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It would help the economy recover much faster, that's for sure. In fact, if the FED didn't liquidate mark-to-market, bail out all those deadbeat banks, and kept interest rates artificially low, we would be enjoying a real recovery right now. Prices would be 80% lower, but sales would be back to their normal levels. Instead, we have an 80% drop in sales and only a 20% drop in prices (so far) and Japan-style multi-decade decline. You decide which one is better.
This.
Right now the U.S major banks are zombies that are cannibalizing the U.S economy. If we just "liquidate" the infection (bad assets), we can take the short term shock, but steadily return to normal much quicker than Japan which still has a very weak housing market over two decades later.
Boom/Dunross-
Please don't qoute Goran_K. I have him on ignore because he pretends to be above the whole bull vs. bear debate, but really is just a permabear in disguise. And I don't want to see his drivel anymore.
thanks in advance
So, rolling back home prices will lead to less inventory because 1996-2002 buyers now won't have enough equity to sell their homes. It's a catch-22, renters want/need lower home prices, buyers can't AFFORD to sell at lower prices.
No you become the poster child of the RE bubble for many others to remind them of your mistake... therefore they wont in anyway overpay like you did. Eventually the owners will sell, take a loss to get rid of their own low savings rate.
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We are already in a gridlock situation where everyone that bought in 2004-2007 that hasn't foreclosed is basically TRAPPED in their home. The only way they can move is via short sale or walking away.
Lower home prices just equals more inventory gridlock... You can't buy a home from someone that doesn't have the cash to make up the difference to sell you the home.
So, rolling back home prices will lead to less inventory because 1996-2002 buyers now won't have enough equity to sell their homes. It's a catch-22, renters want/need lower home prices, buyers can't AFFORD to sell at lower prices.
Maybe Boomers will be forced to sell you their paid off home/ retirement fund.. But I think the majority of them will stay put.
#housing