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Ron Paul to be elected President in 2012: 2.2% chance
Ron Paul to win the 2012 Nevada Caucus: 6.8% chance
Ron Paul to win the 2012 Florida Primary: 0.2% chance
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?searchQuery=ron+paul
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For those that are so certain he's going to win, it seems like a great bet.
Meanwhile, those of us who are confident he won't couldn't even make a profit on it :/
Ron Paul to be elected President in 2012: 2.2% chance
Ron Paul to win the 2012 Nevada Caucus: 6.8% chance
Ron Paul to win the 2012 Florida Primary: 0.2% chance
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?searchQuery=ron+paul