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This Is Housing Bubble 2.0: David Stockman

By HousingBoom   2013 Feb 4, 1:15pm   1,148 views   4 comments   watch (1)   quote

December were up 12.8% from the same time in 2011, with the total number of sales in 2012 rising to the highest level in five years, according to the National Association of Realtors. Meanwhile, the annual price for existing homes also jumped to the highest level since 2005, with the median price of a home up 11.5% in December from the same period in 2011.


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1   Oxygen     2013 Feb 4, 1:21pm  ↑ like   ↓ dislike   quote    

"Stockman argues the problem in housing is the two forces needed for a recovery, first-time buyers and trade-up buyers, are missing. With the combination of 7.9% unemployment and staggering student loan debt, he doesn’t see a young generation of new home buyers coming into the market. And with baby boomers heading for retirement with less than adequate savings, he thinks they’ll be trading down with their homes, not up."

2   thomaswong.1986     2013 Feb 4, 1:37pm  ↑ like   ↓ dislike   quote    

first shoulder than a peak ... currently at second shoulder followed by the decline.

3   HousingBoom     2013 Feb 4, 2:08pm  ↑ like   ↓ dislike   quote    

I am not sure if the green inflation line is even an indicator of a possible bottom. Net income is shrinking (thanks to new taxes), wages I think will continue to fall so inflation will only make home prices fall further because it makes cost of living go up. I think we are in an inflationary depression like scenario which is a pretty bad situation for home prices.

4   thomaswong.1986     2013 Feb 4, 3:28pm  ↑ like   ↓ dislike   quote    

HousingBoom says

I think we are in an inflationary depression like scenario which is a pretty bad situation for home prices.

deflation is certainly a possibility. our national economy since 1700s has certainly seen greater amount of deflation than inflation (last 40 years).

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