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Is buying a house (ever) a good idea?


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2012 May 30, 7:52am   30,681 views  107 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (61)   💰tip   ignore  

Posted for Patrick.net reader B.

Patrick --
Something I don't read about much is whether it's still a good idea to even
consider buying a house at all, at any price, ever.

Things have changed so much in the last 15 years or so. How many people have
real job security? Apart from federal employees, not that many people. Fifteen
years ago the economy was way more stable, you could pretty much bet on having
a job the next year so you could pay your mortgage.

Second, most existing houses were built for a world that no longer exists --a
world where energy was cheap (to heat and cool your house, to drive to and from
the house,etc), a world where the economy was almost always expanding, where
jobs were plentiful and well paid, for the most part. A world where property
taxes, repairs, insurance and utilities were usually reasonable. None of those
things are cheap anymore. Most houses are also poorly located too far from good
mass transit, shopping, jobs, etc, since city planning in most US cities has
been so poor. Not to mention that most US houses are at best of mediocre
construction quality, built with cheaper materials, requiring constant and
expensive maintenance.

Buying a house in an unstable economy with declining job prospects means that
it's unlikely you will be able to sell the house down the road in a few years
for what you paid, thus you won't be able to move to another area in case your
job evaporates and the local economy tanks. Federal loans can't prop up the
housing market forever, and the economy really no longer needs that many people
to function, with automation and outsourcing.

The single family home may be an artifact from an earlier time that served a
purpose for a time, but for the above reasons may just not work anymore for
most people. Times have changed, but people remain stuck in the thinking that
owning a house is wonderful, profitable, always a good idea, etc. Many houses
that sell for substantial amounts even now may be basically worthless in 10 or
15 more years, for the above reasons.

B.

#housing

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41   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 3:11am  

Hey scam, Didn't the oracle of Omaha say recently that buying property now is a super great investment? But warren is a poor old man, huh?

http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/306749/20120229/real-estate-forecast-2012-warren-buffett.htm

42   zzyzzx   2012 May 31, 3:16am  

I paid something like 34K (that's with closing costs) in 2003 and have saved more than that in rent since then, so for me it was a good. For the people 5 houses down from me that paid $150K for essentially the same house, not so much (since they can maybe sell it for 75K now).

43   GraooGra   2012 May 31, 3:16am  

Yes, buying a house is like marriage. It is a commitment. This is very psychological issue.

44   MsAnnaNOLA   2012 May 31, 3:20am  

OT but...Chart idea: I don't know if Patrick has done this, but recently he had the inflation adjusted house prices graph and the value of the dollar on roughly the same time period. I was wondering if anyone ever combined these graphs. I know you have nothing to do Patrick (ha ha) but I thought it might be interesting.

Take care and thanks for your work.

45   cw   2012 May 31, 3:21am  

KILLERJANE says

Agreed, so if you buy property where it produces cash flow when rented, then take that cash flow and pay the rent to live wherever you'd like, then you kinda beat the system, eh?

Thinking saying and doing need to line up.

These people cannot understand anything that is not negative about housing. I think they have sour grapes, they want to own but cannot get it together for whatever reason. So they speculate about a subject that they really have no experience about. I won't be basing my decisions to buy or sell real estate from a bunch of perpetual renters.

46   zzyzzx   2012 May 31, 3:35am  

I think the real problem is that people need to buy a house they same way they would buy a used car.

47   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 3:39am  

Zzyzzx, but you cannot sell your car for more than you bought it for. A car truly has a short life. A house can last much longer. And in other older countries where houses and structures were made by masons and concrete, not wood frame, they last centuries.

48   edvard2   2012 May 31, 3:43am  

MoneySheep says

3.If you do buy, you should pay cash. (If you do #1 right, you will be able to pay cash one day). House is consumption, just like buying home entertainment system, you shouldnt borrow to get them.
And if you need loans to buy, make sure you can pay it off in 7 years.

I would disagree with this for a number of reasons. Basically because if you compare real estate to overall stocks in the long run stocks outperform real estate by a fairly good margin. In many circles its suggested to take as long as possible to pay off a house. In doing so you're taking the money you're not spending on a mortgage payment and putting it into investments that will over the long run give you more return. Likewise if you pay for a house with cash, your cash is then tied up to again- an investment that isn't going to perform as well and in many ways puts the money at more of a risk come something awful- like if you lost the house for some reason.

* Not financial advice

49   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 3:49am  

I could disagree because paying cash for a property frees up your income and you are actually paying sticker price. Financial stress is reduced. You always have a place to live in hard times without the added mortgage payment pressure of losing your home. Try it, you'll like it !

50   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 3:52am  

I'd rather pay 200,000 cash than 350,000 over 30 years. That's 30 years of being responsible to holding on to that job because of the house, painful. I did that for 10 years, hated it. And we bought in 2000.

51   Honest Abe   2012 May 31, 4:02am  

I'd agree that a house is a depreciating asset, unless you have an inflationary economy, which is what we have. Then the house can rise faster in price due to inflation, than it falls in price due to depreciation.

Having a house paid off lets you sleep good at night - plus the landlord can't raise the rent, and you can paint the place any color you want without asking permission, have as many pets as you want, etc.

52   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 4:06am  

Depreciation is a concept used in accounting to measure the decline in an asset's value spread over the asset's economic life. Depreciation allows for future investment that is required to replace used-up assets. In addition, the U.S. Internal Revenue Service allows a reasonable deduction for depreciation as a business expense in determining taxable net income. This deduction is used only for property that generates income. For example, a building used for rent income can be depreciated, but a building used as a residence cannot be depreciated.

53   David9   2012 May 31, 4:11am  

Is buying a house (ever) a good idea?

With millions of homes sold and bought over time in different economic cycles and markets, sure, sometimes it was/is a very good idea.

I think with this most recent and huge economic meltdown of 2008 opened a window, just for moment, just for a glimpse of the greedy tyranny of the global financial elite. This game has been going on for many decades!

http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-number-one-tool-of-financial-enslavement

In my opinion, a huge red flag is Fannie Mae selling $321k 1 bedroom trendy condos in Sherman Oaks.

http://www.redfin.com/CA/Sherman-Oaks/14141-Dickens-St-91423/unit-207/home/4835790

54   bubblesitter   2012 May 31, 4:24am  


Is buying a house (ever) a good idea?

It depends. I'd rent forever rather then paying 500K for a crappy 1500 sq. ft. wooden box - I'll let the landlord take the tax break and make a wise use of my money somewhere else. :)

55   freak80   2012 May 31, 4:30am  

Leopold B Scotch says

We've allowed policy makers and legislation to short-circuit this under the idea that it is everyone's right to have a home, and it's the government's job to make it a near entitlement via its power.

How else you gonna get elected to office?

56   freak80   2012 May 31, 4:33am  

duckhead says

“Now renting v/s buying is a psychological issue? not a financial one?” It is BOTH, of course you want to buy a house so you feeeeel successful, and fitting in with all your neighbors who have all been taught that buying a house is the American Dream (psychological), then on the flip side your Realtor™ makes bank CHACHING (financial)! It’s a WIN WIN, you feeeeeeel good and your Realtor feeeeeeels good.

Do you...YOU...feeeeeeel like I do?

57   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 5:04am  

I'm loving the comments. I think the volume of passionate & conflicting opinions suggest that the question is best answered locally, and personally. It's a good idea sometimes. And like all industries, a few unscrupulous professionals (realtors, bankers, etc...) cast a shadow over the hard-working, honest few. Here's how I came to my own answer. It may differ greatly from yours, in your world and in your circumstances; I respect that. The process of answering may be the same for all of us, though our individual answers will no doubt (and should) vary greatly.

I am comfortable putting more than 20% down. I love this area, (Austin), and see employment options long into the future. I hate moving. I love working on a home--maintenance for me is a pleasure, not a chore. I plan on using every square foot of my new home--i.e. it is neither too large nor too small. I am happy with the current value, even if it never goes up (or declines) down the road. My monthly payment (property taxes included) is significantly less than my current rent. I am a picky homeowner and have been a picky renter. Conditions of rental units often offend me. I like the freedom of having a roommate or family member stay with me unconditionally for long periods of time. I do not, however, care about the tax write-off and I'm not foolish enough to believe I could flip this house in three years (like I did in 2005) and make a profit. Those days, for know at least, are gone. Pragmatism is king... and I'm just being a good subject.

That said, Austin is not San Francisco or Detroit or Miami. The things that make me happy may not make you happy. Rates will likely rise, which means home values may likely decline even more in some areas. But buying a home is a complex, multi-faceted experience--which is why a blog like Patrick's is so valuable to anyone in the midst of that decision-making process...

58   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 5:18am  

I bought a home for 325K and sold three years later for 565K. I've bought artwork that I later sold for more than 300% profit. The mustang I paid $3,000 for as a teenager paid for most of my undergraduate tuition.

I've tried to be nice here... in both of my posts. But you should take a closer look at what you believe is truth. There are exceptions to everything. I'm not recommending that those exceptions be the rule for making the decision to buy a home--in fact, just the contrary. But nobody benefits from such absolute statements.

59   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 5:48am  

I'm obviously in the wrong place. I've been reading this blog for years now... I guess engaging in a discussion was a mistake.

60   freak80   2012 May 31, 5:57am  

Buying a house can be a good idea if you:

- have a secure job in a stable industry
- plan to stay where you are for at least 5 years (longer is better)
- live in an area with stable house prices
- would be saving enough money on rent to justfiy the mortgage interest, maintenance, property taxes, insurance, and possible HOA fees
- don't mind doing yard work (or paying someone else to do it)

61   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 5:59am  

Scam is just that

62   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 5:59am  

She can't help it

63   duckhead   2012 May 31, 6:05am  

“I'm obviously in the wrong place. I've been reading this blog for years now... I guess engaging in a discussion was a mistake.” Absolutely not! I welcome your tail of REAL ESTATE SUCCESS. Good to counter all the negative nancies around here who apparently paid for a round the world trip on the bitter bus. LOL. As always when faced with a big financial decision put aside all negative possibilities and engage in POSITIVE FINANCIAL FANTASIES!!! Good energy will mold reality. Soon you will be tycooning big time.

64   bubblesitter   2012 May 31, 6:18am  

@patrick,

The new look does not tell which threads are new or I have read it.

65   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 6:22am  

No, Scam. Everything I said was true. I bought a home in 2002 and was fortunate enough to sell much higher in 2005, before things went south. I made enough to pay off the mortgage, a home equity line of credit and some nasty student loans. I don't see those days returning anytime soon, and I learned my lesson about buying (and leveraging) more than I ought to have. I shared here openly in the hopes it would help anyone debating about whether or not to buy a home. Apparently, you get off on attacking people not as open-minded and intelligent as you are. I hope you feel better soon.

The last thing I'll say is this: emotion (or hubris) ought to play no part in the decision to buy (or sell) a home.

66   Patrick   2012 May 31, 6:22am  

bubblesitter says

The new look does not tell which threads are new or I have read it.

Oops. OK, that should be fixed now.

Should I add the "unread" image and the "new" blinky to the home page forum too?

67   freak80   2012 May 31, 6:22am  

bubblesitter says

The new look does not tell which threads are new or I have read it.

Ditto. I like that feature.

68   Patrick   2012 May 31, 6:25am  

Can you see the new/unread thread graphics now?

69   bubblesitter   2012 May 31, 6:30am  


Can you see the new/unread thread graphics now?

It's fine now. Thanks.

70   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 6:39am  

What a joke. :-)

71   GraooGra   2012 May 31, 6:41am  

Scam, what do you think about purchasing land and building your dream house the way you like it?

Is it also a bad investment?

72   edvard2   2012 May 31, 6:44am  

KILLERJANE says

I could disagree because paying cash for a property frees up your income and you are actually paying sticker price. Financial stress is reduced. You always have a place to live in hard times without the added mortgage payment pressure of losing your home. Try it, you'll like it !

Depends on what interest rates are really. From firsthand recent experience I can tell you that with todays interest rates, putting an additional 50k down on a home barely makes a noticeable difference in overall payments.

But besides the point, if you're about to buy a house, in my opinion you should already have a sizable amount of not only cash, but retirement savings as well.

73   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 6:52am  

I didn't misrepresent anything. If you feel the need to accuse, then prove it. Quote me as saying that people should buy because they'll make tons of money.

I'm guessing you've had some bad experiences with housing in the past. Don't take it out on others, and learn some civility while you're at it. Clearly the "Insult Another User, Get Suspended" rule is only for a select few. Use your loose leash wisely for a change...

74   KILLERJANE   2012 May 31, 6:56am  

You can pay 200,000 cash or 350,000 over thirty long years, said the king to the peasant. I prefer to be the king at a young age.

75   freak80   2012 May 31, 7:03am  


Can you see the new/unread thread graphics now?

I can see the feature in some threads, but not others. Weird.

76   everything   2012 May 31, 7:07am  

For me, one income, not a good idea, in my state, property taxes change the dynamic for me. But, lol, someone did just call and ask about the house I'm selling, and the first question they asked was how much are the property taxes, and they are about $3000/yr. for a 900 sq. foot home.

77   freak80   2012 May 31, 7:07am  

KILLERJANE says

You can pay 200,000 cash or 350,000 over thirty long years, said the king to the peasant. I prefer to be the king at a young age.

Like you, I don't like paying interest. It's money down the drain. But so is rent.

The rent vs. buy decision ultimately comes down to minimizing the "money down the drain." You could call it minimizing the "crapper index."

78   duckhead   2012 May 31, 7:08am  

“You can pay 200,000 cash or 350,000 over thirty long years, said the king to the peasant. I prefer to be the king at a young age.” CHACHING you said a mouthful there lady jane, also you would be the queen no??? Any way, you know that if you don’t pay over thirty years you’re going to stiff the banker out of a lot of interest? That’s not very nice. They got your back, they have all the useless old people’s money and they pay them .3% interest so they have to eat cat food meanwhilst they loan it out at 10, 20, 50 times that interest so we can buy houses. You have to pay your respects to such a solid scheme!!!!

79   Austin TX   2012 May 31, 7:09am  

You can call me the King of England if you want, Scam. Show me the proof. What exactly am I lying about???

My wife is the cupcake. And only I get to call her that...

80   freak80   2012 May 31, 7:14am  

Austin TX says

You can call me the King of England if you want, Scam. Show me the proof. What exactly am I lying about???
My wife is the cupcake. And only I get to call her that...

I wouldn't worry too much about what "Housing is a Scam" says. He/She is a notorious troll that many people have on Ignore. Scam just goes around accusing people of being lying Realtors. And he/she changes his/her name constantly in an attempt to avoid detection.

Patrick, is there a way to fix the problem of banned folks changing their names constantly?

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