patrick.net

richwicks says

People will be making fun of Facebook in time in the same way we ONCE did about Yahoo! and more recently MySpace.

I hope they would lay off any manager who would fire someone they don't like and is a good performer.

I suspect Facebook will adopt and evolve to avoid the same fate. Look at how popular Facebook Reels is. I've seen Reels videos in my Facebook feed that have over 1 million views and 200,000 likes. Instagram is as popular as Youtube.

There may be competitors and Tik Tok is a joke.

My HOA has a Facebook page. I've seen other pages that have serious and thought engaging content like Interesting Engineering page.

Tik Tok does not provide that type of forum.
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ad says

I'm not haolie, boy. My family is from Colombia.

You'll stand out as one of those, too. They may assume you're a custodian or groundskeeper.

We got so many experts about Silicon Valley on patrick.net who didn't live here, who didn't work in those places, have no connections to those places.

I've done all that sh*t and been one of those and many I am close to are in that millieu, including at some outfits (ie, more than one of them) mentioned in this thread.

Speaking anonymously here like richwicks does, I can speak more freely about it.

B.A.C.A.H. says

We got so many experts about Silicon Valley on patrick.net who didn't live here, who didn't work in those places, have no connections to those places.

I am not Mestizo and would not have been selected as an extra in Mel Gibson's Apocalypto.

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ad says

I am not Mestizo and would not have been selected as an extra in Mel Gibson's Apocalypto.

Sounds like a haolie to me, bro.

B.A.C.A.H. says

Sounds like a haolie to me, bro.

Ask those Indians if they consider themselves the same type of Asian as the Chinese. Ask them what they think of the Chicoms.

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ad says

Ask those Indians if they consider themselves the same type of Asian as the Chinese. Ask them what they think of the Chicoms.

Dude, I retired recently. The only time I see those folks nowadays is when I go to their enclave communities to walk about the city. The Indian enclaves are in parts of Sunnyvale and an area known as The Golden Triangle.

The Chinese enclave is Cupertino.

But even though I don't live among them, I worked side by side with all those sorts of folks for decades. I even had a boss who was an H1. Since I was in hardware, there were also Chinese H1's and green carders (if I was in software or IT, well that'd just be the Indians). Most of the departments I worked in had about 40% Indian, 40% Chinese, 20% everyone else. Even worked with a haolie Colombian expat H1 who married his green card.

Chinese and Indians mostly were civil to each other in meetings and collaborations. Of course, they would mostly hire their own kind. But, civil with each other.

BTW, if you only ever lived in what became Silicon Valley, and spent decades in engineering departments in the tech world, you would probably be able to differentiate what you call a Chicom and a Taiwanese. I can't put my finger on it exactly, but I am sure someone who actually lived here and knew wtf they were talking about, would understand my point.

B.A.C.A.H. says

BTW, if you only ever lived in what became Silicon Valley, and spent decades in engineering departments in the tech world, you would probably be able to differentiate what you call a Chicom and a Taiwanese. I can't put my finger on it exactly, but I am sure someone who actually lived here and knew wtf they were talking about, would understand my point.

Don't care to know about that shithole. I'm happy to work in better places like Braintree and Quincy, Massachusetts and Reston, Virginia.

Sounds like a tribal culture as far as what you describe (i.e., "Chinese enclave is Cupertino" and "mostly hire their own kind"). Yeah I am sure it was all California-style Kumbaya (i.e., "civil with each other"). Enjoy your white liberal shithole paradise.

Nothing that a few more million illegals can't cure.

B.A.C.A.H. says

Meta's H-1B layoffs challenge visa holders

ERECTION INTENSIFYING!!!

Misc says

Nothing that a few more million illegals can't cure.

It was commonplace to see in Manassas Park back in the late 1990's and the 2000's at least two families in a home designed and zoned for one family.

A lot of 3 to 4 bedroom homes became boarding houses.
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Booger says

Meta's H-1B layoffs challenge visa holders

ERECTION INTENSIFYING!!!

I don't see the tech companies letting go of a workforce (i.e., H1B visas) that are easy to exploit. I've worked around H1B visas and they are docile and loved by management, cause they will work +50 hours a week without any overtime or credit toward vacation time.

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Esclavos.
ad says

hey will work +50 hours a week without any overtime or credit toward vacation time.

Plunged 32.3% YoY while still higher than the last housing bubble peak, and 5x more buying than the bottom. Just put things in perspective rather than a sensational headline without context. The Fed had really helped to fuel this asset bubble. 🚀🚀

Eman says

Plunged 32.3% YoY

Its got to drop to at least 10,000 housing units for housing prices to reach near the bottom.

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cisTits says

Eman says

Plunged 32.3% YoY while still higher than the last housing bubble peak, and 5x more buying than the bottom.

So what? A 32% drop is still a 32% drop. Who gives a flying fuck about 'last time'?

Are you one of the 'housing experts' who told us earlier this year that rates would not go up like they have? That housing prices would not drop as they have?

I see you like to label people without proof. Also, you’re quite emotional when it comes to this subject. Let’s clarify a couple things. I’ve never claimed I’m a housing expert. I’m a real estate investor, who started in 2009 just before I found Patnet. My biz partner and I own about 100 units in San Jose. We are value-add investors. We don’t pay retail prices. All assets have positive cash flow and appreciated tremendously…up to 4x.

I wasn’t as optimistic as others earlier this year. However, I never thought 30-year fixed mortgage would exceed 6% without crushing the housing market. I’m surprised the housing market hasn’t tanked more than they are.

I’m a numbers guy. I’m ALWAYS a buyer and seller “for the right price”. RE assets are vehicles to get me to my destination, just like a job. I don’t get emotional about them. I haven’t seen rent softness in MY market as reported. In fact, we’ve been getting record rents in the last few months.

The Fed has blown the asset bubbles beyond repair. The only way to fix these asset bubbles is to drive the entire country into a deep depression to reset everything. Do you see it happening? If not, the housing market should rebound and make another run once this recession is over. Developers have already pulled back on current projects and stalled new developments, which should continue to prolong the housing shortage in the short and long term.

Back in 2012, our real estate investing group asked all members to make prediction on the next peak of the housing market. My prediction was summer 2017. One of our members predicted 2021-2023 and shared this chart… A DECADE AGO. He was right on 🎯. He also predicted the bottom around 2027. History suggests 3-5 years, peak to trough, for real estate cycles so 2027 is in the ballpark.

One of my besties works for the Federal Reserve. JPOW is his boss. As much as he’s in the knows, he didn’t foresee his boss and the other 6 governors hiking rates this aggressively.

https://www.businessinsider.com/real-estate-investors-are-fleeing-pandemic-boomtowns-2022-11

Regular homebuyers in Las Vegas and Phoenix stand a chance now that investors are fleeing pandemic boomtowns

cisTits says

And it will at this rate? What? You all think this will suddenly stop and plateau? Or even rise again.

Takes 18 months at least for a housing downturn to run its course. This is barely starting

I would say at least half of the home purchases are with buyers with mortgages. So affordability (principal, interest, property tax, property insurance, and HOA fee) is a major factor as far as price discovery.

I go by the VA mortgage criteria that monthly housing cost (principal, interest, etc.) is no more than around 37% of monthly household income.

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Booger says

To counter your meme, here’s a “real expert” suggests housing prices could rise in 2023. 😂

NAR Economist Lawrence Yun suggests national prices could rise 1% next year, breaking from the pack of projections suggesting a freefall.

https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/nar-economist-housing-prices-rise

Eman says

Booger says

To counter your meme, here’s a “real expert” suggests housing prices could rise in 2023. 😂

NAR Economist Lawrence Yun suggests national prices could rise 1% next year, breaking from the pack of projections suggesting a freefall.

https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/nar-economist-housing-prices-rise

An NAR cheerleader is a "Real Expert"?

GNL says

An NAR cheerleader is a "Real Expert"?

I am pretty sure that claiming Yun as an expert is tongue-in-cheek. Lawrence Yun is a long-time butt of jokes on Patrick.net.

GNL says

Eman says

Booger says

To counter your meme, here’s a “real expert” suggests housing prices could rise in 2023. 😂

NAR Economist Lawrence Yun suggests national prices could rise 1% next year, breaking from the pack of projections suggesting a freefall.

https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/nar-economist-housing-prices-rise

An NAR cheerleader is a "Real Expert"?

Not sure what happens but at some point it stops going down except for few expensive areas as the inflation that is backed by corrupt gov is not going to slowing down any time soon.

Eman says

this chart

I have tried to chart asset values/prices like that.

Yes, we can do it and spin a narrative.

The problem I have with the approach is the vertical axis units is fiat currency. The value / purchasing power of the fiat is not constant and should not be taken for granted.

While the absolute (nominal) values in the chart may be accurate, if we are not careful our conclusions may be misleading.

11/11/2022 Price change $775,000 (-1.9%)$294/sqft

9/23/2022 Price change $790,000 (-11.2%)$300/sqft

9/2/2022 Price change $889,500 (-1.1%)$338/sqft

8/4/2022 Price change $899,000 (-3.3%)$342/sqft

7/11/2022 Listed for sale $929,500 $353/sqft

I saw one house in Santa Cruz (still absurdly high) that had a 500,000 dollar reduction. It was about 2500 sq. ft close to the beach.

https://www.news4jax.com/news/local/2022/11/22/jacksonville-housing-market-sees-big-slowdown-home-purchases-fall-through-at-highest-rate-in-nation/

Jacksonville housing market sees big slowdown, home purchases fall through at highest rate in nation

Booger says

https://www.news4jax.com/news/local/2022/11/22/jacksonville-housing-market-sees-big-slowdown-home-purchases-fall-through-at-highest-rate-in-nation/

Jacksonville housing market sees big slowdown, home purchases fall through at highest rate in nation

Its about affordability where housing costs (principal+interest+taxes+insurance+hoa fees) is not more than about 36% of household income.

I expect housing will over-correct and there will be bloodshed which means housing affordability will be in a lot better circumstance.

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cisTits says

New data from Redfin confirms that Investors are running scared

And this is the problem. There's "investors".

richwicks says

cisTits says

New data from Redfin confirms that Investors are running scared

And this is the problem. There's "investors".

True, over the last 22 years housing has become more of a speculative asset. Some of this is the home equity line of credit (HELOC) as home owners view their home equity as an investment or asset. Some use the HELOC money to invest in the stock market.

Booger says

Jacksonville housing market sees big slowdown, home purchases fall through at highest rate in nation

Race and Hispanic Origin
White alone, percent - 56.3%
Black or African American alone, percent - 30.9%

I noticed that real estate agents give buyers a printed boiler plate home purchase agreement to complete and sign. Do they have an editable version of this agreement that they choose not to provide to buyers?

If you think it’s possible, it’s possible. If you think it’s impossible, keep your W2 and help build other people’s dreams.

It’s always a great time to buy or sell “for the right price.” We’re always buyers and sellers “for the right price.” Retailers are the problem, not investors. Let that sink in.

gabbar says

I noticed that real estate agents give buyers a printed boiler plate home purchase agreement to complete and sign. Do they have an editable version of this agreement that they choose not to provide to buyers?

If its the standard form required by HUD, you can modify parts of it based on agreement of both parties.

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ad says

richwicks says

cisTits says

New data from Redfin confirms that Investors are running scared

And this is the problem. There's "investors".

True, over the last 22 years housing has become more of a speculative asset. Some of this is the home equity line of credit (HELOC) as home owners view their home equity as an investment or asset. Some use the HELOC money to invest in the stock market.

This is not entire correct. Housing was on fire sale in late 2000’s and early 2010’s. Fortunes are made during recessions, or shall I say wealth transfer? A ton of money from the world was transferred here to buy real estate during those years.

HELOC is a double-edged sword. Some people use their HELOC to start-up their companies while others use it to buy liabilities. It’s not all bad…

Eman says

Housing was on fire sale in late 2000’s and early 2010’s.

Look at the rate of increase for housing prices since the late 1990s. Yes, California has a lot of foreign buyers, as well as Miami Beach.



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ad says

Eman says

Housing was on fire sale in late 2000’s and early 2010’s.

Look at the rate of increase for housing prices since the late 1990s. Yes, California has a lot of foreign buyers, as well as Miami Beach.




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I used to study these housing charts and data. That was all I saw in my sleep. I was able to recognize 2009 was the bottom of the housing market and started buying. Then I decided to quit my W2 in late 2009 to focus on real estate investing full-time. Everyone thought I was crazy. I documented my journey in the early years here along with iwog. Once I switched to buying apartments in 2013, I started to share this journey on Biggerpockets.

Looking back, it’s like hitting stock options from a start-up company. Can’t make this kind of money working my W2 engineering job for the rest of my life. I’ll have residual income for life….like collecting dividends without paying taxes. Work hard for a few years and then sit back and enjoy the fruit of our labor for decades to come. What a great deal. This reminds me of what Gary Keller, co-founder of Keller Williams said “Anyone can do it, but not everyone will…will you? The journey was foggy at the beginning, but it’s crystal clear once you’re on the other side looking back.

I’ve been able to pay it forward and have helped a few individuals become successful in real estate investing. One individual, who has become wildly successful, calls himself King Khang. Go to YouTube and type in Wholesale to Millions. He has close to 500k subscribers on YouTube and over 3M subscribers on TikTok. A HS dropout who now makes $4M/year. Others are also doing well, but they’re not on social media like him. It’s rewarding to see.