2020 Jun 26, 5:57pm
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Think of it this way, the CDC now believes (as do I) that ~10% of the U.S. has already been infected (i.e. 32M). So if we tested everyone with antibody tests, we’d have ~30 million new cases added to the report. Clearly we wouldn’t have truly had 30,000,000 new infections in 1 day… but our main sources of news are reporting it that way. ...Covid19 is serious, but it’s significantly less than we thoughtFatality: According to data from the best-studied countries and regions, the lethality of Covid19 is on average about 0.3%, which is about ten times lower than originally assumed by the WHO. As of 5/20/2020 the CDC is now estimating ~0.26% in the U.S. ...The risk of death for the general population of school and working age is typically in the range of a daily car ride to work. The risk was initially overestimated because many people with only mild or no symptoms were not taken into account. i.e. we’re capturing most of the deaths but only 5–10% of the infections. ...For every 100 people infected ~20-50 of them will show no symptoms (i.e. asymptomatic). Of the symptomatic, ~80% have mild symptoms. Even among 70–79 year olds, about 60% remain symptom-free. So when accounting for symptomatic + asymptomatic, ~90% have mild or no symptoms. While most won’t know it, for a few, it’s vicious and deadly. ...The median or average age of the deceased in most countries (including Italy) is over 80 years and only about 1% of the deceased had no serious preconditions. In NYC almost everyone had underlying conditions. ...We may never know this fully, but up to 50% of all additional deaths may have been caused not by Covid19, but by the effects of the response, i.e. policies & panic. For example, the treatment of heart attacks and strokes decreased by up to 60% because many patients stopped visiting hospitals. ...We have gaps everywhere, but “hospitalizations” are probably the cleanest and earliest indicator we have. Everyone wants to talk about Fatalities, and we have work to do there. We’re missing some, but we also have clear instances of over-counting, i.e. gunshot victims counted because they had tested positive. ...The normal overall mortality per day is about 8,000 people in the US. Influenza mortality per season is up to 80,000. Most of our leading forecasts suggest Covid19 will account for ~5% (150,000) of our typical annual deaths (~3,000,000). ...Many clinics in Europe and the US remained strongly underutilized or almost empty during the Covid19 peak and in some cases had to send staff home. In the U.S. we lost 1.4M healthcare jobs so far and numerous operations / therapies were cancelled, including some organ transplants and cancer screenings.Capacity: At peak, New York City had around 1 in 6 hospital beds open and around 1 in 10 ICU beds open. Hospitals had capacity. Nationally, the CDC reports that “Covid Like Illness” at most represented ~7% of hospitalizations … it’s currently under 2%. ...Most of the predictions have been grossly wrong. For example, many models assumed a 20% hospitalization rate, whereas we’re seeing ~1%. The models that influenced UK & US policy predicted 90K deaths by now in Sweden for not locking down, they are closer to 5K. At the center of many of our policies / strategies was Imperial College & Neil Ferguson. He is the same modeler who said 200M people could die from the bird flu (vs. 282 actual) ... We need to start listening to those who are right and stop listening to those who are wrong.Media Accuracy— unfortunately many media outlets have failed to report accurately and with context, and yes, in some cases have totally misrepresented the data and/or used images incorrectly. Some used emotional headlines like “cases surging” while cases were actually decelerating from 30% daily growth rates down to 2–4% … and they would quote “more people dead than 9/11,” but don’t mention that more people die EVERY DAY from normal causes than 9/11. I make no conclusions as to whether it’s incompetence or mal-intent. But it’s definitely wrong, misleading, and fear-mongering.
Trump cannot be allowed to win. Because of one thing: It's likely RBG will not make it four more years.
Can I just go into hibernation and fast forward to election day already? I am so sick of this.
You should go to a local board meeting and present your case against Covid like this woman! In all seriousness, Covid is still a scary disease mainly because it’s baffling doctors as to what it’s doing to our bodies. It’s not like the flu in how it attacks our bodies. It’s not just a respiratory disease, it gets into your blood vessel lining after your lungs are damaged and basically stresses out your immune system to a point that your own immune system kills you due to inflammation everywhere. A lot of fringe health guru blogs are claiming this has to do more with our poor diets and underlying Undiagnosed metabolic disorders caused by our fat stores filled with toxic seed oils. Which cause rampant inflammation when the body is trying to fight this virus. This would easily explain why kids don’t get very sick... they haven’t been consuming crappy ...
Jump out of a plane without a parachute. Go ahead and do it. After all, what is the chance that you die from jumping out of a plane this year ? I'm vicariously embarrassed for you man. And it's this kind of moronic talk that is the reason we didn't beat this thing a long time ago.
My advice to all of you who think Covid is bullshit is to find someone you know is sick and lick his nostrils. Then lick your entire family or just spit into their faces for five minutes while they inhale deeply. It's all a lie so it's just good old-fashioned fun, right.
Why are those fucking liberals making Florida, a conservative state, quarantine people for two weeks coming in from New York of New Jersey ?
America really deserves to be Number One on the Covid hit chart. Go for it! Break all the records!