0
0

Will the bubble ever burst in NYC, DC, or SF??


               
2012 Jan 29, 11:16am   46,412 views  88 comments

by 1sfrenter   follow (2)  

There may be a few other "it's different here" cities, and prices have come way down in the edges of these markets, but 4 years into the bust and prices in these fortress cities haven't returned to anything near pre-bubble prices. Will they ever or is this just the new normal?

#bubbles

Comments 1 - 5 of 88       Last »     Search these comments

1   BigChiefEugene   @   2012 Jan 29, 11:39am  

These cities have people with massive wealth including the native born and foreigners who have abandoned interest paying instruments and have put their money into real estate because of very low mortgage rates. Prices will drop precipitously if and when interest rates on five year certificates of deposit exceed 6% and mortgage rates approach the 100 year average rate -- the mentality in these cities is that this will never happen and the people betting on real estate may be right on.

2   petomoo   @   2012 Jan 29, 12:20pm  

DC will stay strong as long as government spending remains high.

3   mdovell   @   2012 Jan 29, 12:24pm  

DC is different not so much due to the demand but due to restrictions on supply. There are height restrictions put into place about 100 or so years ago to maintain the view of federal buildings. So if builders can't build the only thing to do is to raise rents.

Technically there might not be a ban on building down..but going beyond a few stories and it would be odd.

SF is a odd market
http://www.deptofnumbers.com/asking-prices/california/san-francisco/
"The median asking price for homes in San Francisco peaked in May 2006 at $668,570 and is now $277,920 (41.6%) lower."

But the inventory is pretty low...really low..less than half from the peak are on the market.

4   1sfrenter   @   2012 Jan 29, 1:52pm  

mdovell says

"The median asking price for homes in San Francisco peaked in May 2006 at $668,570 and is now $277,920 (41.6%) lower."

Putting condos and SFH together is not helpful. Median price for SFH is not anywhere near 277K, not even in the most dangerous neighborhoods.

5   1sfrenter   @   2012 Jan 29, 1:55pm  

BigChiefEugene says

These cities have people with massive wealth including the native born and foreigners who have abandoned interest paying instruments and have put their money into real estate because of very low mortgage rates

Last week we put an offer in on a 3/2 SFH. 30K above asking, and we were completely bid out of the water by Chinese investors with all cash and no contingencies. On the market last Wednesday, pending today with 15 offers in 4 days. Not a shi-shi neighborhood, either.

Comments 1 - 5 of 88       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   users   suggestions   gaiste