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Housing Market


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2022 Mar 17, 10:10pm   1,561 views  41 comments

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5   Booger   2022 Mar 18, 4:51pm  

Patrick says
Oh, you mean Logan Mohtashami.

Yes, he was on here a lot.


Looks like he is still alive:
https://loganmohtashami.com/?source=patrick.net
6   Onvacation   2022 Mar 18, 5:19pm  

Blue says
@Strategist also used to put great stuff. Did he quit. I like his messages.

I kind of suspect Strategist was a detective just hanging out while he investigated any possible connections with Turtledove's murder.

But I'm a paranoid conspiracy theorist.
7   Patrick   2022 Mar 18, 10:57pm  

The police did call me about Turtledove's murder, and I told them what I knew, which isn't all that much. Just about her posting here, and having met her once.
8   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 19, 8:56am  

Patrick says
The police did call me about Turtledove's murder, and I told them what I knew, which isn't all that much. Just about her posting here, and having met her once.
I miss her. Is it wrong to repost her topless pic as a tribute? She was damn cute.
9   just_passing_through   2022 Mar 19, 10:59am  

Was the husband finally put in jail?
10   sunny   2022 Mar 21, 5:01pm  

Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...
11   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 21, 6:03pm  

sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...
Cool story, bro. So no crash coming?
12   sunny   2022 Mar 21, 7:15pm  

porkchopexpress says
sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...
Cool story, bro. So no crash coming?


No crash. Hope you're learning. Buy a house. In 30 years, you'll thank me. At minimum, your house will be paid off. Price appreciation is just bonus. Sure beats paying rent in your 60's :).
13   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 21, 8:39pm  

sunny says
porkchopexpress says
sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...
Cool story, bro. So no crash coming?


No crash. Hope you're learning. Buy a house. In 30 years, you'll thank me. At minimum, your house will be paid off. Price a...
So no crash ever again? Did you call 2008?
14   NuttBoxer   2022 Mar 21, 9:02pm  

sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...


Sounds like you probably made reasonable purchases that fit within your budget as you were able to hold onto them through the crash. I'm still waiting for a sane economy, or a property that makes sense. No regrets as I've never spent as much as someone who pays mortgage, even now. I definitely will not be buying anytime soon as things seem on the brink of collapse, and I have less than $3,000 of outstanding, interest-free debt. Never take on debt during times of turmoil.
15   BayArea   2022 Mar 21, 9:04pm  

porkchopexpress says
sunny says
porkchopexpress says
sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...
Cool story, bro. So no crash coming?


No crash. Hope you're learning. Buy a house...


Meh, as long as you didn’t buy in a narrow window between 2006-2007, 2008 was a RE blip in the big picture.
16   BayArea   2022 Mar 21, 9:05pm  

Patrick says
The police did call me about Turtledove's murder, and I told them what I knew, which isn't all that much. Just about her posting here, and having met her once.


What ever was the conclusion/verdict?
17   NuttBoxer   2022 Mar 21, 9:07pm  

BayArea says
https://www.yahoo.com/news/record-high-number-real-estate-135240835.html?source=patrick.net


He re-incarnated himself recently as a Russian hating zombie. That guy has the record for being ignored on this forum. I've never even seen double digits outside of him.

"It's like that Hungry Hungry Hippo game in the 1980s, except there's only one ball," real estate expert Logan Mohtashami told Insider. "The sheer panic of needing somewhere to live is hitting everyone."

Strange, in all my years of renting, which is all of them, I've never once panicked about where to live.
18   zzyzzx   2022 Mar 22, 6:05am  

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-housing-market-is-in-the-early-stages-of-a-substantial-downshift-home-sales-may-drop-25-by-the-end-of-summer-according-to-this-analyst-11647884229?source=patrick.net

‘The housing market is in the early stages of a substantial downshift’: Home sales may drop 25% by the end of summer, according to this analyst

“The housing market is in the early stages of a substantial downshift in activity, which will trigger a steep decline in the rate of increase of home prices, starting perhaps as soon as the spring,” Shepherdson wrote in a research note distributed Sunday.
19   stereotomy   2022 Mar 22, 7:02am  

I remember I'd always check out Patnet as well as HousingPanic. Keef was hailarious.
20   Ceffer   2022 Mar 22, 11:31am  

I have known quite a few leveraged shipwrecks who delved into multiple home ownerships during the upswings but couldn't survive the crashes. If you pay cash for the homes, it's fine. If you require debt instruments, then you are gambling and need to have a contingency plan for the crashes.

One Mormon couple up the hill in mansionville locally were murdered by their reprobate son on drugs and with a gambling habit. Their 'empire' of leveraged homes crashed in '08 and '09, so they couldn't continue giving him money for his habits. He killed them to try to inherit their shit, which wasn't shit any more due to the crash.
21   Tenpoundbass   2022 Mar 22, 11:40am  

People standing in a long line to view an open house, is exactly how we all ended up in a situation where Shanaynay the Walgreens employee grew so impowered us to put on a Mask and stand on the provided spaces provided for us in the store.

People are a bunch of Monkey See Monkey Do, mother fuckers.

None of those idiots are considering the bidding war, or the premium their precedence is creating.

The only way to get more housing stock is to stop showing up. Quit going to open houses, let the first lucky asshole that saw it first get it.
Stop going to open houses, and drop out of the market. The Realtors will be at the State and Federal Capitol lobbying for 55,000 new communities to be built.
They depend on inventory, if there isn't any inventory, then there should be any suckers, I mean buyers. Why would they want more houses built, if everyone is going to show up for one available house, and bid it up to their wildest dream. They only need one sale a year to pay their bills, in that world.
22   sunny   2022 Mar 23, 5:25am  

porkchopexpress says
So no crash ever again? Did you call 2008?



There was no crash in 2008. It was a dip. Everything goes through ups and down.
23   sunny   2022 Mar 23, 5:33am  

NuttBoxer says
sunny says
Wow, patrick.net is still alive? I first ran into you guys in 2003 time frame after purchasing my 3rd house. I have total of 4 now. All in the bay area. My most expensive purchase was $450K. Today, you can't buy a bathroom for $450K. But at the time, everyone thought I was a moron for being a homeowner. To make a long story short, everyone predicted I would go bankrupt and being a homeowner was the worst thing anybody can possibly do. I still have all those properties and I'm so glad people of patrick.net didn't sway my mind. Thank God. If I had a nickel for every time somebody predicted a housing crash ...


Sounds like you probably made reasonable purchases that fit within your budget as you were able to hold onto them through the crash. I'm still waiting for a sane economy, or a property that makes sense. No regrets as I've never spent as much as someone who pays mortga...


Take it from an old timer. There will never be a "sane economy" (ever). There's always going to be a risk - but no guts no glory. As Magic Johnson said, "I've never made a shot I didn't take". But home ownership is more than just money. It's the sense of ownership, being part of the community, being able to paint the house whatever color you want, starting a garden, setting up a mini mechanic shop in your garage, tearing down the walls and making it your own ... all without worrying about what your landlord will say. It's a lifestyle. And after 30 years (for most of us, lot sooner), it is free and clear and it's completely yours. If that isn't your thing, nothing wrong with renting. And top of all that, it doesn't hurt that every single person that ever purchased a house that still has it today - has made a nice profit. But that's just icing.

As I tell everyone starting out, if you want a place to call your own and make something your own, buy a house. If you want to make money, invest in the market.
24   WookieMan   2022 Mar 23, 6:05am  

BayArea says
Patrick says
The police did call me about Turtledove's murder, and I told them what I knew, which isn't all that much. Just about her posting here, and having met her once.


What ever was the conclusion/verdict?

I stopped tracking the case 6 months ago. You can look it up in the county court records though. Long day of travel yesterday and today is a lazy bum day with it being spring break for the kids.

As usual with law the goal post just keeps being moved and it takes forever for it to come to a conclusion. Covid didn't help either. If he's found guilty (not saying he is) Covid was a blessing for the dude as it gave him 1-2 years of extra freedom.
25   NuttBoxer   2022 Mar 23, 8:48am  

sunny says
Take it from an old timer. There will never be a "sane economy" (ever).


None of us are that old, but let me refer you to pre-1913, and especially the early 1800's. Without central banks our economy was quite prosperous and stable. And I see that coming again soon, as the current system is completely unsustainable.

sunny says
But home ownership is more than just money. It's the sense of ownership, being part of the community, being able to paint the house whatever color you want, starting a garden, setting up a mini mechanic shop in your garage, tearing down the walls and making it your own


I'd broaden this to land ownership, homes are depreciating money pits. I've literally done, or been able to do almost all of those things as a renter, especially the community part. No neighbors I've been close to have cared whether I owned or not.

sunny says
it is free and clear and it's completely yours.


You mean in a state without property taxes..

sunny says
has made a nice profit. But that's just icing.


That's a tricky one as has been pointed out here many times. You have to calculate the increase in land value vs the money tied up in the house, including maintenance, and compare that against other investments over the same period of time. And the biggest part everyone seems to forget, regardless of investment, is calculating for inflation.

But I'm happy you're happy. As long as we are responsible with our money, and rely on ourselves, I don't think we can ever be disappointed at the outcome.
26   BayArea   2022 Mar 23, 10:33am  

I don’t think it was Magic Johnson that said that lol
27   sunny   2022 Mar 24, 8:37am  

BayArea says
I don’t think it was Magic Johnson that said that lol


He did say that in an interview. But I'm sure somebody else said it before him.
28   sunny   2022 Mar 24, 8:40am  

NuttBoxer says
sunny says
Take it from an old timer. There will never be a "sane economy" (ever).


None of us are that old, but let me refer you to pre-1913, and especially the early 1800's. Without central banks our economy was quite prosperous and stable. And I see that coming again soon, as the current system is completely unsustainable.

sunny says
But home ownership is more than just money. It's the sense of ownership, being part of the community, being able to paint the house whatever color you want, starting a garden, setting up a mini mechanic shop in your garage, tearing down the walls and making it your own


I'd broaden this to land ownership, homes are depreciating money pits. I've literally done, or been able to do almost all of those things as a renter, especially the community part. No neighbors ...


Bay area is California. Thanks to prop 13, my property taxes are negligible. And maintenance is nothing. At the end of the day, people with money buy houses. They don't rent in their main residence. But there's no shame in renting. But if you're an astute smart investor, it makes no sense to rent.
29   B.A.C.A.H.   2022 Mar 24, 1:41pm  

sunny says
Thanks to prop 13, my property taxes are negligible

Said the long-time homeowner: I got mine, f*ck you to the new buyer with a new assessment of about $1000 per month for the privilege of "investing" in a one million dollar crapshack.

F*ck you, loser. Prop-13. F*ck your sorry ass. I got mine you sorry ass-late-to-the-game entitled whiner.

Bay Areans, is this the type of community, with these types of values, that you want to live among?
30   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 24, 5:59pm  

This is yet another reason I won't buy in CA. Looking elsewhere where taxes (as much as we hate them), are levied fairly.
31   NuttBoxer   2022 Mar 25, 12:23am  

sunny says
But if you're an astute smart investor, it makes no sense to rent.


Since when are depreciating assets investments? Seems like your back-peddling on your prior balanced view that they're for living in, not making money on.

I've paid between $1,200-1,600 nearly the entire time I've rented, most of those being houses. The places we considered buying in when we looked, I have no interest in living there now. I've never had to eat shit at work because I'm worried about bills, or can't quickly move. The little debt we have is interest free, and could be paid off in two months if needed.

No one is starting companies out of their garage in Palo Alto anymore. San Fran's time has long past. There's was a time your advise might have made sense, but not anymore.
32   Patrick   2022 Mar 25, 4:00am  

porkchopexpress says
I miss her. Is it wrong to repost her topless pic as a tribute? She was damn cute.



@porkchopexpress I think we should repost it. I met her and am pretty sure she would have found it amusing.
33   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 25, 6:33pm  

Patrick says
porkchopexpress says
I miss her. Is it wrong to repost her topless pic as a tribute? She was damn cute.



@porkchopexpress I think we should repost it. I met her and am pretty sure she would have found it amusing.
Do you have it? I don't...I only remember when you posted it. I think she'd want us to remember her that way. She shared it with us for that very reason.
34   richwicks   2022 Mar 25, 7:48pm  

porkchopexpress says
Patrick says
porkchopexpress says
I miss her. Is it wrong to repost her topless pic as a tribute? She was damn cute.



@porkchopexpress I think we should repost it. I met her and am pretty sure she would have found it amusing.
Do you have it? I don't...I only remember when you posted it. I think she'd want us to remember her that way. She shared it with us for that very reason.


@Patrick could find it. Shouldn't be hard to write a script that just compiles all images and displays them all. You could sort by date as well.

HOWEVER, that's work.

I didn't realize a woman was murdered here. That's an awful thing. I, like all people, have considered murder, but never seriously. Just lesson learned, move on.
35   WookieMan   2022 Mar 26, 6:53am  

richwicks says
I didn't realize a woman was murdered here. That's an awful thing. I, like all people, have considered murder, but never seriously. Just lesson learned, move on.

Court case is still ongoing. Innocent until proven guilty. If the guy did it, Covid was a life saver for 2 years. Prosecutors tread lightly with something like this and don't charge without evidence, but the judge apparently heard enough to issue $1M bail. Next court date is in May.

And a note for Patnet users, keep the case number if you want to search. Orange County started charging $$ for name searches... BS. Case # 19HF0572

Here's the case activity. No clue what any of it means, but still ongoing.


36   WookieMan   2022 Mar 26, 7:13am  

No intention of doxxing anyone either. It's all public record and news so fair game in my world. Honestly hope it wasn't foul play as that damages many lives already grieving.
38   porkchopXpress   2022 Mar 26, 4:46pm  

Onvacation says
Yesssssssssssssssssssssss
39   Booger   2022 Mar 27, 4:55pm  

I just fapped to this!
40   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2022 Mar 27, 9:35pm  

Booger says
I just fapped to this!


are you a Biologist?
41   Onvacation   2022 Mar 29, 6:15pm  

Fortwaynemobile says
Booger says
I just fapped to this!


are you a Biologist?

Freelance.

No doubt.

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