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Professor Predicted 9 Presidential Elections Makes 2020 Prediction


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2020 Sep 6, 9:16pm   1,466 views  9 comments

by just_passing_through   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

Guy thinks Trump will lose. Guy sounds like a biased motherfucker to me. Some of the shit he says is just wrong as fuck. Trump never told anyone to drink bleach. I think he's a fucking moron but he's had a good run:

www.youtube.com/embed/9_FX2maB3vw

I'll be LOLing his online presence for quite some time if he's wrong. I think he's quite wrong. But what do I know.

Comments 1 - 9 of 9        Search these comments

1   Ceffer   2020 Sep 6, 10:55pm  

How many of these 'predictors' have ever been checked out to see if they actually predicted beyond the claim? They pop up of course every election cycle, but who has investigated them?

Also, like any other stochastic phenomenon, some isolated individuals out there through sheer weight of numbers of people guessing will have a run of accurate predictions. Their next guess, however, will be no more likely to be correct than any other. Streaks end.
2   just_passing_through   2020 Sep 6, 10:56pm  

Yeah, I work with AI a bit and the whole 'part of it is judgement' makes me think it has a definite bias weakness.
3   just_passing_through   2020 Sep 6, 10:57pm  

No fucking way I read this wormy guy's book to find out. Still, 9 picks! It'll be a little bit interesting to see how it pans out. I only go back 6 picks. Perot, Perot, BushFuck, McFuck, RomFuck, Trump. I very much feel dirty for half of those but don't regret them in the least.
4   Ceffer   2020 Sep 6, 11:08pm  

Self anointed predictors are usually just con artists harvesting the endless fields of gullibles. How many of the National Enquirer type ads are claimed predictors and experts? Dime a dozen.
5   just_passing_through   2020 Sep 6, 11:13pm  

Ceffer says
Dime a dozen


56:20 he almost looks like a little ventriloquist puppet in Maher's nasty hands. The dems' vs. repub's comment just after needs to be inverted as well.
6   CBOEtrader   2020 Sep 7, 5:48am  

just_adhom_preaching says
Yeah, I work with AI a bit and the whole 'part of it is judgement' makes me think it has a definite bias weakness.


Yeah, a human still chooses the variables and data sources to populate those variables. All AI does is optimize the variables for a certain observed outcome.

AI is just statistics on steroids. It is 100% biased by the researcher
7   Al_Sharpton_for_President   2020 Sep 7, 5:53am  

He's right until he's wrong.
8   🎂 Tenpoundbass   2020 Sep 7, 9:13am  

Will it still count if Trump wins on election night with a Historical landslide, and the GOP retakes the House majority?
But then all of the Blue town's Board of Election officials bunker themselves in a room for the next 3 weeks and puts Biden over and takes the Senate for the Democrats?

Because that's the plan you know?

We all know it, the Democrats brag about it with impunity, and Barr and Trump just sit there and say "Woe is Me!".

Either there will be action against this hostile seditious coup before November 3rd, or there will be a bloody revolt come December.
9   just_passing_through   2020 Sep 7, 10:58am  

CBOEtrader says
Yeah, a human still chooses the variables and data sources to populate those variables.


Well, right if by what you mean the human picks a selection of pictures of cats or dogs to train the AI. That is much better and less prone to bias than what I suspect this guy is doing. He came up with his predictors back in the 80s I think?

Even with the dog or cat image analysis the researcher might pick a certain flavor of a fast fourier transform, how many levels of tensors to maximize, or whatevs... So yeah, there is some tinkering there.

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