patrick.net

Call it Crazy says

Heraclitusstudent says

This is in essence what happened in 2007 with the bust in the US: a lot of construction happened and prices fell.

No, the bust happened because many people got mortgages and HELOCs that they couldn't afford

Yes and also because there was a slight bit of overbuilding around that time.
Some people who bought should never have bought and their houses should never have been built.

Heraclitusstudent says

Assume for a minute you can produce new widgets at will for $250K.

Because you can't produce them "at will". Sure--you can build a lot of houses. But you can't build them where people want to live.

Call it Crazy says

Heraclitusstudent says

Assume for a minute you can produce new widgets at will for $250K.


Explain why financing and "what your income allows" can drive the price of an existing widget to $500K.

Call it Crazy says

No, the bust happened because many people got mortgages and HELOCs that they couldn't afford and there was a lot of game playing by mortgage companies...

You haven't explained why financing alone can raise the price of a readily available commodity.

Heraclitusstudent says

geography is BS: as an example you can take a map of the SF peninsula and find lots of places that could be built and aren't.

It's not really BS. There may be some areas that are buildable, but people bid up prices on specific neighborhoods or cities because supply is limited.

tatupu70 says

Because you can't produce them "at will".

We could build them in large quantity.
Though obviously we aren't.

tatupu70 says

It's not really BS. There may be some areas that are buildable, but people bid up prices on specific neighborhoods or cities because supply is limited.

Other people would buy in more affordable neighborhood - if they were built at all.

Is it me or does the image (#4) highlights exaclty why you should be buying land in San Francisco, penninsula. It is literally, Ocean, seaside, mountain range, a teeny valley that is 3-7 miles wide and then the bay.

based on the image, I would buy in the south side of SFO, say San Bruno.

Compared that to say Fresno, Sacramento, Denver or even Dallas.

25% price drop from last; 45 percent drop from peak:

http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/26804-120th-Ave-SE-Kent-WA-98030/48829249_zpid/

Heraclitusstudent says

And yeah it's really precious to grow flowers in an area of ultra high real estate prices. We really MUST keep that. I wonder why Manhattan doesn't have it.

It's called Central Park.

tatupu70 says

It's called Central Park.

Central Park is a park not a farm.

Our beloved Ducky said: Nearly all the neighbors I knew growing up are still living there. They will not give up their quiet estate properties until they are pried from their cold dead hands. Literally.
LaMorInda (emphasis on MorInda) inventory is up over 50% year to year. Admittedly, coming off all time lows, but at least some folks are getting out while the gettin 's good.

EBGuy says

LaMorInda (emphasis on MorInda) inventory is up over 50% year to year.

To be fair, he may be talking about only The Bluffs, and not Moraga overall.

tatupu70 says

He must have a bad memory.

Guys,
He has a horrible memory. We have been over this before. He said he made $4k a month.
I believe the home price in 1970 and the VA loan.

donjumpsuit says

He has a horrible memory. We have been over this before. He said he made $4k a month.

I know we've been over this before which is why I'm surprised you used that example again. Why keep repeating something you know is incorrect?

Heraclitusstudent says

Second, the ecological (not geographical) argument is a pathetic thin veil hiding the most self-serving NIMBY mentality not to mention the ruthless willingness to extort new comers.

The desire of building of massive amount of homes in the bay, wetland, golf courses, hillside is an IMBY mentalality not to mention ruthless willigness to screw current residents who value the bay, parks, hills and wetlands.

That's BS. I showed we could build more if we wanted to, without destroying the environment or filling the bay, but we won't because of NIMBY mentality. NIMBY is the only reason we are not building more in the BA.

You are arguing for the sake of arguing and not adding more to what was already discussed.

SFace says

The desire of building of massive amount of homes in the bay, wetland, golf courses, hillside is an IMBY mentalality not to mention ruthless willigness to screw current residents who value the bay, parks, hills and wetlands.

Replicate the above for each location worldwide, in the face of a growing population, and what you are saying is essentially: "I have mine, screw the next generation".

I'll gladly take this:

over this:

btw, other pics of these towering buildings are interesting, too:
http://www.npr.org/blogs/krulwich/2013/04/08/176565424/the-big-squeeze-can-cities-save-the-earth

Well having Sawnee blood is not the same as being raised on the res and leaving, while maintaining a permanent residence. Do you have a DoIB card? I just love all those stories about grandma's high cheek bones. Real Indians laugh and laugh at those.

JH says

I'll gladly take this:

Well then move out of first tier global metropolis.
Or don't have kids.

They don't disagree with you; they just laugh at your ignorance about what a "real" ndn has to put up with. I include myself as one of those white people with native ancestry. I took all sorts of native american lit and history courses, attended pow wows and went to the Indian center once a week for years. I realized none of that comes close to giving me an understanding of what the lives of real, cultural and/or rez natives are like. That's all. Now, I'm going to go see if the house on Carey Drive closed yet.