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The truth about the tax cut


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2018 Apr 11, 8:33am   31,907 views  111 comments

by bob2356   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

Straight from a very wealth mouth.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2018/04/10/donald-trump-gop-tax-cuts-wont-deliver-big-raise-column/471188002/

In selling you their trickle-down tax plan, President Trump and congressional Republicans promised you a $4,000 pay raise.
"This change, along with a lower business tax rate, would likely give the typical American household around a $4,000 pay raise," Trump said in October.
“At least $4,000,” House Speaker Paul Ryan emphasized in a post on his official website.
So now that rich people like me have gotten our billions of dollars in tax cuts, you might be wondering where your $4,000 raise is.

Spoiler alert: You’re not getting one.

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91   lostand confused   2018 Apr 14, 8:13am  

LeonDurham says
I agree $10K is too high. Just pointing out that $22K is not indicative of what 99+% of the people pay on a $375K house in I

Show me the stats then. Like wookieman says it is closer to 14-15k

LeonDurham says
I consider myself upper middle class and I would MUCH, MUCH, MUCH rather pay my taxes to support teachers than pay my taxes to support multi billionaires.

If you want cuts to property taxes, you need to vote for different people at the local level. The State doesn't set property taxes. Place your blame where it belongs.


We have been through this carousel how many times? The state does not let local areas to get rid of pensions,. The state voted into the constitution that any pension obligations can never be changed. DEmocrats are the one still holding on to that potion and unwilling to change. Staes like MI have gone away from pensions. If the state allows villages and towns to set their own comp and offer pay without pensions-then they cna-but they are not allowed to. recently one town tried to make their area right to work and the state government tried to pass a lw to make it a misdeamoner I think. That is the democrats for you-they will jail you for that-thank God for the republicans.

Oh your tax is not going to teachers-recently a school administrator in Crystal lake, IL got the salary raised-guess how much-190k a year. Then there is the city administrators/village managers making 300k and their staff and the 7,000 units of government in IL-that si where your money is going to-not teachers.
92   FortWayne   2018 Apr 14, 8:39am  

drB6 says
LeonDurham says
taxes to support teachers


Mostly, to support police being able to retire at 50. Teachers are often just a smokescreen, and even in their case, highest salaries/pensions go to useless bureaucrats.


Teachers in CA make 6 figures and have a pension. Retire at 65 I think?
Police in CA make 6 figures w/ pension, retire at 55. They also have a DROP program which lets them collect both salary and pension while not working last 5 years (from 50 to 55).
Firefighters = police benefits.

That's just some of what we are paying for in CA with our taxes. While people who are paying those taxes, don't have any retirement benefits. Democrats sure got it going for themselves.
93   Shaman   2018 Apr 14, 8:44am  

All I know for sure is that I have paid through the butt under Obama era taxes. Even this April was bad news(owe $2k), albeit less bad than last year due to me cutting my withholdings to practically nothing even though I have a family of five to support.

Hoping for a better April under the Trump tax system next year! I do love me the child credits and enhanced daycare credits, which make having a family more affordable.
94   LeonDurham   2018 Apr 14, 8:55am  

lostand confused says

Show me the stats then. Like wookieman says it is closer to 14-15k


Sure. Here you go.

http://www.tax-rates.org/propertytax.php?state=illinois

Lake County, IL is highest property tax county at 2.19% of home value. For a $400K house, that gives ~$8800/year.

lostand confused says
We have been through this carousel how many times? The state does not let local areas to get rid of pensions,. The state voted into the constitution that any pension obligations can never be changed. DEmocrats are the one still holding on to that potion and unwilling to change.


Yes, we have but I cannot let misinformation stand no matter how many times it is posted. It was the IL Supreme Court that decided it was against the law to change the rules on peoples' pensions.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/ct-illinois-pension-law-court-ruling-20150508-story.html

"The Illinois Supreme Court on Friday unanimously ruled unconstitutional a landmark state pension law that aimed to scale back government worker benefits to erase a massive $105 billion retirement system debt, sending lawmakers and the new governor back to the negotiating table to try to solve the pressing financial issue.
The ruling also reverberated at City Hall, imperiling a similar law Mayor Rahm Emanuel pushed through to shore up two of the four city worker retirement funds and making it more difficult for him to find fixes for police, fire and teacher pension funds that are short billions of dollars.
At issue was a December 2013 state law signed by then-Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn that stopped automatic, compounded yearly cost-of-living increases for retirees, extended retirement ages for current state workers and limited the amount of salary used to calculate pension benefits."

A Democratic Governor and Democratic Mayor of Chicago were FOR pension reform. I know this kills the narrative that conservatives like to spew, but facts are facts.
95   LeonDurham   2018 Apr 14, 8:57am  

lostand confused says

Oh your tax is not going to teachers-recently a school administrator in Crystal lake, IL got the salary raised-guess how much-190k a year. Then there is the city administrators/village managers making 300k and their staff and the 7,000 units of government in IL-that si where your money is going to-not teachers.


Yes, school administration is bloated and overpaid. That's why you need to pay attention and vote for the right candidates for local elections like school board, etc. Stop complaining about your State politicians who have NOTHING to do with school administration salaries.
96   lostand confused   2018 Apr 14, 9:14am  

LeonDurham says
Yes, we have but I cannot let misinformation stand no matter how many times it is posted. It was the IL Supreme Court that decided it was against the law to change the rules on peoples' pensions

Oh please. The democrats can fix this crisis in afew months. The reason the court voted int hatw at, was because the constitution was changed to forbid any changes for pensions for public thugs. Now if the democrats decided to support changing the cosntitiution -all it need s is a supermajority vote . All repubs will more or elss support-it needs democrats to vote. Then it goes on ballot and hey presto-the constitution is amended. The governor does not have to sign. You can fix this mess ina few months-if the democrats want to deal-but they don't and so the whole state suffers-republcians will sign off on pensions.

But the democrats refuse to sign and hold them hostage.

LeonDurham says
Yes, school administration is bloated and overpaid


Then stop saying tax money si going mainly to teachers.Democrat propaganda.
97   Bd6r   2018 Apr 14, 9:16am  

FortWayne says
Teachers in CA make 6 figures and have a pension. Retire at 65 I think?


Do not know about CA, but here in TX school administrators are the ones raking in $$$ and benefits.
98   WookieMan   2018 Apr 14, 9:20am  

LeonDurham says
A Democratic Governor and Democratic Mayor of Chicago were FOR pension reform. I know this kills the narrative that conservatives like to spew, but facts are facts.


This is true. But when are these leaders going to push for a constitutional amendment? That's what it's going to take to change the situation. They know it too. Emanuel is one of the top 3 influential people that would have to push for it or Chicago is doomed. I get he passed some reform measures, but he knew that the supreme court wasn't going to take it. It was just publicity to say he tried and he can pass the blame onto someone else. That's how its always worked in IL. Just keep kicking the can. Republican governors have done it to keep their jobs and with almost 90% certainty, IL Dems have always kicked the can.

And I honestly do hate to see anyone get cut out of something they were promised. While the promise wasn't realistic, it is what it is. The path forward is a constitutional amendment. And I know the public service sector pays state income taxes. But as long as they're allowed unsustainable pensions, they're not paying their fair share even though it looks that way with income taxes. They're getting a benefit the private sector isn't entitled to, while we're still forced to pay 12% between employee and employer to get a pitiful income from SS in our mid 60's AND still having to fund a 401K probably 10% to match public service retirement income at 55-60.
99   LeonDurham   2018 Apr 14, 9:27am  

lostand confused says
Oh please. The democrats can fix this crisis in afew months


It's really not easy.

http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20140716/NEWS02/140719888/amending-the-illinois-constitution-a-tough-path-for-pension-reform

"Even so, amending the constitution would not be easy, to say the least, given recent history and the state's current political climate. It would need approval by a three-fifths vote in both the Illinois House and Senate. That's just to put a proposed amendment on the ballot, where it would need 60 percent of those voting on the issue to be approved."

"But it can't be done quickly. The Illinois Constitution requires a six-month waiting period before a proposed amendment can be placed on the ballot, so November 2016 is the soonest it could be put up for a vote. Meanwhile, the statewide pension law changes have been stayed, keeping benefits and contributions and inflation adjustments all in place.
Two years ago, a relatively innocuous constitutional amendment that would have required supermajority approval by the state Legislature and municipalities to increase pension benefits was pushed through the Legislature by House Speaker Michael Madigan.
Widely panned as a meaningless measure that would not reduce the state's pension debt, it passed the House unanimously, with only two dissenting votes in the Senate. But only 56 percent of voters approved, falling short of the supermajority needed.

Once again, another pension reform attempt by DEMOCRATIC Mike Madigan failed. This time, because VOTERS didn't support it.

Again, the narrative that Dems are against pension reform is simply a lie.
100   WookieMan   2018 Apr 14, 9:40am  

LeonDurham says
Widely panned as a meaningless measure that would not reduce the state's pension debt, it passed the House unanimously, with only two dissenting votes in the Senate. But only 56 percent of voters approved, falling short of the supermajority needed


Make a constitutional amendment to get rid of the supermajority. The people elected were voted in by those same people that will vote on the amendment at the polls. There's no need to have the supermajority for a constitutional amendment. Then you get the pension reform amendment on the ballot a year later or whenever.

There's a way to do this, just not the will. Madigan knew the voters wouldn't support it, at least enough to get it passed. He can say he tried. Actually trying would be making it easier to pass a constitutional amendment and get rid of the supermajority. He knew that. People will just vote yes for something like that (dumping supermajority). But he knows getting 50% of voters onboard for pension reform is realistic (heck it would have passed dumping the supermajority) so they didn't take the route needed to fix our states problems.

IL politicians love to say I tried all the time to cover their asses. At some point trying ain't cutting it. Get. Something. DONE.
101   LeonDurham   2018 Apr 14, 9:42am  

WookieMan says
There's a way to do this, just not the will. Madigan knew the voters wouldn't support it, at least enough to get it passed. He can say he tried. Actually trying would be making it easier to pass a constitutional amendment and get rid of the supermajority. He knew that. People will just vote yes for something like that (dumping supermajority). But he knows getting 50% of voters onboard for pension reform is realistic (heck it would have passed dumping the supermajority) so they didn't take the route needed to fix our states problems.


Maybe, but I sure as heck wouldn't vote to make it easier for a Constitutional Amendment to pass without voter approval. I think that would have a really hard time passing.
102   LeonDurham   2018 Apr 14, 10:10am  

lostand confused says
The reason the court voted int hatw at, was because the constitution was changed to forbid any changes for pensions for public thugs


Do you have a source for that? I've never seen any evidence of such an Amendment-what year did it pass?
103   lostand confused   2018 Apr 14, 10:35am  

LeonDurham says
lostand confused says
The reason the court voted int hatw at, was because the constitution was changed to forbid any changes for pensions for public thugs


Do you have a source for that? I've never seen any evidence of such an Amendment-what year did it pass?


Here is the paragraph from the constitution in the Chicago tribune.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/letters/ct-illinois-constitution-judge-pension-20180202-story.html

This is why the reform by rahm and Quinn were bogus-they knew the law would not hold muster, because the constitution forbids any changes. At that time Quinn was under pressure and so the slimeballs worked on that law. It does not matter what law passes-the courts have no choice but to strike down any pension reductions. The dem slimeballs know that and hoodwinked the voters.

Real reform would be to amend the cosntituion to remove the language-the only ones needed are the democrats-they refuse to amend the constitution. Repubs will trip over themselves to sign it. I have attended several local dem townhalls to ask about this in particular and all are prepared with some cockymane answer-but not one has committed to make the constitutional change. if they do the pension crisis can be solved very quickly. Now this clause wa sput in place in the 1970s, so not new-but it ahs to go for any meaningful pension reform.
104   JH   2018 Apr 14, 10:51am  

WookieMan says
FortWayne says
But that's CA fault, we as people allow government to raise taxes on us and squeeze us more every year, of course CA will have disadvantages. Liberal governments always lead to failure


One of my main points in my comments here. Everyone will likely get a cut in some form or another, great. This was a kick in the nuts to high property and income tax states. There's no disputing this. As I've said, it's one of the most brilliant political strategies by a political party that I've seen. High income Democrats, in blue state are going to be PISSED when they do their taxes the next two years. Some will blame it on Trump, many will wake up and realize their state taxes the fuck out of them.

CA won't be in play, but in 2020, assuming most republicans don't move, IL could turn red. Not predicting that, but we have a lot of Dems here in IL in some uppity areas that are going ...


So it's the CA Dems fault that Trump raised everyone's taxes. Pathetic politicizing. No wonder it took 80 comments to make you happy. I love how every economic issue in the country today can be traced to CA.
105   bob2356   2018 Apr 14, 11:00am  

Sniper says
bob2356 says
You are free to post your schedule a any time and show us exaclty how you come up with your numbers.


Look at that, we have another brain surgeon here:


Still waiting to see your numbers. and waiting, and waiting, and waiting.
106   bob2356   2018 Apr 14, 11:12am  

WookieMan says
Come to think of it, itemizing only $15k is kind of a joke in NJ. You'd have to be making like $75k and living in a 1 bed condo to only hit that amount, even without mortgage interest. That speaks volumes now that I think about it.


Funny I just did taxes for my mother who owns a 4 bedroom house in central jersey and coulldn't come up with anywhere near 15k. Essex, Bergan, and Union counties aren't the entire state.
107   bob2356   2018 Apr 14, 11:18am  

RafiMaas says
Actually....
If you file form 1040 and your line 44 (taxable income) was exactly $200,000, then in 2017 you would owe $42,869 and if in 2018 tax year you hit line 44 at exactly $200,000 you would owe the IRS $36,578 a difference of $6,291 not $8,000.


That's married filing jointly. Singles are going to be more like 4k. I guess the "middle class" 200k taxable people are going to be disappointed if they are using the alternative math seen frequently here on patnet. .
108   WookieMan   2018 Apr 14, 11:46am  

bob2356 says
Funny I just did taxes for my mother who owns a 4 bedroom house in central jersey and coulldn't come up with anywhere near 15k. Essex, Bergan, and Union counties aren't the entire state.


I hear you. My comment wasn't about your mom though. It was involving another making a claim about X amount of savings due to the new tax cuts, that would be impossible if you were only itemizing $15k in 2017 and then using the new standard deduction in 2018. There's also the fact that there had been claims about success and income in the past, and only itemizing $15k does not indicate that, even with a paid off house and property taxes.

There certainly are people in NJ that don't itemize or they fall in-between $12k and $15k. Generally speaking, they likely have their house paid of (no MID) or they aren't making a whole lot of income. Not sure how NJ does it, but they may also have a senior property tax freeze, keeping their property taxes lower then the average.
109   bob2356   2018 Apr 14, 12:16pm  

WookieMan says
There certainly are people in NJ that don't itemize or they fall in-between $12k and $15k. Generally speaking, they likely have their house paid of (no MID) or they aren't making a whole lot of income. Not sure how NJ does it, but they may also have a senior property tax freeze, keeping their property taxes lower then the average.


Average property tax bill in NJ is something like 8500 including all the insanely high tax (20k average area's ) districts bubbled around NY. Median house price 250k. The number is 40% itemizing. That's third highest in the country. Which means 60% don't. Sorry but 60% of people in NJ don't live in a small condo on low income.
110   WookieMan   2018 Apr 14, 12:56pm  

bob2356 says
Average property tax bill in NJ is something like 8500 including all the insanely high tax (20k average area's ) districts bubbled around NY. Median house price 250k. The number is 40% itemizing. That's third highest in the country. Which means 60% don't. Sorry but 60% of people in NJ don't live in a small condo on low income.


I think we're talking about different things here. My point is, in a high tax state like NJ (property tax and income), a $15k itemization is not representative of someone that is much better then middle class at best. Not a knock on anyone that itemizes less or takes the standard deduction (old one). It is what it is. My comment was directed elsewhere.
111   zzyzzx   2018 May 1, 8:34am  

Here is a tax cut calculator:
https://www.ally.com/education/tax-reform-calculator/
I ran my numbers through it and it shows a slight decrease in taxes for me if I were using 2018 rates for my 2017 taxes. Note that it doesn't take into account the reduced rates for qualified dividends and long term capital gains so I question it's accuracy for my personal situation.

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