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If you believe that shorting the most successful, profitable, largest, company is a smart way to build your fortune, you are a speculator not an investor.
This is not the way to build your wealth over time.
Warren Buffet for example emulates my little old lady neighbor who is richer than god. She bought blue chip company stocks many decades ago and now she's worth millions. But, she's 90 now so she's going to pass this huge wealth on to her children.
anotheraccount
@
2012 Mar 11, 6:20am
Apple will have many headwinds in the next few years.
-If the student loan bubble stops growing at the rate of the last couple of years it will hit Apple hard. Many of those loans are buying macs and iPads.
- Amazon is a lot cheaper for devices and content. I own an iPad but buying movies from iTunes is a lot more expensive than Amazon.
- Apple cloud is weak in comparison to Google and Amazon.
- Do not underestimate Windows 8 tablets.
Shorting Apple is dangerous but could be very rewarding at these levels. we could see Apple go down to 250-300 in the next two years if student loan growth slows down or reverts.
Vicente
@
2012 Mar 11, 7:46am
-If the student loan bubble stops growing at the rate of the last couple of years it will hit Apple hard. Many of those loans are buying macs and iPads.
"Many"?
The biggest demographic buying iPads is 35-44. Your argument is not convincing.
There are about 6 billion people who want to buy an Apple product. They are in countries with no debt. This means Apple will sell ever increasing numbers of everything. This means more profit for Apple.
Windows tablets won't have any significance.
B.A.C.A.H.
@
2012 Mar 11, 8:14am
Tesla. It's a cross between Solyndra and DeLorean. And for good measure, like Solyndra its got the (Cool and Hip) dotcommer schtik AND like Solyndra it is located in Fremont.
anotheraccount
@
2012 Mar 11, 8:38am
Vicente,
I believe that student loan is one of the "headwinds". If you look at the explosion of student debt and Apple sales in the last three years there is a pretty good correlation regardless of demographics. Apple has always been strong in education and I don't think this time is any different.
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Been searching around and talking to other investors in chat rooms and there's a growing number of folks thinking it's a good time to start shorting Apple. They may have reached their peak and the decline is beginning. A recent article from Jin Yee states that she's one of those that believe it's a good time to start looking into shorting Apple also.
source: http://www.hotstockstobuy.com/2012/03/the-new-ipad-first-day-sales-report/