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Exponential: Ebola Cases Now Double Every 3 Weeks; CDC Warns As Many As Half A M

By indigenous follow indigenous   2014 Sep 19, 10:53am 36,590 views   96 comments   watch   nsfw   quote   share    


http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-19/exponential-ebola-cases-now-double-every-3-weeks-cdc-warns-over-half-million-may-be-

The Ebola crisis has evolved into a complex emergency, with significant political, social, economic, humanitarian and security dimensions.  The suffering and spillover effects in the region and beyond demand the attention of the entire world.

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57   Ceffer   ignore (4)   2014 Sep 20, 3:54pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

When it comes to diseases, geometric is bad enough. Exponential means the entire galaxy will have Ebola soon.

Gatlings and flame throwers will keep the progression linear.

58   ChapulinColorado   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 21, 12:48pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

FortWayne says

We should really ban flights from Africa. They never bring anything good here.

We should, don't really care that others think it is paranoia. There is almost nothing good that can come during this epidemic from Africa via open air travel. IMO, shut it down now!

59   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 21, 3:20pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Not enough, when you consider the 21 day incubation period.

60   BlueSardine   ignore (3)   2014 Sep 22, 2:07pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Call it Crazy says

WHO: 21,000 Ebola cases by November if no changes

LONDON (AP) — New estimates from the World Health Organization warn the number of Ebola cases could hit 21,000 in six weeks unless efforts to curb the outbreak are ramped up.

61   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 22, 2:52pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

My guess would be ebola will reach a few hundreds thousands deaths a yr, after which it will sort of stabilize because sanitary quarantines will be enforced with machine guns.

This means no one here will notice, except a few unlucky people whose neighbors in a plane will start puking blood on them.

It will likely go on for a few years.

62   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 3:29pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Sounds optimistic, this is an exponential situation, governments don't react until it is too late.

63   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 22, 3:41pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

It's exponential at the beginning until it runs into limits. In this case some regions will be too sparse, some will take effective measures, some people will flee etc...

It cannot stay exponential or we would all die which is preposterous.

64   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 3:54pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

I know things tend to go to the negative when talking about disasters.

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

I hope your take is what happens.

65   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 22, 4:03pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

However the Spanish Flu infected 500 million people and killed between 50 and 100 million. The mortality rate was 10 to 20% with this it is 50%. There is no treatment for this, so technology will not help in fact it will make it worse by spreading it.

The flu is more contagious.

Tens of thousand die of the flu in the US each year and we rarely hear about it.

66   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 4:06pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

67   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 4:15pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

68   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 4:16pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

HydroCabron says

All the time: "I am the only Constitutional person in America. The rest of you are a disappointment to the Founding Fathers. I'm really a libertarian because both parties are the same. People who give up liberty for safety deserve neither liberty nor safety!

"You people have no balls - no guts. Now if anyone wants me, I'll be hiding under my coffee table with my AR-15, wetting myself in fear of the coming Iranian attack."

I like the cut of your jib.

69   bob2356   ignore (4)   2014 Sep 22, 7:46pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Vicente says

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Ebola is not airborne, contact with fluids is the vector. The growth rate in the current areas, is due to a set of factors unlikely outside Africa.

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

70   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 22, 8:37pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

71   bob2356   ignore (4)   2014 Sep 23, 12:01am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

bob2356 says

How dare you introduce facts and logic into a post on patnet. How could anyone be so rude.

Nothing you would ever be a vector of.

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

72   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 1:00am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

When it started as like 100+ victims, I made a thread about ebola here

http://patrick.net/?p=1244530
and....

Now y'all are in full panic mode.

73   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 23, 1:25am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

Exponential is pretty contagious don't you think?

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

74   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 1:56am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

75   HydroCabron   ignore (1)   2014 Sep 23, 2:07am     ↓ dislike (2)   quote   flag        

Welcome to another edition of Austrians Wetting Themselves!

To amp up the scare factor, it helps to have a poor grasp of mathematics and proportion - these are qualities libertarians possess in abundance.

Boo! Scary Ebola! Bwahahahaha! This will probably kill 60 brazilian people like, totally dead.

Austrians: Wash everything that comes to your house with a solution of bleach and water. Large-cap mags, boxes of primers, casings and other reloading supplies, issues of Soldier of Fortune, shitty Ayn Rand tripe, copies of the collected works of Murray Rothbard, cases of adult fear diapers and AR-15 night vision scopes should all be thoroughly disinfected before use. Don surgical gloves before masturbating to images of Rand Paul at Austrian social gatherings - very important!

Trust no one.

76   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 2:11am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Heraclitusstudent says

Exponential has nothing to do with how contagious it is.

Let's say it doubles every century: that's still an exponential.

Really?

77   HydroCabron   ignore (1)   2014 Sep 23, 2:16am     ↓ dislike (3)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

Really?

Yes.

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

78   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 6:47am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

1131924">HydroCabron says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

79   HydroCabron   ignore (1)   2014 Sep 23, 7:00am     ↓ dislike (2)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

Now shut up and leave the discussion to the adults.

Said the mutt

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

80   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 7:04am     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

HydroCabron says

Hahaha!

Year after year: "Interest rates blah blah... fractional reserve banking evil evil evil blah blah... money supply blah blah... Keynes sux LOL... "

And yet he does not understand the exponential function.

Ladies and Gentlemen: This is the face of the Austrian follower.

Good boy, now sit up come on sit up, good boy, now roll over ...

81   bob2356   ignore (4)   2014 Sep 23, 7:27am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

bob2356 says

Have you been taking grammar lessons from captain "english speaked good here"?

Ok grammar nanny how would you form that sentence?

Properly.

82   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 7:28am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

bob2356 says

Properly.

That would be a first...

83   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 7:30am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Call it Crazy says

a blunt

Another one of the mota smokers? makes sense

84   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 2:02pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

Call it Crazy says

Exactly... The CDC is just doing this to keep the conservatives cowering in their houses so they don't walk the street...

Why would Teabaggers care if Africans die in the millions? They haven't shown much evidence of being overly concerned about this in past.

85   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 2:13pm     ↓ dislike (2)   quote   flag        

Vicente says

Why would Teabaggers care if Africans die in the millions? They haven't shown much evidence of being overly concerned about this in past.

Actually quite the opposite.

Enlightened self interest

Something I rarely see in the Ds

86   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 4:40pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

indigenous says

Enlightened self interest

Go on....

87   indigenous   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 23, 4:44pm     ↓ dislike (1)   quote   flag        

Vicente says

indigenous says

Enlightened self interest

Go on....

Look it up

88   NoCoupForYou   ignore (5)   2014 Sep 24, 1:39am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Typhoid, Malnutrition, Cholera, all much worse than Ebola so far...

Unless you are walking around through sewage and waste barefoot, I see little reason to trouble about Ebola.

"What if it goes airborne"

Diseases don't just go "Airborne" at the drop of a hat. "Hey Herpes, you wanna go airborne this morning?" "Sure, Ebola" If it hasn't happened in tens of thousands of years, it's unlikely to happen tomorrow.

89   Shaman   ignore (2)   2014 Sep 24, 3:15am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

thunderlips11 says

Typhoid, Malnutrition, Cholera, all much worse than Ebola so far...

Unless you are walking around through sewage and waste barefoot, I see little reason to trouble about Ebola.

"What if it goes airborne"

Diseases don't just go "Airborne" at the drop of a hat. "Hey Herpes, you wanna go airborne this morning?" "Sure, Ebola" If it hasn't happened in tens of thousands of years, it's unlikely to happen tomorrow.

Yah, I don't think those are worse. More widespread, certainly, and also more of a clear and present danger to populations.
Unless Ebola comes to town. Then all bets are off. From all reports, the infection can happen if you so much as touch something an infected person touched. Here, can you imagine using an ATM or card reader at a store? Imagine how many thousands have touched that device. Ebola is scary not just because of this, but because of its high kill rate of 60%, with children and older adults at higher risk. To anyone with children, it's a worst nightmare.

90   Vicente   ignore (0)   2014 Sep 24, 3:26am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

There was a good Frontline documentary following healthcare workers in Sierra Leone, it's only 27 minutes watch it online it's very good.

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/ebola-outbreak/

Of course at that time, they predicted only 20K cases. Healthcare in Africa is overwhelmed and unable to cope. The lack of any sort of real treatment means people don't see any HOPE in going to the hospital.

Meanwhile we drop million-dollar bombs on 3 people in a pickup truck.

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