proposed the Single-Tax idea as a way of reducing the overall tax burden on the economy. However, nowadays, many of his alleged followers seem to be looking for ways for the government to take a bigger bite out of the economy by monopolizing land management. Detroit is a good example of what happens when the government dominates land use management through high property tax.

21   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 1:25am  

Ownership of land is already an illusion in modern western society predominated by "fee-hold." With property tax rates typically 1-2%, the math works out to be the equivalent of a 99-yr or 50-yr lease. "Landlord" is in effect arbitraging between long term lease vs. short-term leases. So why shouldn't the town take the entire rent income? Because the economy is not constantly smooth rotating. Rents are much lower and vacancy rates are much higher during down turns. The government can only collect so much "rent"/tax from the "owner" as to allow the owner still be able to afford the up-keep of the building and paying his creditors during a down turn (often out of his reserve funds if necessary), before the buildings would be abandoned. Based on past performance with projects, the government would be a terrible agent for managing abandoned properties. Even as we type now, many properties can be purchased at prices lower than building replacement cost alone; i.e. the land portion is valued at zero in the market place, despite what the assessor's office says on paper.

22   Georgist   2011 Apr 25, 2:30am  

Unless you've read "Progress & Poverty", you won't realize that it's not only the best way, but the ONLY way forward for society. All other paths lead to ruin (and history has proven this).

23   Patrick   2011 Apr 25, 2:47am  

Personally I hope to be cremated. But cemetery land will never really be a problem. In Europe they just stack bodies in the same grave. And all bodies disappear into the earth eventually, especially with traditional burials. Formaldehyde and steel caskets just delay the process in a nightmarish way.

I don't like Prop 13, but I see that it has enormous political power, since it gives the majority of people a feeling of security. And people vote for that feeling of security. So if we can harness that feeling to the good economic sense of Georgism, maybe we'll have a viable political platform.

Reality says

The idea that there can be an objective land use value is quite absurd.

There does not need to be an objective land value for Georgism to work. You could simply let buyers bid on the amount of land-tax they will pay. The market can determine property taxes. The bidding has to be very public and open because cockroaches hide in the dark. But it could work.

24   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 2:56am  

"Progress and Poverty" did not impress me because I had already read "Das Kapital," where not only land but all "means of production" are owned by the monopolistic government bureaucracy. Government being the only rent collector necessarily means that government becoming the only developer. We already learned from real life experience in the 20th century that what's worse than oligopolistic big corporations running people's lives is a monopolistic government that doesn't allow any choice at all. More precisely, both "government" and "corporation" are artificial mental constructs designed to allow a small elite to screw the rest of the population without getting too personal. Displacing multiple competing corporations with "the government" would mean the same bunch of feudalistic elites putting themselves in government official robes instead of corporate suits running your life . . . and your choices are reduced from "a few"/"too few" to 1 or zero. Both books read to me like advocating jumping out of the frying pan and into the burning flame itself (and many nations in the 20th century did precisely that).

Since most buildings are fixed, not on trailer platforms, and any land improvement like leveling the lot and laying pipes and fences is non-transferable sunken cost, land valuation in a market where properties are bought and sold with land is guaranteed to invite fraud and corruption. Arbitrary allocations are tolerated now mostly because tax rates on both land and improvement are the same and remain relatively low; if one is raised way high and the other is reduced to zero, it doesn't take a genius to figure out what will happen in the byzantine government halls, where even the lawmakers are bought and sold routinely.

25   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 3:04am  

If land tax is a matter of bidding, what happens then if someone else wins the bidding for the land under your house? Does he get to pay for your tax or does he get to kick you off the land? Does everyone have to live in trailers and cars? Would the town then go bankrupt the moment the economy slows down, because every home owner simply gas up their cars and trailers and leave? the same reason why trailer park owners have cash flow problems every 8-10 years?

More importantly, nobody would make any permanent improvement to the land, just like in the trailer parks. There is a reason why not even rental apartments are put on the block for auction every year or every month to maximize rent.

Incidentally, there is already an auction market for property tax liens; i.e. on houses where the owner is late on property tax payment. Reports seem to indicate that it's a very corrupt process, where families down on their luck are hit with exorbitant interest rate and have their houses seized by predatory tax-lien lenders.

26   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 3:35am  

how much is the land worth when $80k of that is taken away in taxes? Back-of-evnvelope calculation seems to indicate the land would be worth $369k, a 76% reduction in value. That’s for a prime location.

Reducing the up-front acquisition cost of land on the market is a very important attribute of the LVT tax regime.

You are confusing valuation for wealth. The wealth of that plot of land has not changed the least under a 5% LVT regime; it still is close to the 101 and has great traffic by it. By imposing a high LVT on it, what happens most of the rent is redirected from the LANDOWNER to the STATE.

Which is as it should be, since the STATE created ALL of that value, not the LANDOWNER.

The capital cost of land going to ZERO would be a FEATURE not a BUG. Removing specuvestors who parasitically draw from the actual productive people in our economy would be a great improvement.

27   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 3:39am  

If land tax is a matter of bidding, what happens then if someone else wins the bidding for the land under your house?

I solve that important issue by not even having LVT on below-median owner-occupied housing, and on above-median housing the LVT would be deferable into a lien for people.

More importantly, nobody would make any permanent improvement to the land, just like in the trailer parks. There is a reason why not even rental apartments are put on the block for auction every year or every month to maximize rent.

Singapore, Hong Kong, and China itself operate under a leasehold system and do not have this problem. If you want to talk disinducements to land improvement, Prop 13 would have to be example #1 by the way.

28   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 3:50am  

@Troy
Then you are being oblivious to a HUGE BUG, a bug so big that it's "sucking out the life flood of humanity," to paraphrase Matt Taiibbi from RollingStone and put "bug" in place of his more graphical phrase "vampire squid stuck on the face of humanity."

There is a crucial difference between the "LANDOWNER" and the "STATE": the former is usually an individual held to account for his/her own actions whereas the latter is a case of Identity Theft (some privileged individuals doing things in the name of the STATE). When the LANDOWNER borrows too much based on that cash stream during boom time, he and his banker will suffer for their mistakes. The "STATE" however is too big to fail, and will put you and me under gun point to pay back whatever boondongle some bribed government officials took out loans to build.

The "LANDOWNER" will use the cash stream to make improvements based on what will create economic value (despite occasional mistakes), whereas the STATE will spend improvement funds based on political patronage, nowadays for the sake of creating public debt so the banks can be paid out of tax money for decades to come. More importantly, when a LANDOWNER doesn't allocate his resources efficiently, you and I can shop somewhere else . . . with the STATE we have no such luxury. The STATE is by definition coercive.

That neo-Marxian disdain for "speculative parasite" is badly misplaced, IMHO. Private investors that face the risk of failure/bankruptcy actually adds value to the economy: profitability is nothing more than the society deeming their output being more valuable than their input. It is the "too big to fails," including the STATE itself, that are the economic parasites.

29   leo707   2011 Apr 25, 3:54am  

I think that in a free society to have a “fair” tax system those that gain the most from living in our system also throw in the most to help maintain that system. Sort of like the way our graduated income tax brackets are supposed to work now.

I think that Georgism would have worked much better when it was conceived 100+ years ago. Back then productivity and profit was linked much closer to land. Today you can put a factory on 1 acre that generates 1 billion in income next to a 1000 acre farm that makes only 1 million. Would it be fair to tax the farm 1000 times more than the factory?

It just seems to me that working out the issues of a Georgism type land tax would end up with a tax system at least as complicated as our current system.

30   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 3:54am  

So why shouldn’t the town take the entire rent income? Because the economy is not constantly smooth rotating.

This business cycle is driven by the land credit cycle. Seriously. 1930s in the US came off a land speculation boom. 1990s, same thing, both here and in Japan. And of course the current recession.

We can even go back to the 18th and 19th century, where famous Americans like Robert Morris ("financier of the Revolution") lost his ass in land speculation, along with many others in the Panic of 1797. Congress passed the 1800 Bankruptcy Act to bail him out of debtor's prison.

Daniel Boone became a frontiersman largely due to being a failed land specuvestor.

The Panics of 1819, 1837, 1857, and were worsened if not largely driven by failed land speculation.

"The American people with one consent gave themselves to an amazing extravagance of land speculation." -- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1837

"With the large influx of people moving, the railroads became a profitable industry and the banks seized the opportunity and began to provide railroad companies with large loans. However, by late summer, the value of western land fell and migration drastically slowed causing railroad securities to fall in value." -- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panic_of_1857

By keeping our capital investment OUT of land and INTO the actual productive economy, we buffer ourselves from the land boom/bust cycle. This is the secret of the economies of Hong Kong, Singapore, and others.

The parasites among us defend the status quo of landlording to the death, of course. Often literally, either at the end in some communist killing field of the bloody past or perhaps in the trunk of some kidnapper's car today in some unjust banana republic.

31   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 4:03am  

@Troy,

How do you define "median" in an ever changing market? In a typically Gaussian distribution, you'd have thousands of people in the "fat middle" not knowing if they are liable to a huge tax or not depending on what the cut-off that year is and how their particular home is evaluated. Can you say invitation to massive briberies?

What do you mean by "deferred into a lien"? Would the town then auction property tax liens to predatory tax lien lenders? Like many towns already do nowadays, much to the detriment of many families?

Singapore, HK and China have leaseholds that last 99 years or 50 years. That's practically the same as our "ownership" with 1-2% property tax. Land parcels sitting under their buildings are not coming up for auction every year. Otherwise, there wouldn't be fixed building.

32   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:04am  

I think that Georgism would have worked much better when it was conceived 100+ years ago. Back then productivity and profit was linked much closer to land. Today you can put a factory on 1 acre that generates 1 billion in income next to a 1000 acre farm that makes only 1 million. Would it be fair to tax the farm 1000 times more than the factory?

Yes. I'd rather have a billion-dollar wealth-creating enterprise than a turnip field in my neighborhood.

Maybe you haven't been keeping up on current events, but land and land value is still an immensely critical part of our modern economy.

TOO critical. Aside from redirecting flows from specuvestors and the financiers behind them TO the state, LVT also encourages more economical use of land. LVT works great to fund civic improvements like mass transit and even bus lines.

This is not to say we shouldn't have ag land. But 40% of this country is ag land, industry isn't going to displace much of it.

Landowners collect immense amounts of rent in the current economy. This is a large part of what is wrong with the economy today, people getting something (rent) for nothing (site value they did nothing to create).

Whenever an economic agent gets something for nothing, that's theft. You can identify the thieves in any economy by removing them from the picture and seeing if anything changes in terms of wealth creation.

Landlords qua landlords fail this Thief Test spectacularly. They are liquidatable, though of course they say they are not, but to do so they have to argue with fallacies and lies.

33   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:09am  

How do you define “median” in an ever changing market?

Uh, is this a trick question?

In a typically Gaussian distribution, you’d have thousands of people in the “fat middle” not knowing if they are liable to a huge tax or not depending on what the cut-off that year is and how their particular home is evaluated.

Land values are not redistributed every year, and they are certainly not random in this distribution anyway. They are very continuous and smooth in time and place. Plus the tax would/could be proportional to how far away from the median one is, so the impact of any yearly changes (if they even exist, I'm actually having a hard time imagining how land value would become so differential since the extrinsic value of property -- the value of everything outside the lot lines -- changes so slowly in real life) would not be significant.

Plus if I were king I would not subject owner-occupied residential to significant LVT anyway. Just enough to keep the specuvestors focused on actual wealth-creating enterprises and not fastening their fangs on their fellow man via purchase of landholdings.

Can you say invitation to massive briberies?

Anti-LVT people always wheel out their anti-govenment schtick. If we can't run a government here we have larger problems than the tax regime.

34   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 4:15am  

@Troy

HK and Singapore also have their economic cycles. Property speculations were and are rampant in both places despite leaseholds. "Landlording" are widespread in both places. "Landlording" is simply the arbitrage of long-term lease (including from the State, as in our current property tax system) vs. short-term leases. You can do that without even owning land or owning any property. You can go lease an entire commercial building for long term, and subdivide to smaller units and shorter terms now. Commercial Mall operators and hotel operators do precisely that on a routine basis.

The idea that the state should be the only landlord and no other intermediate landlords can exist is about as absurd as trying to make the state into the only food producer and no other food producers and distributors are allowed, because they are all allegedly "parasitic." If the state is the only legit owner of all land, then should it also be the only legit owner of all sunlight shining down on the crop plants on the land? and all the flour mills and all the bread baking facilities and all the grocery stores that either sit on the land or burn mineral out of the land to stay warm? The rub against such thinking is of course that:

1. all future planning is speculative;
2. if such speculative decision making is not individually held accountable through private ownership (and no bailouts), the result is "too big to fail" and throwing good resources after bad bets, as in all the failed socialist schemes.

35   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:18am  

Land parcels sitting under their buildings are not coming up for auction every year. Otherwise, there wouldn’t be fixed building.

Obviously security of tenancy is important. But so is redirection of the ground rent from landowner to the community that creates it.

LVT doesn't take anything that isn't already on the table. Allowing the LLs to rake it all is a primary driver of the increasing wealth inequality in this country.

For every bad thing you can imagine about LVT, I will just say "then let's not do that".

Remember, LVT is competing with our current Prop 13-protected regime, something that is failing spectacularly here in California. LVT would have to be pretty bad to be worse than the status quo.

36   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:22am  

The idea that the state should be the only landlord and no other intermediate landlords can exist is about as absurd as trying to make the state into the only food producer and no other food producers and distributors are allowed, because they are all allegedly “parasitic.” If the state is the only legit owner of all land, then should it also be the only legit owner of all sunlight shining down on the crop plants on the land?

The state should not be the "only" landlord, just the basal, the primary collector of site value ie ground rent, since the State is the primary creator of site value ie ground rent.

Thomas Paine and Jefferson said as much in their writings. So did Adam Smith, and John Locke implied it with his Proviso.

Land titles are created and issued by the state. They give away too much, which is why they are so expensive.

37   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 4:24am  

Not a trick question at all. Two different appraisers can have two entirely different sets of "comparables." It's not much of a problem now, but would be a huge problem if there is some kind of drastic cut-off line for tax payment running through the fattest part of the Gaussian distribution of home values in town. You can easily have neighbors fighting each other physically over $5-10k tax liabilities.

Land values do change drastically from year to year. We are looking at some neighborhoods with 50% or more in price reduction over 3 years . . . the buildings have not changed at all in those 3 years (most are far more than 17 or 30 years old, so fully depreciated in the accounting sense). So the entire change is due to land value.

"If I were king . . ." well, that just shows your fangs as a wannabe feudal aristocrat. The only legitimate thing to do if one finds himself to be a king (with real power) is to resign and make sure that nobody else can acquire that kind of monopolistic power afterward over his fellow men.

38   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:36am  

Reality says

The “STATE” however is too big to fail, and will put you and me under gun point to pay back whatever boondongle some bribed government officials took out loans to build.

Always with the anti-government stuff. Don't you see this as Anti-American? Do we not have the world-class government and aren't we the pioneer of democracy?

The history of state investment of public goods has been immensely beneficial to the public weal. Where are the boondoggles you speak of?

On the positive side of the ledger, we have the Wright Act Irrigation Districts of the previous century, something created entirely from Georgist philosophy of collection of ground rents.

"Governor Haight, in his inaugural address, and in his final address in 1871 stressed the land problem. "Our land system," he said, "seems to be mainly framed to facilitate the acquisition of large bodies of land by capitalists or corporations, either as donations, or at nominal prices. Barker claims that the inaugural address of Height's successor, Governor Boothe, could easily have been written by George. Boothe called for a tax on land values to cut down speculation, and for the land to be more generally cultivated by farmer-owners."

. . .

"The irrigation districts brought prosperity and local development to the valleys of California which were once recorded on the map as "deserts." Many officials, writers, and professors have since recognized the power of this one act. In 1915, the former California legislator from Modesto, L.L. Dennett told the Los Angeles Times, "I doubt if any law ever enacted by our legislature has even approached the beneficial results of this law. It puts a premium upon development and improvement... it has perpetuated to the people and to their children a great heritage... [a] birthright has been preserved not to be administered by a remote national or even state organization, but by the very people whose birthright it is.""

http://www.henrygeorge.org/caldes.htm

your fears "marxist boondoggles" are just bullshit. You really need to review http://geolib.com/essays/sullivan.dan/royallib.html to get your head realigned to reality and not the propagandistic fear-mongering your thoughts are dominated with.

39   Â¥   2011 Apr 25, 4:37am  

Reality says

“If I were king . . .” well, that just shows your fangs as a wannabe feudal aristocrat. The only legitimate thing to do if one finds himself to be a king (with real power) is to resign and make sure that nobody else can acquire that kind of monopolistic power afterward over his fellow men.

Now you're declining into stupidity. I've said all I need to say here. Good day good sir, and enjoy cashing those rent checks.

40   Reality   2011 Apr 25, 4:40am  

@Troy,

Redirecting financiers from private landlords to the State would be a huge curse on the rest of the population. The State can force you to pay back whatever it borrowed from the financiers.

Buying a property, improve upon it and rent it out actually involves far more labor than buying a stock and collect dividends. Do you also call all stockholders thieves? Do you call bond-holders thieves? A case might be made that holders of government bonds are indeed engaged in supporting theft as government tax collection is theft as it is coercive. Rent on the other hand is something that both the renter and the owner enter into without coercion from either side.

BTW, I'm speaking as a renter. Having numerous owners offering to rent is the reason why I have low rent on a decent place to live. Can you imagine what it would be like if government effectively owned all housing and have to use over-paid bureaucrats and union labor to do the maintenance and review applications? You can look to the projects, the DMV and the city hospitals for an answer. A stay at the government-run hospital room is like over $1000 per day, not including any of the medical services.

Comments 1 - 40 of 78       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions