1
0

A.I. alarmism more harmful than AGW alarmism


 invite response                
2014 Dec 2, 3:51am   27,864 views  103 comments

by Peter P   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

In either case, it is because Modernism is scared. In reality, it is reductionism fighting against the unknown and any possible emergence.

Science, as it stands today, is pathetic.

https://www.yahoo.com/tech/s/stephen-hawking-artificial-intelligence-could-150024478.html

Stephen Hawking seems to be afraid. Alas, who cares for a theory of everything?

« First        Comments 83 - 103 of 103        Search these comments

83   Dan8267   2014 Dec 3, 5:12am  

Peter P says

Not proof. But observations. The "fact" that "reality" fits into formulas further illustrates that it is a matter of linguistics.

If you get ridiculous, nothing is provable, not even a priori matters. You might as well argue that this proof that the square root of two is an irrational number is incorrect. After all, all proofs are based on assumptions, even this one is based on the assumption that there are no contradictions in mathematics.

If you're going to accept that nonsense then the word proof becomes meaningless and you end up not being able to do jack shit like formally verifying the correctness of the code running the nuclear reactor, so you don't, and the reactor goes critical killing millions. Best not to be ridiculous.

84   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:19am  

Heraclitusstudent says

A computer thinking about high level concepts means it has a model of these concepts.

Not necessarily. It can pick up nuances without structures. Concept is a matter of language. It does not require a model.

85   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:24am  

Mathematics is about taking certain things as granted.

Evidence still has a place in life. It alters the expected payoff of any bet or speculation.

Even formally verified systems can fail due to factors outside of that formal system. At some point, you have to draw a line and accept some unknowns.

86   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:26am  

Remember, the set of axioms is either incomplete or inconsistent.

87   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:30am  

Dan8267 says

Nor are you going to act on the possibility that the only way to save the universe from popping out of existence is to ...

To me, the universe going out of existence has the same negative payoff as me being struck by lightning. I still walk in the rain.

88   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 5:35am  

Peter P says

It can pick up nuances without structures. Concept is a matter of language. It does not require a model.

Vacuous pontification.
Explain how you can represent concepts, including language, in the memory of computer without structures.

89   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 5:41am  

Peter P says

Remember, the set of axioms is either incomplete or inconsistent.

Godel's theorem is restricted to mathematical first order logic in its common formulation.

All it shows is that there are paradoxes, which happen only for knowledge about knowledge itself. Paradoxes don't happen in the physical universe, nor in arithmetic.

90   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:42am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Peter P says

It can pick up nuances without structures. Concept is a matter of language. It does not require a model.

Vacuous pontification.

Explain how you can represent concepts, including language, in the memory of computer without structures.

Data structures are probably needed to implement various AI algorithms and supporting systems.

However, concepts are not necessarily modeled in formal constructs.

91   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:44am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Paradoxes don't happen in the physical universe, nor in arithmetic.

Only because the modernist/reductionist/positivist understanding of reality does not allow them.

92   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 5:54am  

Peter P says

However, concepts are not necessarily modeled in formal constructs.

You are aware that everything in the memory of a computer is a formal construct, right?

93   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 5:58am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Peter P says

However, concepts are not necessarily modeled in formal constructs.

You are aware that everything in the memory of a computer is a formal construct, right?

There are:

1. Constructs designed by human intelligence to implement AI, such as chips, memory, arrays, data structures

2. Constructs formed by AI to perceive/comprehend/reason/speculate

(2) are not necessarily formal structures.

94   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 6:01am  

For example, we need to use "formal constructs" to implement algorithms, e.g. a denoising autoencoder.

However, the machine does not need models about features to extract information regarding such features from an image.

95   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 6:32am  

Peter P says

2. Constructs formed by AI to perceive/comprehend/reason/speculate

(2) are not necessarily formal structures.

You don't know much about programming, do you?

96   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 6:34am  

Heraclitusstudent says

Peter P says

2. Constructs formed by AI to perceive/comprehend/reason/speculate

(2) are not necessarily formal structures.

You don't know much about programming, do you?

What kind of AI are you building?

97   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 7:54am  

Peter P says

What kind of AI are you building?

One based on programming structures, like other programs.

98   🎂 Rin   2014 Dec 3, 11:17am  

Peter P says

This is why we must live at the frontier of its development. He who controls AI controls the human destiny.

Not even sure if the frontier is needed. The current development of personal digital assistants, already have a lot of implementation arcs where in effect, an organization can add more work while also laying ppl off. In the past, that strategy usually failed because customers became aware that their support efforts went downhill, as well as the general quality of work. Thus, a loss of let's say 25% of a firm's staff, usually resulted in a loss of output. In only a few short years, it'll be more like a 25% layoff will not only add to the bottom line but also increased output for those who're left behind. Add a few more product generation cycles on this and soon, we'll have a very limited white collar workspace.

99   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 12:14pm  

Heraclitusstudent says

Peter P says

What kind of AI are you building?

One based on programming structures, like other programs.

IMO, there are several types (stages) of Artificial Intelligence:

1. Programs (written in a programming language), you give the machine exact instructions to perform a task

2. Supervised Machine Learning, you teach a machine what things are

3. Unsupervised Machine Learning, the machine teaches itself with or without your guidance

Obviously, (3) is the most interesting because machines can move beyond its programming. This is where true emergence can occur.

Which one are you talking about?

100   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 12:22pm  

There are other interesting views on intelligence. Some equate it with entropy maximization. Perhaps the universal will-to-power is all about maximizing future possibilities?

So exciting! :-)

This video is intriguing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PL0Xq0FFQZ4

101   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 12:35pm  

Rin says

Add a few more product generation cycles on this and soon, we'll have a very limited white collar workspace.

Pretty much jobs will no longer exist. Soon enough, machines can do practically anything a human can do, only better and cheaper. Moreover, self-replicating robotic law enforcement can maintain peace in ANY environment, effectively and without moral confusion.

It is going to be interesting. :-)

102   Heraclitusstudent   2014 Dec 3, 3:28pm  

Peter P says

Obviously, (3) is the most interesting because machines can move beyond its programming. This is where true emergence can occur.

Which one are you talking about?

(2) and (3) are always included in (1). They are programs like any other.
(2) and (3) are both necessary for intelligence. They just play different roles.

103   Peter P   2014 Dec 3, 3:43pm  

Heraclitusstudent says

Peter P says

Obviously, (3) is the most interesting because machines can move beyond its programming. This is where true emergence can occur.

Which one are you talking about?

(2) and (3) are always included in (1). They are programs like any other.

(2) and (3) are both necessary for intelligence. They just play different roles.

Yes, they build on one another. (2) and (3) are programs but not in the same sense as (1). You as the programmer further removed from the problem (as its solver) in (2) and (3) then in (1).

« First        Comments 83 - 103 of 103        Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions