darlag's threads


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S&P 500 Index -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 1/9/2015
by darlag on 11 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
The S&P 500 surprisingly extended its downward trek early in the week, finding a bottom on Tuesday from which it would recover for the rest of the week. Pundits ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 1/9/2015
by darlag on 11 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has completed its corrective rebound into Minuette wave (ii) and is poised to continue the downward slide into next week. http://www.globaldeflationnews

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Shale oil companies on the ropes first Texas-based fracker files for bankruptc
by darlag on 9 Jan 2015   7 comments, latest 9 years ago
Falling oil prices are taking their toll on American energy companies. On Sunday, Texas shale oil company, WBH Energy, filed for bankruptcy in Austin, Texas, the first American shale ...

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S&P 500 Index -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 1/2/2015
by darlag on 5 Jan 2015   4 comments, latest 9 years ago
The S&P 500 Index declined in a five wave pattern this week, putting into question the likelihood of the ending diagonal triangle I hypothesized last week. Minuette wave (i) ...

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"Just give us the crude" say Venezuelas creditors
by darlag on 7 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
Venezuela’s devastated economy continues to plunge ever deeper into deflationary crisis. Venezuela has been unable to pay foreign companies working to develop its oil fields. Its state-run oil company, ...

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Jaguar Inflation -- A Layman's Explanation of Government Intervention
by darlag on 25 Dec 2014   65 comments, latest 9 years ago
EWI Editorial I am tired of hearing people insist that the Fed can expand credit all it wants. Sometimes an analogy clarifies a subject, so let’s try one. It ...

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U.S. Dollar Index -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 1/2/2015
by darlag on 5 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
The U.S. Dollar rose to 91.119 on Friday, approaching the point where Minute wave [5] is equal to wave [iii] at 91.625. That would be the initial area we ...

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European Union continues to suffer from western sanctions against Russia
by darlag on 5 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
Relations between the U.S. and the European Union are being strained over disagreements about the financial and economic sanctions on Russia for its involvement in the crisis in Ukraine. ...

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Rand Paul takes up his fathers cause promises 2015 "Audit the Fed" legislation
by darlag on 2 Jan 2015   Posted 9 years ago
Now that the Democratic Party no longer controls the majority in the Senate, it is looking more possible that a stand alone up or down vote to audit the ...

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Could a Grexit actually happen? Snap elections in January say it's possible
by darlag on 29 Dec 2014   6 comments, latest 9 years ago
Everyone believed that the Greek legislature, led by Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, would be able to elect a new President. But opposition to his party’s austerity policies is strong ...

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10 YR US Treasury (yield) -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/26/2014
by darlag on 29 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
The yield on 10 Year U.S Treasuries continues to grow. The converging trendline (red dashed) from late October rebuffed the 10 Year’s advance at 2.307% this week, but it ...

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U.S. Dollar Index - Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/26/2014
by darlag on 28 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
The U.S. Dollar continues its near-vertical ascent as one-by-one competing global currencies give up ground against its juggernaut behavior. The end of 2014 finds the dollar exceptionally strong. After ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average - Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/26/2014
by darlag on 28 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
The new high in the Dow Jones Industrial Average this past week has made the short-term picture a little foggy until more waves play out. The Dow was able ...

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Do central banks and government policies control the markets? Apparently not...
by darlag on 22 Dec 2014   2 comments, latest 9 years ago
Virtually everyone believes this statement; certainly most economists do. Keynesians and monetarists believe that authorities can control the money supply and interest rates, and most neo-Austrians believe that the ...

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China to the rescue? Russia agrees to Chinese suggestion of a currency swap deal
by darlag on 22 Dec 2014   1 comment, latest 9 years ago
The U.S. led sanctions against Russia are hurting European countries, as described here, almost as much as Russia. But where European countries have no one but each other to ...

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S&P 500 Index -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/19/2014
by darlag on 20 Dec 2014   5 comments, latest 9 years ago
The S&P 500 Index came within $1.63 of making a new intraday high on Friday. While the Dow Jones Industrials can count as complete, making it difficult to predict ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average -- Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/19/2014
by darlag on 20 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
This week’s market action was swift and volatile. Friday’s quadruple witching saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average up just $26.65 on the day. But the strong rally that began ...

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A different take on Oil - EWI report and video
by darlag on 20 Dec 2014   1 comment, latest 9 years ago
EWI’s Chief Energy Analyst, Steve Craig, has lived the oil market for close to 30 years. In this free report, Steve shares his take on where oil has been ...

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Has the U.S. secret deal with Saudi Arabia hurt its own shale oil industry?
by darlag on 19 Dec 2014   3 comments, latest 9 years ago
In October, John Kerry went to Saudi Arabia to negotiate a “secret deal” with the Saudi’s to help in the fight against ISIS in Syria. That was the reported ...

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The Dow rallies 250 points on Yellen's speech, but is it real? Maybe not.
by darlag on 18 Dec 2014   1 comment, latest 9 years ago
Yesterday’ Fed-speak rally has the folks at CNBC all a-flutter this morning with hopeful anticipation of a Christmas rally just like the old days. And while that could very ...

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Gold: Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/12/2014
by darlag on 14 Dec 2014   18 comments, latest 9 years ago
Gold and Silver should both "pop" soon. The selling pressure of the last few months has subsided and the gold market should reflect a renewed interest in the yellow ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average-- Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/12/2014
by darlag on 14 Dec 2014   2 comments, latest 9 years ago
The bears seemed firmly in charge of the Dow Jones Industrials last week. If the bulls want to wrestle control away from them, they will have to start early ...

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S&P 500 Index-- Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/12/2014
by darlag on 14 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
Last week’s primary count, which anticipated a reversal in the S&P 500, looks to be the correct one so far. It is possible to count five waves down at ...

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Myth #9: Inflation makes gold and silver go up
by darlag on 13 Dec 2014   4 comments, latest 9 years ago
This one seems like a no-brainer. The government or the central bank prints more bonds, notes and bills, and prices for things go up in response. Gold is real ...

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The Largest Homeless Camp in the U.S. is in Silicon Valley
by darlag on 13 Dec 2014   18 comments, latest 9 years ago
One would think that one of the richest cities in the United States, San Jose, California, would have very few homeless people. One might also assume that a city, ...

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OIL Light Sweet Crude Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/5/2014
by darlag on 8 Dec 2014   7 comments, latest 9 years ago
Oil has been in the news a lot lately. Gas prices have been falling alongside oil prices and the pundits and analysts appear confused as to why the price ...

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Libertarian Ron Paul accuses Congress of Declaring War on Russia
by darlag on 6 Dec 2014   30 comments, latest 9 years ago
Former House Representative, Ron Paul, is one of the few members of Congress, past or present, that stays true to his beliefs and to the United States Constitution. It’s ...

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Edward Snowden wins Swedens Right Livelihood Award - gets standing O
by darlag on 8 Dec 2014   10 comments, latest 9 years ago
“Right Livelihood” is a traditional Buddhist teaching and one of the limbs of the eight-fold path taught by the Buddha. For laypeople, Buddha’s teaching of right livelihood means living ...

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S&P 500 Index - Elliott Wave update for week ending 12/5/2014
by darlag on 7 Dec 2014   10 comments, latest 9 years ago
The S&P 500 Index remains poised for a reversal. Like the Dow Jones Industrials, the S&P could begin to turn down at any moment. Vigilance is required at this ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average - Elliott wave update for week ending 12/5/2014
by darlag on 7 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is approaching another Fibonacci level where a reversal could logically take place. While the pattern does not look ideal, so many other measures are ...

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Abenomics: From Faith to Failure
by darlag on 4 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
Why the biggest monetary stimulus effort in the world did NOT stop deflation in its tracks When Shinzo Abe became the Prime Minister of Japan in December 2012, he ...

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Plummeting oil prices spur deflation risks as Fed looks for a silver lining
by darlag on 3 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
Everyone seems to want to see only the silver lining around plummeting oil prices. But as the contrarian might put it, “In front of every silver lining is a ...

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Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) weakens pointing to slower economic growth
by darlag on 3 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
November was the fifth month in a row of slowing economic growth. Both output and new business growth declined in November which had the weakest showing since last April. ...

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U.S. led sanctions against Putin over Ukraine hurting Europe more than Russia
by darlag on 1 Dec 2014   7 comments, latest 9 years ago
As Global Deflation News predicted and discussed here and here back in September, the economic sanctions being imposed on Russia over its involvement in Ukraine are hurting the European ...

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Black Friday weekend spending down almost 9% from 2013
by darlag on 1 Dec 2014   2 comments, latest 9 years ago
The retailer’ media spin doesn’t match the data this Thanksgiving weekend. The traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season was underwhelming, at best. http://www.globaldeflationnews

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Myth #8: Terrorist attacks would cause the stock market to drop.
by darlag on 1 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
It seems logical that a scary, destructive terrorist attack, particularly one that implies more attacks to come, would be bearish for stock prices. But does the data bear out ...

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Dow Jones Industrial Average - Elliott Wave update for week ending 11/28/2014
by darlag on 1 Dec 2014   Posted 9 years ago
It was a slow week for the Dow last week, but volume and volatility should pick up this week. http://www.globaldeflationnews

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S&P 500 Index - Elliott Wave update for week ending 11/28/2014
by darlag on 30 Nov 2014   Posted 9 years ago
The S&P 500 Index remains “In the Zone” ear marked for reversal of the of the entire trend from March of 2009. http://www.globaldeflationnews

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Dow Jones Industrial Average - Elliott Wave update for week ending 11/21/2014
by darlag on 22 Nov 2014   6 comments, latest 9 years ago
The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a new high this week confirming the alternate count from last week. Determining where the peaks of the final stock market indexes (the ...

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Deflation Rearing its Ugly Head Around the Globe
by darlag on 14 Nov 2014   155 comments, latest 9 years ago
According to the latest figures, deflation is now perched on China’s doorstep. In September, China’s consumer price index was up 1.6%, but its producer price index fell 1.8%. The ...
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