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Trump staffer: Nate Silvers results have been similar to ours


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2016 Oct 27, 8:51am   5,198 views  8 comments

by HydroCabron   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

If you wanted to know why Kellyanne Conway admitted last weekend that Trump is behind, here you go. It’s because he is, according to the campaign’s own data.

Ya see, Fat Birther has his own internal polling outfit, and it gives accurate numbers.

Despite Trump’s claim that he doesn’t believe the polls, his San Antonio research team spends $100,000 a week on surveys (apart from polls commissioned out of Trump Tower) and has sophisticated models that run daily simulations of the election. The results mirror those of the more reliable public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.” The campaign knows who it must reach and is still executing its strategy despite the public turmoil: It’s identified 13.5 million voters in 16 battleground states whom it considers persuadable, although the number of voters shrinks daily as they make up their minds…

Trump’s data scientists, including some from the London firm Cambridge Analytica who worked on the “Leave” side of the Brexit initiative, think they’ve identified a small, fluctuating group of people who are reluctant to admit their support for Trump and may be throwing off public polls.

Still, Trump’s reality is plain: He needs a miracle.

Comments 1 - 8 of 8        Search these comments

1   Tenpoundbass   2016 Oct 27, 9:12am  

Trump supporters hang up on pollsters, what part of "We don't trust the Government" do you not understand?

But if you noticed every anonymity polls, they usually end up like 60-40 or 78 to 22 Trumps favor.

2   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2016 Oct 27, 9:14am  

Sadly, the only people who don't already know this are the same ones who will not believe it. Sounds an awful lot like a public and private position to me. Say it ain't so Don!

3   HydroCabron   2016 Oct 27, 9:15am  

Tenpoundbass says

But if you noticed every anonymity polls, they usually end up like 60-40 or 78 to 22 Trumps favor

What about the moon landings: faked, like the Holocaust?

4   marcus   2016 Oct 27, 9:48am  

HydroCabron says

“Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”

Now we know why Trump was wigging out with tweets about that Ms Universe for a full week after the first debate. It was because in spite of his constant lying (we now know it was just more of his TPB style BS) that he had won the debate, he was actually getting a quality read on how badly the debate had gone for him.

5   Tenpoundbass   2016 Oct 27, 9:51am  

the smart people will follow Trump

6   HydroCabron   2016 Oct 27, 10:02am  

Tenpoundbass says

the smart people will follow Trump

Could happen. When do you predict the first smart Trump supporter will appear?

7   anonymous   2016 Oct 27, 2:09pm  

jazz music says

HydroCabron says

smart Trump supporter

You know all law enforcement related positions, that is quite a broad category, are HIGHLY pressured in the workplace to vote Trump and the rest of the down ticket race republican as well.

The JUSTICE system [sic] could lose their drug violator gravy train, the profiling, AND the civil forfeiture.

War industry personnel will be ushered into private meetings with strong arm Republican bosses too. You don't think so? Then you never been there.

This is very confusing

You seem to be suggesting that WOD operatives fare better under Trump, than Hillary. I want some of what you're smoking

8   marcus   2016 Oct 28, 10:45am  

HydroCabron says

When do you predict the first smart Trump supporter will appear?

They have Chachi. He's smart. They have that Rep Joe Walsh and others that are calling for a revolution (with his musket in fact) if the majority are allowed to have their way in this election.

These people are so smart they're operating on a level that us normal people can't comprehend.

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