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I just bought a house and it will cost half as much to own vs rent same house


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2012 Oct 12, 8:54am   117,625 views  412 comments

by PockyClipsNow   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

I hope this is a real world math lesson for some of the 'should I buy now' crowd. Its a tough decision.

Price: 875k
$ Financed: 700k

Loan: 5/1 Interest Only ARM at 2.875 with .25 points (union bank)
Payment: 1677
Prop tax: 912
total: 2588
(im in 28% effective tax bracket so 2588 * .72 = 1863 'after tax write off payment')
Add fire ins of 129 per month and total pmt after tax write off = $1992

This is a custom built, recently remodeled huge estate home on acreage and zoned for horses - would rent for 3800 to 4200 based on craigslist comps.

If I change jobs I can make 1k per month easy in profit when renting it out. Its not a great rental though, but an awsome to live in property.

I sold four homes off in 05/06 and the plan was wait for 50% drop then buy back in. Well prices only came down to 70% of peak fraud prices - close enough with the low intrest rates (which I am betting are permanent, as in the rest of your life. If rates spike in 5 years I will simply pay off the loan, refi, or get a loan mod - no worries here.)

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121   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 4:33am  

dublin hillz says

For someone to say that rents are falling "irrespective of location" should put them on a 3 strikes and you are out list. This sort of lunacy is not conducive to learning or debate.

The potential rental income of your recent purchase is falling. How is that for being specific. ;)

122   tatupu70   2012 Oct 16, 4:36am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

I think it is though.

You think right now is the peak of a bubble?? What leads you to that conclusion?

123   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 4:37am  

Reader says

"Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life. Don't be trapped by dogma - which is living with the results of other people's thinking. Don't let the noise of other's opinions drown out your own inner voice. And most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition. They somehow already know what you truly want to become. Everything else is secondary."

Steve Jobs

I agree 100%.

Jobs was a jerk and a nut. I know many people that worked there during his cry-baby rampages. Insults and degrading people were a common affair. If you like that type of management then he is your man. Not my cup of tea. Apple got lucky with pushing the right buttons with the music and phone industries. Having Job's antics steering the ship made it work, but there were probably much better management styles that would have gotten to the same point. I like the iPhone, but don't necessary like Jobs or people like him. Job's is not much different than Armstong, and if you are reading the news you are seeing that whole mess unraveling and the underbelly of the man everyone thought of as a hero coming down.

124   dublin hillz   2012 Oct 16, 4:44am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

dublin hillz says



For someone to say that rents are falling "irrespective of location" should put them on a 3 strikes and you are out list. This sort of lunacy is not conducive to learning or debate.


The potential rental income of your recent purchase is falling. How is that for being specific. ;)

There's probably a greater chance of hell freezing over before I would consider renting out my pad to someone. That being said, how can potential rental income of any property in bay area be falling considering the rental market insanity here? My relative just told me yesterday that a 425 sq condo in S.F is going for close to $2500. For whatever reason, people are willing to spend asinine amounts on rents here and it's getting worse.

125   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 5:42am  

dublin hillz says

My relative just told me yesterday that a 425 sq condo in S.F is going for close to $2500.

Funny, my dog's friend's master's wife just told me that she visited a few rentals and couldn't decide. She made the mistake of giving out here cell phone and it never stopped ringing from owners trying to land her as a tenant. One owner was willing to give her 3 months free rent and also do her clothes wash and folding for a full year.

Love this hearsay stuff. ;)

126   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 5:53am  

tatupu70 says

RentingForHalfTheCost says

I think it is though.

You think right now is the peak of a bubble?? What leads you to that conclusion?

Hmm

Jobs, debt, deficit, Jobs, debt, deficit, Jobs, debt, deficit.

Do you even realize how bad it is to owe 16 trillion dollars! Sit back and think about it for a second. If you started counting in millions, one a second, it would take you half a year to reach it. By that time you might as well tack on another trillion. We are somewhere where we have never been. No one has an answer to the problem. Why? Because the answer is hard to take. We are living above our means, anything virtual is at risk of evaporating before our eyes. It will take more than inflation, wars, productivity improvements, effective government to save us.

Here is my reasoning. Lets say we start to do the right things. Lets say we eventually get to having a government surplus in 10 years or so. Yes, that is what we need to tackle the debt problem. We have been there before you know. We have had a surplus. However, what happens then? Everyone starts screaming that we need to spend the money on programs and forget the debt. No one gives a rats ass about tomorrows problem. That is just human near sighted thinking. Unless you care, which no one seems to, you are going to waist the surplus on building bridges to nowhere, paying people more for less, growing government, etc.

Fast forward to the next down cycling and BOOM we start the debt pattern again. How do you think we got to 16 trillion! Tie government wages to the deficit and it'll disappear in a heartbeat. It is so silly it is laughable.

The small 20-30% adjustment on home values will be easy to take considering when we actually start the process to get serious. I suspect the first stage will be the 2013 tax season. When people see how much they owe it will blow their mind. Good luck to all.

127   REpro   2012 Oct 16, 5:58am  

Believe or Not - rent is falling.
My rental unit dropped $100/mo. since I renewed my lease a month ago.

128   David9   2012 Oct 16, 6:01am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Do you even realize how bad it is to owe 16 trillion dollars!

Right on. That's why they are going to come right out and say it on Fox News! We implemented Mark to Market accounting so the banks can ignore their losses and continue on as Zombie banks. Doing their silly short sale tricks, waiting for a tomorrow that may never come, Fannie will continue to market high priced garbage to the unwitting, etc.

129   anonymous   2012 Oct 16, 6:33am  

CashWillCrash says

Yeah, they're down but $600k still buys you a pathetic piece of trailer in the bay area.

130   David9   2012 Oct 16, 6:53am  

LOL, maybe someone should check out the Phoenix rental thread.

131   David9   2012 Oct 16, 7:33am  

I've been paying the same rent for 2 years. First time in California since 1987 the landlord hasn't even raised the 3% yearly allowance for Los Angeles County.

Maybe a pattern here?

132   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 8:22am  

Looks like people here are finding it amazing when their rent wasn't increased in 2-5 years. It's like having a 2 year ARM or 5 year ARM. Interest Only, never payoff. Ever considered a fixed rate mortgage? Same payment for life? You can get a mortgage right now for free (inflation adjusted).

133   PockyClipsNow   2012 Oct 16, 8:27am  

CashWillCrash says

Looks like people here are finding it amazing when their rent wasn't increased in 2-5 years. It's like having a 2 year ARM or 5 year ARM. Interest Only, never payoff. Ever considered a fixed rate mortgage? Same payment for life? You can get a mortgage right now for free (inflation adjusted).

exactly. if an IO loan = renting then why the hell would you rent? the payments are less on the IO loan. Just buy a newer home or newly remodeled home if you dont have $ to fix things or unable to swing a hammer or mow a lawn.

Now if you have bad credit, and no down payment, unstable/low paid job you probably wont get a loan - if that is the case just move in with mom and dad til they die (an excellent plan on paper- or find a fat a girl to support you - lonely fat girls are a major untapped natural resource in this country).

134   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 8:44am  

Thanks for the lonely fat girl tip. No need for it at the moment, but you never know where life takes you....

135   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 8:49am  

PockyClipsNow, that's true, if you are broke, got no stable job, and / or messed up your credit you can only rent. That's actually the case for ALL of my tenants. None of them choose to rent, ALL of them were forced to rent. Some of them were previously staying with family members but got kicked out... ouch! Must suck if you don't have a house.

136   David9   2012 Oct 16, 8:51am  

40 $Billion$ a month can't go on forever...

137   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 8:53am  

40 $Billion$ a month is not real money, just numbers on paper. My computer could do it almost forever....

138   David9   2012 Oct 16, 9:18am  

Yup says

I can hear the cries now.

Karmic paybacks are a bitch. I have been looking at 'bank shit' overpriced listings for years. My friends tease me 'You? a republican?' LOL

139   PockyClipsNow   2012 Oct 16, 9:28am  

I am prepared to lose 300k if rates rise, prices tank, and I end up facing a 7% mortgage payment (oh the horror). If that happens and I cant get a loan mod, then after squatting for free for 2-7 years I will buy a better home at the new '50% disount' and actually be better off in a nicer house, with a lower tax rate.

Meanwhile I will not be renting anymore.

140   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 9:49am  

Renting has the advantage that you know for sure from the beginning that you will loose 100% of your payments while buying has some uncertainties attached to it... you either loose it all like the renter or you might make a million bucks. Or you cash-out refinance and do a strategic default (= legal bank robbery w/o jail time).

141   PockyClipsNow   2012 Oct 16, 9:49am  

I can't tell Yup from War or Darrell.

Are you guys the same people?

Yeah the cash-out refi then default is now 100% legal along with tax forgiveness (this will be extended past 2012 - just watch!)

I loved renting when prices were tanking. (made me feel smart!)
Renting when prices are rising and you have high net worth, stable job, good credit makes zero sense. My #1 item to do financially was 'stop paying rent'.

I could have bought a 1 bedroom condo for cash. But those are overpriced now. The most bang for your buck are properties over 800k or even over 1m. There will no joe 6 pack zero down FHA slobs to bid against you. Not too many people can swing a 20% on a big purchase (but they are out there!).

142   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 9:56am  

Let Patrick do an IP check to see if War=YUP=Darrell

143   CDon   2012 Oct 16, 9:58am  

RentingForHalfTheCost says

Hmm
Jobs, debt, deficit, Jobs, debt, deficit, Jobs, debt, deficit.

Serious question. Do you really believe that these issues will be solved in your lifetime? And if not, are you willing to rent forever?

I ask because similar sentiments were raised about the unsustainability of our trajectory after the great depression, WWI debt, the long depression, & the massive debt incurred in the war of 1812. Yet all those people are now dead.

Just because something is unsustainable (which it is) does not mean that it is imminent. In the year 301, Emperor Diocletian made a number of questionable decisions regarding the sustainability of the Roman Empire which his detractors said merely kicked the can down the road. It was over 1,150 years later when the empire finally imploded, and his detractors were finally vindicated...

144   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 10:17am  

Who cares how much he put down? It's all about positive cash flow. All he said was he is doing ok if rents cut in half. He will still be able to pay all his expenses. Of course he doesn't have to make his down payment again. Maybe he bought some cash too with no mortgage payments?

145   CashWillCrash   2012 Oct 16, 10:21am  

War, how do you know he's not telling the truth? Are you his accountant?

146   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 10:57am  

CashWillCrash says

Looks like people here are finding it amazing when their rent wasn't increased in 2-5 years. It's like having a 2 year ARM or 5 year ARM. Interest Only, never payoff. Ever considered a fixed rate mortgage? Same payment for life? You can get a mortgage right now for free (inflation adjusted).

Except your property taxes always go up, and your equity goes down. Not to mention you are stuck in the same dreary shit-hole dwelling and stuck to the same job. Nice try.

147   PockyClipsNow   2012 Oct 16, 10:59am  

I would like to hear 'how to become rich by renting' because I just dont see that. Ever.

How to become rich in real estate? its pretty common even considering the recent downturn/turmoil.

148   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 10:59am  

CashWillCrash says

40 $Billion$ a month is not real money, just numbers on paper. My computer could do it almost forever....

Until the creditors came and unplugged it at least. ;)

149   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 11:09am  

CDon says

Serious question. Do you really believe that these issues will be solved in your lifetime? And if not, are you willing to rent forever?

I'll rent as long as it lets me funnel more money to investments (i.e. not housing). I will always have to pay a sum of money for shelter. I get that. However, I will always gravitate towards the cheaper option. Always.

Now, if my investments get me to a point where I really don't care about the financial part of housing, then maybe I will buy something with cash. Not because I think it is a good financial move, but because I want to do what every American does. Show off! Invite people over for a BBQ and show them my McMansion that has more bathrooms than bedrooms. Show off my sub-zero fridge that is really a standing version of a deep-freeze my mother always had in the basement. Hear the oohs and awhs as they check out my fancy oversized tiles and countertops, the outside BBQ, pool, fiber lighting, etc. etc. All, in an effort to show how well I have done. All because without the material goods, they wouldn't see that I was useful at all. :)

150   RentingForHalfTheCost   2012 Oct 16, 11:11am  

CashWillCrash says

Who cares how much he put down?

Opportunity costs!

151   Philistine   2012 Oct 16, 11:31am  

CashWillCrash says

Looks like people here are finding it amazing when their rent wasn't increased in 2-5 years. It's like having a 2 year ARM or 5 year ARM. Interest Only, never payoff. Ever considered a fixed rate mortgage? Same payment for life? You can get a mortgage right now for free (inflation adjusted).

Problem is we were not supposed to be here this long. We hate LA, and both of our companies has been through 2-3 rounds of lay offs. Other problem is comp houses/neighborhoods (we started shopping a few months ago given the rates) is still going to cost $2000/mo more than our current rent, so it's same or worse than just keep renting.

152   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 11:49am  

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Give it a rest troll. We aren't the same person, unlike you/Darrell/Realtors are... etc. etc.

153   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 12:03pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Well, I know I don't believe a word you say. How many times have you been banned so far? You must be so proud. Have you posted up a certificate of achievement in your parent's basement?

154   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 12:11pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Trolling troll trolls.

155   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 12:22pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Mummy is calling. It's time for your bath.

156   37108605   2012 Oct 16, 9:26pm  

War says

Yup says

You better keep praying for appreciation!

Isn't it odd that "appreciation" was never associated with housing until Lereah and Yun made it a fashion statement.

In the meantime, the reality is houses depreciate. Rapidly....

THAT is the point that so many haven't seen, or don't want to see out of their own fear or remorse.

Ironic, speaking of depreciation, that no one questions the depreciation of a new car!

157   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 9:28pm  

Yeah, houses never appreciate in value. Just ask all those people whose houses have appreciated in value.

158   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 9:34pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

So Mummy has just got you out of bed. You better hurry. School starts soon. Or are you in the middle of your shift at the call centre?

159   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 9:46pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Don't forget your lunch money.

160   Bigsby   2012 Oct 16, 10:03pm  

War says

War says

LIEWog/Bigbsy.....

Do you really think that we believe anything you say?

You're an establish liar pimping depreciating houses at inflated prices.

Quick, run or you'll miss the bus.

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