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Polls, betting markets and election prediction thread


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2024 Sep 18, 3:19pm   2,710 views  199 comments

by mell   ➕follow (10)   💰tip   ignore  

The divergence has started between the partisan polls on each side and the neutral pollsters (if any).

Also the betting markets currently hold harris as favorite although the swing states stay hotly contested while Trump survives assassination attempt after attempt.

One would think they would move in the opposite direction which is a bit disturbing, but it may just be partisan hackery to add insult to injury.

Teamsters overwhelmingly voted in favor of Trump, do we have more liberal arts majors than working class to explain the polls?

Make your predictions here, or not ;)

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198   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Nov 29, 10:38am  

Patrick says

https://notthebee.com/article/harris-campaign-aide-admits-they-never-had-internal-polling-showing-them-with-a-lead-on-trump



Harris aide admits campaign never had internal polling that showed a lead over Trump ... so why were all the professional polls different?




Clearly all the public polls were adding the 2020 margin of cheating to Kamala's results, because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.


The polls were bullshit?

Shocked!


199   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2024 Nov 29, 12:01pm  

Patrick says

because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.


The last several years I've been thinking it's more to help COVER the cheating. "Nobody was cheating - this goes along with the polls!"

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