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Romney's popular vote total continues to drop

By iwog   2012 Nov 21, 7:44am   466 views   1 comment   watch (0)   quote      

Apparently the election wasn't as close as originally thought and Obama is going to walk away with an impressive (by modern standards) 4% win. There are several awesome things about this number:

1. It means Rasmussen wasn't just wrong, it was pathetic and should NEVER be cited by anyone ever again for anything. They blew it by nearly 5%. Gallup blew it too but they had a much better record in state polling.

2. The performance of Fox continues to drop and now they are almost as bad as the worst polls in the country. They got Romney's total right, but somehow 3% of Obama support magically disappeared which looks like tampering to me. Fox is the only poll in the country with 8% undecided/alternate candidate which is impossible in a legitimate statistical sample. It's an error by over 100% of the total.

3. The Daily Kos presidential poll was slightly biased towards Romney at 50% to 48% but still within the margin of error.

4. The most accurate polling in the country now appears to be ABC and PEW who both predicted 50% to 47%.

5. Romney will end up with.................47% of the popular vote. (HAHAHAHAHA!)

Anyway it's interesting that only 10 states have been fully counted now.

http://www.newser.com/story/157993/irony-alert-romney-may-end-up-with-47-of-votes.html?utm_source=syn&utm_medium=goognews&utm_campaign=chan3_feed

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1   iwog   1539/1540 = 99% civil   2012 Nov 21, 7:47am  ↑ like   ↓ dislike (1)   quote    

Pre-election polls

1. Angus-Reid - 3% (51% to 48%)
2. ABC/Washington Post - 3% (50% to 47%)
2. Pew Research - 3% (50% to 47%)
4. RAND - 3% (49.5% to 46.18%)
5. Hartford Courant/Uconn - 3% (48% to 45%)
6. PPP - 2% (50% to 48%)
6. Dailykos/PPP - 2% (50% to 48%)
8. YouGov - 2% (49% to 47%)
9. Ipsos/Reuters - 2% (48% to 46%)
10. Democracy Corps - 4% (49% to 45%)
11. IBD/TIPP - 1% (50% to 49%)
12. UPI/CVOTER - 1% (49% to 48%)
13. NBC/WSJ - 1% (48% to 47%)
13. YouGov/Economist - 1% (48% to 47%)
13. CBS/New York Times - 1% (48% to 47%)
16. Purple Strategies 1% (47% to 46%)
17. National Journal - 5% (50% to 45%)
18. ARG - 0% (49% to 49%)
18. Washington Times/JZ Analytics - 0% (49% to 49%)
18. CNN/ORC - 0% (49% to 49%)
21. Monmouth - 0% (48% to 48%)
21. Politico/Battleground - 0% (48% to 48%)
21. Gravis Marketing - 0% (48% to 48%)
24. Newsmax/Zogby - 0% (47% to 47%)
25. Fox - 0% (46% to 46%)
26. Gallup - -1% (48% to 49%)
26. Rasmussen - -1% (48% to 49%)
28. NPR - -1% (47% to 48%)
29. AP/GfK - -2% (45% to 47%)

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