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Corona virus

By Heraclitusstudent follow Heraclitusstudent   2020 Jan 24, 12:33pm 2,740 views   223 comments   watch   nsfw   quote   share    


Anyone wants to risk a bet on the eventual number of sick people? Dead people?

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184   Hircus   ignore (0)   2020 Feb 7, 8:38pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

I uploaded my script to codepen. It uses live data, so you can check it any day to see an update: https://codepen.io/bijoho4929/full/NWqPpQo

The rate keeps falling, now down to about ~11%


Showing infected cases from China and World

Jan 20 to Jan 21 (1 days)
282 to 332 = 50 growth
CDGR 17.7%

Jan 21 to Jan 22 (1 days)
332 to 555 = 223 growth
CDGR 67.2%

Jan 22 to Jan 23 (1 days)
555 to 653 = 98 growth
CDGR 17.7%

Jan 23 to Jan 24 (1 days)
653 to 941 = 288 growth
CDGR 44.1%

Jan 24 to Jan 25 (1 days)
941 to 2019 = 1078 growth
CDGR 114.6%

Jan 25 to Jan 26 (1 days)
2019 to 2794 = 775 growth
CDGR 38.4%

Jan 26 to Jan 27 (1 days)
2794 to 4473 = 1679 growth
CDGR 60.1%

Jan 27 to Jan 28 (1 days)
4473 to 6057 = 1584 growth
CDGR 35.4%

Jan 28 to Jan 29 (1 days)
6057 to 7783 = 1726 growth
CDGR 28.5%

Jan 29 to Jan 30 (1 days)
7783 to 9776 = 1993 growth
CDGR 25.6%

Jan 30 to Jan 31 (1 days)
9776 to 11374 = 1598 growth
CDGR 16.3%

Jan 31 to Feb 1 (1 days)
11374 to 14514 = 3140 growth
CDGR 27.6%

Feb 1 to Feb 2 (1 days)
14514 to 17370 = 2856 growth
CDGR 19.7%

Feb 2 to Feb 3 (1 days)
17370 to 19881 = 2511 growth
CDGR 14.5%

Feb 3 to Feb 4 (1 days)
19881 to 23892 = 4011 growth
CDGR 20.2%

Feb 4 to Feb 5 (1 days)
23892 to 27636 = 3744 growth
CDGR 15.7%

Feb 5 to Feb 6 (1 days)
27636 to 30818 = 3182 growth
CDGR 11.5%

Feb 6 to Feb 7 (1 days)
30818 to 34392 = 3574 growth
CDGR 11.6%

Feb 7 to Feb 8 (1 days)
34392 to 34887 = 495 growth
CDGR 1.4%

*The numbers for the current day are usually low because the data hasn't been fully collected yet.
Wolfram Chart (https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=plot+18%2C67%2C18%2C44%2C115%2C38%2C60%2C35%2C29%2C26%2C16%2C28%2C20%2C15%2C20%2C16%2C12%2C12%2C1)
185   Ceffer   ignore (4)   2020 Feb 7, 10:02pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Two pigs having a conversation next the Bioweapons lab around Wuhan: "Don't you really get pissed off when they keep blaming us for all this shit?"
187   just_dregalicious   ignore (3)   2020 Feb 8, 10:17am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Ceffer says
http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread1256138/pg1


Doesn't appear to be man made at all. Here is a link to the rushed paper that insinuated just that:

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1

It's still downloadable. At first those "HIV" inserts seem dubious. (Page-4, translated RNA-> protein sequence of SARS vs. coronavirus)

The authors focused on those inserts. All of the blue are also variation. It looks natural to me but don't take my word for it, read the comments from the other scientists who are laughing the paper out of publication.
192   RC2006   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 10, 10:33am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces. How bad will this spread in India and SF?

https://www.sciencealert.com/latest-coronavirus-study-suggests-it-can-also-be-spread-through-poop
193   HEYYOU   ignore (46)   2020 Feb 10, 11:07am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"In this specific case there is one "hotbed" of infected people -- China. It is important to note that at least thus far we are not seeing person-to-person casual transmission in the United States. We are seeing it in China.

There's a reason for this. We don't know the precise reason but we can take educated guesses. One of them is that this virus is uncharacteristically (for a coronavirus) shed in feces. Most are not but this one is. There are vast cultural differences in sanitation between White Man Nations (there, I said it) and not-White Man Nations in this regard.

This isn't "racist", it just is. We crap on a toilet and our bathrooms, both public and private, are typically equipped with both toilet paper and running water and soap with which to wash our hands. We consider feces on or around anything other than in a toilet bowl to be flat-out unacceptable. We also have a cultural learned reaction to wash our hands after using said toilet."

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?blog=Market-Ticker&page=2
194   HEYYOU   ignore (46)   2020 Feb 10, 11:17am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"Rumor: Xi moved out of Zhongnanhai and “Beijing situation”. (Via Google Translate)"

"It is reported that Wuhan pneumonia virus has penetrated into the central authority, and Xi Jinping has no longer been working in Zhongnanhai.

The pneumonia epidemic in Wuhan has spread rapidly, and there are no privileges under the epidemic. The Communist Party of China has continuously heard news that senior officials have contracted and died. Another source said that Wuhan pneumonia had invaded institutions such as the Beijing Commission for Discipline Inspection, and some people had even died. Xi Jinping is no longer working in Zhongnanhai."

https://breaking-news.ca/rumor-xi-moved-out-of-zhongnanhai-and-beiging-situation-via-google-translate/
195   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 10, 11:38am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"Five British citizens contracted the virus in the French Alpine town of Contamines-Montjoie"

(You can't make up the name of this place. )

"Eleven Britons are thought to have been infected by a man who caught the virus in Singapore then went to France and the UK."

This thing seems to be spreading like wildfire.

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-coronavirus-cases-double-as-four-more-test-positive-11930618
196   RC2006   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 10, 11:44am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

I've heard it has spread much more than anyone knows through the 3rd world because there is no testing..
198   Shaman   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 12, 7:04am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/482528-a-virus-is-crippling-chinas-economy-and-threatening-the-worlds#

Looks like the world will be feeling China’s pain shortly.
I personally will be affected as my job depends on shipping from China.

I talked to a dad on the baseball team I coach last night, he said they are running out of inventory (auto parts) and their chinese factory has been shut down for two weeks.

Looks like the worst case scenario for economic disruption is in play.
199   zzyzzx   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 12, 8:39am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Shaman says
I talked to a dad on the baseball team I coach last night, he said they are running out of inventory (auto parts) and their chinese factory has been shut down for two weeks.


Yet still another reason why we need to make everything in USA.
200   socal2   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 12, 9:18am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

My company can't ship any hardware this month because our modems are built in China. We will probably miss our Q1 forecast due to this delay.

We are definitely re-thinking our supply chain plans.
202   SunnyvaleCA   ignore (1)   2020 Feb 12, 4:10pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

RC2006 says
Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces. How bad will this spread in India and SF?

https://www.sciencealert.com/latest-coronavirus-study-suggests-it-can-also-be-spread-through-poop
We already have Typhus, Hepatitis, and Leprosy.
203   just_dregalicious   ignore (3)   2020 Feb 12, 4:55pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Just jumped from 45k cases to 60k.
204   mell   ignore (4)   2020 Feb 12, 5:00pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

The Chinamen owned up to the testing problem, but they simply labeled all pneumonias dxed via CT as CV cases to come closer to the real number of infections. Still this thing is overblown like nothing else. The majority of cases are so mild that we may indeed have more than we think and still the infection rates outside of Wuhan have been declining. While the supply chain problems are real, this is still a nothing-burger compared to the yearly influenza. I also suspect these "news" are used by short-sellers who have been desperately trying to bring the market down while getting their asses handed on a daily basis if you except the first few CV panic days. And that - while I do acknowledge there is quite some fluff in select stocks in this market - I don't support.
205   Fortwaynemobile   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 12, 5:12pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Publicly traded?

Short before the earnings call.

socal2 says
My company can't ship any hardware this month because our modems are built in China. We will probably miss our Q1 forecast due to this delay.

We are definitely re-thinking our supply chain plans.
206   HeadSet   ignore (3)   2020 Feb 12, 8:05pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces.

Just like cholera, the disease of the poor.
207   VINCENT   ignore (0)   2020 Feb 12, 8:39pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

HeadSet says
Latest Study Suggests The New Coronavirus Is Also Spreading Via Feces.


Then India is truly fucked.
208   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 12, 10:01pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"Fatalities in Hubei climbed by 242, while the number of infections jumped by 14,840, sending the total number of cases in China toward 60,000."

"The number of officially diagnosed coronavirus cases in the Chinese province of Hubei surged by 45% to nearly 50,000 after the Hubei provincial government began adding cases that were confirmed via imaging scans, alongside those confirmed with the previous method of nucleic acid testing kits.

The abrupt spike reversed the declining growth trend of previous days. The Hubei national health commission said it would now start including cases confirmed by “clinical diagnosis,” which refers to using CT imaging scans to diagnose patients."
210   HEYYOU   ignore (46)   2020 Feb 13, 2:08pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"The coronavirus has reportedly spread to North Korea. Experts say the country isn't equipped to fight it."

https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-reportedly-spread-north-korea-163908984.html
211   HEYYOU   ignore (46)   2020 Feb 13, 2:15pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

"China's coronavirus death toll surges, fuels speculation cases were under-reported"

"The hard-hit central province of Hubei reported 242 deaths in just one day and 14,840 new patients -- by far its biggest one-day tally since the crisis erupted last month."


https://www.france24.com/en/20200213-china-coronavirus-hubei-wuhan-death-toll-epidemic
213   E-man   ignore (0)   2020 Feb 14, 9:20pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

It’s naive to think the novel coronavirus was from eating bats or snakes or the sea food market like the Chinese government claimed.

“The CDC has been eager to help China in its efforts to fight this outbreak. Nearly six weeks after the CDC first offered to help China with the coronavirus outbreak, the offer still has not been accepted.”

China is hiding 💩. That’s why they don’t want outsiders to come in to help. They’re afraid people would know that they were making bioweapon, and it leaked out.

https://apple.news/ASHmJQ4yjTuargf6tTkp_TA
215   RC2006   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 17, 12:29pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Only a Chinese cat would allow that.
218   Misc   ignore (0)   2020 Feb 18, 8:22am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

People should stop focusing on the number of deaths and instead look at how China has greatly reduced its greenhouse emissions.
219   HeadSet   ignore (3)   2020 Feb 18, 10:33am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Misc says
People should stop focusing on the number of deaths and instead look at how China has greatly reduced its greenhouse emissions.


I dunno, how much carbon and methane is produced by burning all those bodies?
221   Shaman   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 18, 12:03pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Sure, just rub some essential oils on it!
222   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2020 Feb 18, 12:17pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Too many comments on this board are just first degree racists.
Booger says
223   Flavius   ignore (0)   2020 Feb 18, 12:24pm     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag        

Can we count the spin off deaths ? Those from illness in the U.S. and other countries who can not get their meds plus the suicides by business owners who go under because they can not get parts etc. so their life's work goes bellyup ?? The virus is nothing compared to the side effects

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/real-coronavirus-threat-america-not-what-you-think-122291

https://www.wired.com/story/the-coronavirus-is-a-threat-to-the-global-drug-supply/

Next time you get some OTC pain meds like Alleve or similar - check where it is made, it isn't here. Actually anywhere but here including China, Mexico, India, etc.

Car makers are already feeling the pain as well and when the layoffs start with them - it just ripples out and out and out..

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