patrick.net

lol. Classic. Not sure where they're getting their data. No one really knows. We've had unprecedented mail in and early voting. But hey, it's a super computer, so it's probably right. The unfortunate thing about a supercomputer is that they cannot talk to me and know I'm a Trump supporter and I would never put a sign in my yard for any candidate or give my info to a website or pollster. Most of us are like that too. Good luck with the prediction though. We'll find out soon.

TrumpingTits says

The obsolete cell phone I type this on has more processing power than one of those 'supercomputers', for chrissakes.

My take as well. While there are functions that "supercomputers" could assist with, election predictions are not one of them. For a prediction you need human input. If one piece of data is off there's no point in even running the prediction, it will be wrong... probably 97% of the time.

@ohomen171 - Why don't you ever respond? Your right to not respond, but why put bold stuff like this out there and not give us your thinking? There's not a prediction I've seen where Biden gets to 356, which is not realistic by any stretch, even if you hate Trump. I frankly think the reverse might happen and Trump will be in the 300's as West Coast votes start getting counted and winners declared tonight.

When just a computer is not enough.

Supercomputer. It's a black box. Any black box, if you put garbage data in you get garbage data out.

Here's a story for you. They have this computer that automatically dispenses 150 of the most popular medications. The idea is, automate pharmacists out of the workforce. My friends brother who has been a pharmacist for 25 years was put in charge of the reviewing several counties in NJ of the pilot in a large chain pharmacy. He said that prescription fill errors went up 200%. Why? Because if the pharmacist loading it up made one mistake, it was then compounded because the machine had no way of knowing the first mistake was made.

FuckCCP89 says

When just a computer is not enough.

I know, it's like polling doesn't exist or something and those regular computers just can't process an input of a name. Gotta bring out the big boy to process the words Trump and Biden. #SCM (Super Computers Matter)

Quiz for readers:
Which will predict a coin flip better: a supercomputer or a 2 year old baby?
Answer: neither one.

Actually it’s more likely that Trump wins since incumbents have an advantage.

The Economist is not a trusted source to me either.

clambo says

Actually it’s more likely that Trump wins since incumbents have an advantage.

Incumbents most always win election disputes. Ask Stacey Abrams.
If the Democrats make the election results so muddy and cloudy, Trump will be well within his rights to call for a do over election, where everyone shows up in person.
I don't think Biden will have another election in him.

clambo says

Actually it’s more likely that Trump wins since incumbents have an advantage.

It's more than the incumbent thing though. A lot of people didn't vote for him last time (me) because they were uncertain of him. The handcuffs have been removed at this point over the stigma for voting for him. You still might not announce it on social media, but you'll at least get out and vote for him. Also remember due to Trump's perceived behavior, there was a stronger Libertarian in '16. That could easily be a point or two swing. No, well zero enthusiasm for Biden. This has all the looks of a landslide. Needs to be so we're not caught up in drama for weeks.