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There is no positive effect of vaxxing on cases or hospitalizations


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2021 Sep 25, 9:54am   134 views  1 comment

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/winter-is-coming-and-the-vaccine

vaccination percentage is not predictive of case growth. so, let’s stop pretending that vaccines are stopping cases. not even the CDC is claiming that. ...

but monica wants to talk about hospitalizations. fair enough. again, we see northern states leading the way on 14 day gains as they come into season and the south falls out. and, again, many are above avg in vaccination and vaccination overall does not look predictive. in fact, we see the opposite. ...

"this combination makes those vaccinated with one dose or more into superspread bombs.”

this is still, i want to stress, a hypothesis and one i hope fails to prove out, but i can still find no better fit to this data and it remains, to my great dismay, the best explanation i can find. (and i’ve been bouncing it off an awful lot of people)

proving this out would mean that vaccines have rekindled a fading pandemic, that they are making it worse, not better, and that they and the bigger hammer theory that will emerge from the political mess are going to mean that the northern latitudes are REALLY in for it this winter.

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1   Patrick   2021 Sep 25, 10:13am  

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/2021-covid-trends-in-highly-vaccinated

despite 80%+ of over 12's fully vaccinated, new england looks worse than last year...

there is very plausible case to be made that these vaccines are actually increasing spread and may well be selecting for hotter, more dangerous virus. leaky vaccines are a known problem and can pose large dangers. and these are definitely leaky vaccines.

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