5
0

Pending House Sales Plummet 35% YoY - Biggest Drop Ever As Buyers Forfeit Deposits


 invite response                
2020 May 28, 5:58pm   857 views  9 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/pending-home-sales-plummet-35-yoy-biggest-drop-ever

Every region crashed...

Northeast fell 14.5%; Feb. rose 2.8%

Midwest fell 22%; Feb. rose 4.2%

South fell 19.5%; Feb. fell 0.2%

West fell 26.8%; Feb. rose 5.1%

That is the lowest level of pending home sales since records began in 2001...

As MacroGuru (@macroguru9) noted, "The reason this is significant is it takes 4-8 weeks to close the sale once the contract has been signed. So this huge drop would indicate buyers forfeiting the deposit and walking away as they think the loss on the purchase would be higher than the deposit itself!!!"

Comments 1 - 9 of 9        Search these comments

1   just_passing_through   2020 May 28, 6:57pm  

People keep looking at the March and April numbers which are irrelevant. Probably will be for a few more months even with this.

After all: So many don't need to pay rent or mortgage lol gag cough ha ha..
2   BayArea   2020 May 28, 9:08pm  

just_dregalicious says
People keep looking at the March and April numbers which are irrelevant.


100% correct sir. Data should reveal more in 2nd half of the year.
4   WookieMan   2020 May 28, 9:49pm  

Those pending sales numbers correlate pretty well with the job loss numbers. This MacroGuru guy claiming buyers are walking away and losing deposits makes it pretty clear they don't know what they're talking about. A pending sale might get cancelled because the seller can no longer sell because of the current situation. I've also never seen a person lose a deposit in 13+ years in the industry, especially voluntarily.

Not you Patrick, but the guy doesn't know what he's talking about. The data may be correct, but the analysis is shit.

Newbie123 says
Purchase application data (forward looking indicator) made quite the comeback. Up 9% YoY.
Inventory here in SoCal is crazy low. Expected market time points to a sellers market.

As much as I hate to admit it, this is correct. The pending sales can come back in the future. As long as there's not a shit load of defaults and a massive increase in inventory, pending sales don't mean much long term without a long term trend. Even a record drop doesn't mean much. Not a whole lot of people right now have to sell. They take the house off the market and try again later.
5   Eman   2020 May 28, 9:58pm  

How the hell do we sell a house when the house is NOT allowed to be shown when someone lives there due to Rona?

With that said, we made out like bandits with our flip. The day we went into contract was the day that CA announced SIP 3/17. We closed 16 days later. If you have the right product, the house will sell. Simple as that. Zerohedge writes nothing but garbage and fear mongering.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.redfin.com/CA/Oakland/3131-Boston-Ave-94602/home/1803404/amp
6   EBGuy   2020 May 29, 3:29pm  

Congrats on that close E-man. That's quite the transformation.
7   AD   2020 May 29, 6:12pm  

ad says
E-man says

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.redfin.com/CA/Oakland/3131-Boston-Ave-94602/home/1803404/amp


Bought for $355,000 in August 2019
Sold for $700,000 recently

@E-man

How much did you invest in the home such as repairs and modernization ? What were your closing costs ?

I see property taxes were about $6500.

.
8   MAGA   2020 May 29, 8:28pm  

How sad, what are we going to do with all these unemployed Realtor's?

9   AD   2020 May 29, 8:53pm  

MAGA says
How sad, what are we going to do with all these unemployed Realtor's?


I know here in the Florida panhandle most of them are retirees working as real estate agents, or selling real estate is a hobby or small part time job.

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions