For the fourth straight month, US home prices decelerated in the nation's 20 largest cities. The 20-City Composite rose 18.29% YoY in November (below October's 18.46% pace but it did print above the expected +18.00% YoY.
We are seeing the expected deceleration in house price growth, and this trend will probably continue for at least a few more months. My sense is the Case-Shiller National annual growth rate of 19.99% in August was probably the peak YoY growth rate, however, since the normal level of inventory is probably in the 4 to 6 months range - we’d have to see a significant increase in inventory to sharply slow price increases, and that is why I’m focused on inventory!emphasis added.
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/us-home-prices-decelerate-4th-straight-month?source=patrick.net
We are seeing the expected deceleration in house price growth, and this trend will probably continue for at least a few more months. My sense is the Case-Shiller National annual growth rate of 19.99% in August was probably the peak YoY growth rate, however, since the normal level of inventory is probably in the 4 to 6 months range - we’d have to see a significant increase in inventory to sharply slow price increases, and that is why I’m focused on inventory!emphasis added.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/01/comments-on-case-shiller-and-fhfa-house.html?source=patrick.net